TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13060356
Played Sep 2Finished
Ihor Emets
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
311911911––––
Oleh Volynets
Away
1.73
At publish
Lost last 6Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 6
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:54 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeOleh Volynets to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingIhor Emets above · Oleh Volynets below
Set 1 · 3-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Point 54 set 3, 9-11 — our read held Oleh Volynets at 54.0%
54 points played in total.
H2H Ihor Emets 5–5 Oleh Volynets Dead even across their 10 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:54What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Volynets
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-5 in 10
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Emets 1497 vs Volynets 1468
Emets
Wrong
both rated, 29 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Emets 60% vs Volynets 0%
Emets
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Emets 40% vs Volynets 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Emets +1 · Volynets -5
Volynets
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Volynets)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Volynets form (0%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsEmets 2.00 / Volynets 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Volynets)+0.3pp
Setka Cup · #13060356
Emets2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog40% won 52 of 130
Down 0–1, comes back23% 18 of 77
Down 0–2, comes back13% 7 of 53
Volynets1.73
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 6
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite51% won 89 of 174
Up 2–0, closes it80% 39 of 49
Up 1–0, closes it67% 57 of 85
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeEmets5wins
AwayVolynets5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeEmetsn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayVolynets62.5%5 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Emets2Volynets8n = 10Volynets took 8 of 10
S2Emets3Volynets7n = 10Volynets took 7 of 10
S3Emets6Volynets4n = 10Emets took 6 of 10
S4Emets3Volynets3n = 6split evenly
S5Emets3Volynets0n = 3Emets took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricEmetsVolynetsE − VBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match35.136.4−1.3per matchSweeps13−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricEmetsVolynetsBasisWin rate · lifetime253 / 497 vs 344 / 62850.9%54.8%253 / 497 vs 344 / 628Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.738.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VolynetsEmets 2.00/Volynets 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Volynets · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Volynets won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 31 · 10:30I. Emets—1261113133O. Volynets—1411611112
LAug 27 · 09:05I. Emets—1011971O. Volynets—12811113
WAug 25 · 09:30I. Emets—911115113O. Volynets—11991152
WAug 20 · 11:05I. Emets—291111113O. Volynets—11116742
WAug 14 · 11:50I. Emets—1111113O. Volynets—5590
WJul 9 · 09:30I. Emets—11911113O. Volynets—711421
LMay 19 · 07:00I. Emets—7490O. Volynets—1111113
LMay 7 · 10:05I. Emets—1081181O. Volynets—12119113
LDec 2 · 06:35I. Emets—4660O. Volynets—1111113
LNov 24 · 08:00I. Emets—6680O. Volynets—1111113
I. Emets10
WSep 3 · 10:30O. Osadchyi1.53117651I. Emets2.3851111113WSep 3 · 09:30I. Emets1.53111111113A. Kurtenko2.38133561WSep 3 · 08:30I. Emets1.7341111113E. Populovskyi2.00114581LSep 3 · 07:00I. Emets1.6710750D. Khairov2.101211113LSep 3 · 05:00I. Emets1.501178101S. Solomko2.5051111123LSep 2 · 10:30A. Kotiash1.831111711113I. Emets1.8381311572WSep 2 · 09:30I. Emets1.441111113A. Troyan2.636860WSep 2 · 08:30I. Emets1.831211113D. Khairov1.8310380LSep 2 · 07:00I. Emets1.9167121182V. Kolesnykov1.801111104113WAug 31 · 10:30O. Volynets1.571411611112I. Emets2.251261113133
O. Volynets10
WSep 7 · 06:30S. Solomko2.009880O. Volynets1.731111113LSep 7 · 04:30O. Osadchyi1.831112113O. Volynets1.8361060LSep 2 · 11:30A. Troyan1.801112123O. Volynets1.91910100WSep 2 · 10:00O. Volynets1.5381111113D. Khairov2.38116951LSep 2 · 08:00V. Kolesnykov2.20912119133O. Volynets1.611110511112LSep 2 · 06:00A. Kotiash2.3891111113O. Volynets1.53114881LAug 31 · 10:30O. Volynets1.571411611112I. Emets2.251261113133LAug 31 · 09:00O. Volynets1.534750D. Khairov2.381111113LAug 31 · 07:30O. Volynets2.6310790V. Bilobrov1.441211113LAug 31 · 06:00O. Volynets1.8351171162A. Troyan1.83118113113
Upcoming Matches
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O. Volynets
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