TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13066762
Played Sep 3Finished
Dmytro Khairov
Home
1.40
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
11313151311115––
Andrii Kurtenko
Away
2.75
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:49 and never touched — 66.3% is still 66.3%
Graded at full timeDmytro Khairov to win
66.3%
66.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingDmytro Khairov above · Andrii Kurtenko below
Set 1 · 11-3
Set 2 · 13-15
Set 3 · 13-11
Set 4 · 11-5
Point 82 set 4, 11-5 — our read held Dmytro Khairov at 66.3%
82 points played in total.
H2H Dmytro Khairov 3–0 Andrii Kurtenko Andrii Kurtenko has won 0 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:49What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Khairov
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-0 in 3
Khairov
Correct
gap of 3 in 3, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Khairov 1487 vs Kurtenko 1464
Khairov
Correct
both rated, 23 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Khairov 20% vs Kurtenko 40%
Kurtenko
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Khairov 40% vs Kurtenko 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Khairov -3 · Kurtenko -1
Khairov
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Khairov)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Khairov form (20%) is below what odds imply (71%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKhairov 1.40 / Kurtenko 2.75
Signal prob.66% / 34%
Edge (Khairov)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13066762
Khairov1.40
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite61% won 55 of 90
Up 2–0, closes it87% 26 of 30
Up 1–0, closes it80% 39 of 49
Kurtenko2.75
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog44% won 66 of 149
Down 0–1, comes back18% 14 of 76
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 46
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeKhairov3wins
AwayKurtenko0wins
1 of 3 to a deciderKhairov leads 3–0, and 1 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Khairov2Kurtenko1n = 3Khairov took 2 of 3
S2Khairov1Kurtenko2n = 3Kurtenko took 2 of 3
S3Khairov3Kurtenko0n = 3Khairov took 3 of 3
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home133%
3–1Four sets, home133%
3–2Decider, home133%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricKhairovKurtenkoKhairov − KurtenkoBasisWins30+3in 3 meetingsFirst set21+1of 3Avg pointsper match41.733.3+8.4per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKhairovKurtenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime192 / 418 vs 336 / 63745.9%52.8%192 / 418 vs 336 / 637Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.437.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KhairovKhairov 1.40/Kurtenko 2.75
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
66.3%
Khairov · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Khairov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WApr 4 · 05:00D. Khairov—11101193A. Kurtenko—612961
WMar 28 · 07:00D. Khairov—881111133A. Kurtenko—111169112
WMar 21 · 06:05D. Khairov—1111113A. Kurtenko—8380
D. Khairov10
LSep 7 · 08:00D. Khairov2.204580A. Troyan1.611111113WSep 7 · 07:00V. Kolesnykov2.10124591D. Khairov1.67101111113WSep 7 · 05:30D. Khairov1.502011113S. Solomko2.5018880LSep 3 · 11:00D. Khairov1.734111031E. Populovskyi2.0011612113WSep 3 · 09:00O. Osadchyi1.737410D. Khairov2.001111113WSep 3 · 08:00D. Khairov1.50151146113S. Solomko2.50138111142WSep 3 · 07:00I. Emets1.6710750D. Khairov2.101211113LSep 2 · 11:00V. Kolesnykov2.2551111113D. Khairov1.57119441LSep 2 · 10:00O. Volynets1.5381111113D. Khairov2.38116951LSep 2 · 08:30I. Emets1.831211113D. Khairov1.8310380
A. Kurtenko10
WSep 5 · 18:00A. Kurtenko1.8311119113V. Smyk1.83471141WSep 5 · 16:30A. Kurtenko1.571171163D. Patalakha2.25911621LSep 5 · 15:00A. Kurtenko2.10851251O. Tymofeev1.6711111073LSep 5 · 13:30A. Kurtenko1.831112651S. Solomko1.83131011113LSep 5 · 12:00A. Kurtenko3.5011381272F. Voinarovskyi1.286111110113LSep 3 · 11:30A. Kurtenko1.807111131S. Solomko1.9111110153LSep 3 · 09:30I. Emets1.53111111113A. Kurtenko2.38133561LSep 3 · 07:30O. Osadchyi1.6781111113A. Kurtenko2.10114571WSep 3 · 06:30A. Kurtenko1.911111133E. Populovskyi1.8058110LSep 2 · 11:05O. Osadchyi1.7311711123A. Kurtenko2.006115101
Upcoming Matches
D. Khairov
A. Kurtenko
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