TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13066763
Played Sep 3Finished
Ihor Emets
Home
1.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1157118111012––
Serhii Solomko
Away
2.50
At publish
Won last 8Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 8
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:48 and never touched — 61.9% is still 61.9%
Graded at full timeIhor Emets to win
61.9%
61.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingIhor Emets above · Serhii Solomko below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 10-12
Point 75 set 4, 10-12 — our read held Ihor Emets at 61.9%
75 points played in total.
H2H Ihor Emets 27–12 Serhii Solomko Serhii Solomko has won 12 of their 39 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:48What took a side2 for · 4 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Emets
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
27-12 in 39
Emets
Wrong
gap of 15 in 39, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Emets 1489 vs Solomko 1596
Solomko
Correct
both rated, 107 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Emets 40% vs Solomko 100%
Solomko
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Emets 50% vs Solomko 80%
Solomko
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Emets -1 · Solomko +5
Solomko
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Slight lean (leans Emets)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Solomko form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsEmets 1.50 / Solomko 2.50
Signal prob.62% / 38%
Edge (Emets)-0.6pp
Setka Cup · #13066763
Emets1.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite70% won 73 of 105
Up 2–0, closes it95% 35 of 37
Up 1–0, closes it80% 53 of 66
Solomko2.50
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 8
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog48% won 132 of 276
Down 0–1, comes back25% 38 of 151
Down 0–2, comes back6% 5 of 85
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeEmets7wins
AwaySolomko3wins
1 of 10 to a deciderEmets leads 7–3, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeEmets77.8%7 of 9
AwaySolomkon = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Emets9Solomko1n = 10Emets took 9 of 10
S2Emets4Solomko6n = 10Solomko took 6 of 10
S3Emets6Solomko4n = 10Emets took 6 of 10
S4Emets5Solomko2n = 7Emets took 5 of 7
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home550%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricEmetsSolomkoE − SBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set91+8of 10Avg pointsper match36.532.3+4.2per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricEmetsSolomkoBasisWin rate · lifetime255 / 503 vs 521 / 101850.7%51.2%255 / 503 vs 521 / 1018Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.737.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
EmetsEmets 1.50/Solomko 2.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
61.9%
Emets · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Solomko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 3 · 05:00I. Emets—1178101S. Solomko—51111123
WAug 27 · 05:35I. Emets—1111113S. Solomko—9520
WAug 18 · 10:05I. Emets—12511113S. Solomko—1011971
WJul 29 · 09:05I. Emets—11139113S. Solomko—9111161
LJul 23 · 10:05I. Emets—10520S. Solomko—1211113
WJul 6 · 05:35I. Emets—11411113S. Solomko—511471
WJul 1 · 07:00I. Emets—111013123S. Solomko—21211101
LJun 24 · 09:30I. Emets—11115772S. Solomko—971111113
WJun 12 · 09:30I. Emets—11611113S. Solomko—611361
WJun 9 · 07:00I. Emets—1111113S. Solomko—6980
I. Emets10
WSep 3 · 10:30O. Osadchyi1.53117651I. Emets2.3851111113WSep 3 · 09:30I. Emets1.53111111113A. Kurtenko2.38133561WSep 3 · 08:30I. Emets1.7341111113E. Populovskyi2.00114581LSep 3 · 07:00I. Emets1.6710750D. Khairov2.101211113LSep 2 · 10:30A. Kotiash1.831111711113I. Emets1.8381311572WSep 2 · 09:30I. Emets1.441111113A. Troyan2.636860WSep 2 · 08:30I. Emets1.831211113D. Khairov1.8310380LSep 2 · 07:00I. Emets1.9167121182V. Kolesnykov1.801111104113LSep 2 · 05:00I. Emets2.003990O. Volynets1.731111113WAug 31 · 10:30O. Volynets1.571411611112I. Emets2.251261113133
S. Solomko10
WSep 7 · 07:30O. Osadchyi2.25111110832S. Solomko1.57861211113LSep 7 · 06:30S. Solomko2.009880O. Volynets1.731111113LSep 7 · 05:30D. Khairov1.502011113S. Solomko2.5018880WSep 6 · 12:50A. Kovalenko1.83381111S. Solomko1.831111393WSep 6 · 11:20S. Solomko1.251211113M. Stetsenko3.7510670LSep 6 · 09:20O. Lipeiko1.91611611153S. Solomko1.80111118132WSep 6 · 07:20D. Patalakha1.73119391S. Solomko2.0071111113WSep 6 · 06:20E. Populovskyi3.25117971S. Solomko1.3381111113LSep 5 · 19:00O. Tymofeev1.44111110113S. Solomko2.63771281LSep 5 · 17:30S. Solomko1.919790F. Voinarovskyi1.801111113
Upcoming Matches
I. Emets
Nothing scheduled
S. Solomko
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