TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13060595
Played Sep 2Finished
Ihor Emets
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1210113118––––
Dmytro Khairov
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:56 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeDmytro Khairov to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingIhor Emets above · Dmytro Khairov below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 11-3
Set 3 · 11-8
Point 55 set 3, 11-8 — our read held Dmytro Khairov at 54.0%
55 points played in total.
H2H Ihor Emets 6–7 Dmytro Khairov Ihor Emets has won 6 of their 13 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:56What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Khairov
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-7 in 13
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Emets 1473 vs Khairov 1526
Khairov
Wrong
both rated, 54 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Emets 20% vs Khairov 60%
Khairov
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Emets 30% vs Khairov 60%
Khairov
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Emets -2 · Khairov +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Khairov)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Emets form (20%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsEmets 1.83 / Khairov 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Khairov)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13060595
Emets1.83
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Khairov1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeEmets5wins
AwayKhairov5wins
6 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeEmets42.9%3 of 7
AwayKhairov33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Emets7Khairov3n = 10Emets took 7 of 10
S2Emets3Khairov7n = 10Khairov took 7 of 10
S3Emets7Khairov3n = 10Emets took 7 of 10
S4Emets5Khairov3n = 8Emets took 5 of 8
S5Emets2Khairov4n = 6Khairov took 4 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricEmetsKhairovE − KBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match42.241.1+1.1per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricEmetsKhairovBasisWin rate · lifetime253 / 499 vs 192 / 41550.7%46.3%253 / 499 vs 192 / 415Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.737.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KhairovEmets 1.83/Khairov 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Khairov · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Emets won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 31 · 07:00I. Emets—136118113D. Khairov—111191172
WAug 20 · 07:35I. Emets—571111113D. Khairov—11116482
LAug 18 · 07:35I. Emets—117119122D. Khairov—811811143
LJul 29 · 10:05I. Emets—1110221D. Khairov—81211113
LJul 21 · 11:05I. Emets—111281162D. Khairov—314116113
WJul 4 · 09:30I. Emets—41113113D. Khairov—1191151
WJun 29 · 09:30I. Emets—1111113D. Khairov—5690
WJun 22 · 07:00I. Emets—1111113D. Khairov—6590
LMay 25 · 09:30I. Emets—1221111102D. Khairov—141177123
LMay 19 · 10:30I. Emets—1111131272D. Khairov—7131510113
I. Emets10
WSep 3 · 10:30O. Osadchyi1.53117651I. Emets2.3851111113WSep 3 · 09:30I. Emets1.53111111113A. Kurtenko2.38133561WSep 3 · 08:30I. Emets1.7341111113E. Populovskyi2.00114581LSep 3 · 07:00I. Emets1.6710750D. Khairov2.101211113LSep 3 · 05:00I. Emets1.501178101S. Solomko2.5051111123LSep 2 · 10:30A. Kotiash1.831111711113I. Emets1.8381311572WSep 2 · 09:30I. Emets1.441111113A. Troyan2.636860LSep 2 · 07:00I. Emets1.9167121182V. Kolesnykov1.801111104113LSep 2 · 05:00I. Emets2.003990O. Volynets1.731111113WAug 31 · 10:30O. Volynets1.571411611112I. Emets2.251261113133
D. Khairov10
LSep 7 · 08:00D. Khairov2.204580A. Troyan1.611111113WSep 7 · 07:00V. Kolesnykov2.10124591D. Khairov1.67101111113WSep 7 · 05:30D. Khairov1.502011113S. Solomko2.5018880LSep 3 · 11:00D. Khairov1.734111031E. Populovskyi2.0011612113WSep 3 · 09:00O. Osadchyi1.737410D. Khairov2.001111113WSep 3 · 08:00D. Khairov1.50151146113S. Solomko2.50138111142WSep 3 · 07:00I. Emets1.6710750D. Khairov2.101211113WSep 3 · 05:30D. Khairov1.40111313113A. Kurtenko2.753151151LSep 2 · 11:00V. Kolesnykov2.2551111113D. Khairov1.57119441LSep 2 · 10:00O. Volynets1.5381111113D. Khairov2.38116951
Upcoming Matches
I. Emets
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D. Khairov
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