TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13066674
Played Sep 3Finished
Oleksandr Osadchyi
Home
1.67
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 5
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
811114115117––
Andrii Kurtenko
Away
2.10
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:29 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Osadchyi to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightpick shipped
How it is goingOleksandr Osadchyi above · Andrii Kurtenko below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 11-7
Point 68 set 4, 11-7 — our read held Oleksandr Osadchyi at 54.0%
68 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Osadchyi 43–32 Andrii Kurtenko Andrii Kurtenko has won 32 of their 75 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:29What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Osadchyi
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
43-32 in 75
Osadchyi
Correct
gap of 11 in 75, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Osadchyi 1583 vs Kurtenko 1466
Osadchyi
Correct
both rated, 117 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Osadchyi 100% vs Kurtenko 60%
Osadchyi
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Osadchyi 80% vs Kurtenko 40%
Osadchyi
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Osadchyi +5 · Kurtenko +1
Osadchyi
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and the gate let it through as .
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Osadchyi) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kurtenko form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsOsadchyi 1.67 / Kurtenko 2.10
Signal prob.57% / 43%
Edge (Osadchyi)+1.6pp
Setka Cup · #13066674
Osadchyi1.67
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite71% won 117 of 166
Up 2–0, closes it97% 66 of 68
Up 1–0, closes it88% 89 of 101
Kurtenko2.10
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog44% won 66 of 149
Down 0–1, comes back18% 14 of 76
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 46
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeOsadchyi5wins
AwayKurtenko5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeOsadchyi75%3 of 4
AwayKurtenko66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Osadchyi4Kurtenko6n = 10Kurtenko took 6 of 10
S2Osadchyi4Kurtenko6n = 10Kurtenko took 6 of 10
S3Osadchyi6Kurtenko4n = 10Osadchyi took 6 of 10
S4Osadchyi3Kurtenko5n = 8Kurtenko took 5 of 8
S5Osadchyi2Kurtenko1n = 3Osadchyi took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricOsadchyiKurtenkoO − KBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match37.839.8−2.0per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricOsadchyiKurtenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime439 / 861 vs 337 / 63951%52.7%439 / 861 vs 337 / 639Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.437.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
OsadchyiOsadchyi 1.67/Kurtenko 2.10
Hit
What we said
57.4%
Osadchyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Osadchyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 16 · 12:50O. Osadchyi—11616113A. Kurtenko—7111481
LAug 9 · 11:23O. Osadchyi—111315992A. Kurtenko—7151311113
WAug 9 · 06:50O. Osadchyi—111169113A. Kurtenko—79111162
LJul 16 · 05:50O. Osadchyi—961191A. Kurtenko—11119113
LJul 15 · 09:05O. Osadchyi—1011791A. Kurtenko—12611113
WJul 12 · 14:00O. Osadchyi—113118113A. Kurtenko—71191132
WJul 9 · 12:20O. Osadchyi—71111113A. Kurtenko—115861
LJul 6 · 07:20O. Osadchyi—51280A. Kurtenko—1114113
WJun 18 · 10:50O. Osadchyi—21111113A. Kurtenko—119691
LJun 17 · 18:20O. Osadchyi—5260A. Kurtenko—1111113
O. Osadchyi10
LSep 7 · 07:30O. Osadchyi2.25111110832S. Solomko1.57861211113LSep 7 · 06:00O. Osadchyi5.004690A. Troyan1.141111113WSep 7 · 04:30O. Osadchyi1.831112113O. Volynets1.8361060LSep 3 · 10:30O. Osadchyi1.53117651I. Emets2.3851111113LSep 3 · 09:00O. Osadchyi1.737410D. Khairov2.001111113WSep 3 · 06:00O. Osadchyi2.2012511113S. Solomko1.611011731WSep 3 · 04:30O. Osadchyi1.30119118113E. Populovskyi3.4031161172WSep 2 · 11:05O. Osadchyi1.7311711123A. Kurtenko2.006115101WSep 2 · 09:35O. Osadchyi2.3811115113S. Hryhorenko1.53491141WSep 2 · 08:05O. Osadchyi1.731111113O. Lipeiko2.003730
A. Kurtenko10
WSep 5 · 18:00A. Kurtenko1.8311119113V. Smyk1.83471141WSep 5 · 16:30A. Kurtenko1.571171163D. Patalakha2.25911621LSep 5 · 15:00A. Kurtenko2.10851251O. Tymofeev1.6711111073LSep 5 · 13:30A. Kurtenko1.831112651S. Solomko1.83131011113LSep 5 · 12:00A. Kurtenko3.5011381272F. Voinarovskyi1.286111110113LSep 3 · 11:30A. Kurtenko1.807111131S. Solomko1.9111110153LSep 3 · 09:30I. Emets1.53111111113A. Kurtenko2.38133561WSep 3 · 06:30A. Kurtenko1.911111133E. Populovskyi1.8058110LSep 3 · 05:30D. Khairov1.40111313113A. Kurtenko2.753151151LSep 2 · 11:05O. Osadchyi1.7311711123A. Kurtenko2.006115101
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