TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13048763
Played Aug 31Finished
Oleh Volynets
Home
2.63
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
1012711911––––
Volodymyr Bilobrov
Away
1.44
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:16 and never touched — 66.1% is still 66.1%
Graded at full timeVolodymyr Bilobrov to win
66.1%
66.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOleh Volynets above · Volodymyr Bilobrov below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Point 60 set 3, 9-11 — our read held Volodymyr Bilobrov at 66.1%
60 points played in total.
H2H Oleh Volynets 2–7 Volodymyr Bilobrov Oleh Volynets has won 2 of their 9 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:16What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Bilobrov
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-7 in 9
Bilobrov
Correct
gap of 5 in 9, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Volynets 1483 vs Bilobrov 1568
Bilobrov
Correct
both rated, 85 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Volynets 40% vs Bilobrov 0%
Volynets
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Volynets 50% vs Bilobrov 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Volynets -3 · Bilobrov -5
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 67% — Clear lean (leans Bilobrov) · live re-read · sealed at 66% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Bilobrov form (0%) is below what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVolynets 2.63 / Bilobrov 1.44
Signal prob.33% / 67%
Edge (Bilobrov)+2.4pp
Setka Cup · #13048763
Volynets2.63
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog37% won 23 of 62
Down 0–1, comes back22% 7 of 32
Down 0–2, comes back9% 2 of 22
Bilobrov1.44
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite59% won 33 of 56
Up 2–0, closes it79% 19 of 24
Up 1–0, closes it74% 28 of 38
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomeVolynets2wins
AwayBilobrov7wins
3 of 9 to a deciderBilobrov leads 7–2, and 3 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVolynetsn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayBilobrov85.7%6 of 7
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Volynets2Bilobrov7n = 9Bilobrov took 7 of 9
S2Volynets2Bilobrov7n = 9Bilobrov took 7 of 9
S3Volynets5Bilobrov4n = 9Volynets took 5 of 9
S4Volynets1Bilobrov3n = 4Bilobrov took 3 of 4
S5Volynets1Bilobrov2n = 3Bilobrov took 2 of 3
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home111%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home111%
2–3Decider, away222%
1–3Four sets, away111%
0–3Straight, away444%
These 9 meetings
MetricVolynetsBilobrovV − BBasisWins27−5in 9 meetingsFirst set27−5of 9Avg pointsper match32.738.9−6.2per matchSweeps14−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVolynetsBilobrovBasisWin rate · lifetime345 / 628 vs 71 / 15754.9%45.2%345 / 628 vs 71 / 157Avg sets wonper match2.21.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.236.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BilobrovVolynets 2.63/Bilobrov 1.44
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
66.9%
Bilobrov · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Bilobrov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
LAug 31 · 07:30O. Volynets—10790V. Bilobrov—1211113
LAug 25 · 05:30O. Volynets—711111242V. Bilobrov—117914113
LAug 19 · 06:05O. Volynets—931181V. Bilobrov—11118113
LAug 7 · 08:05O. Volynets—12911662V. Bilobrov—1011911113
WJun 9 · 12:10O. Volynets—1171113113V. Bilobrov—131171182
WJun 8 · 05:05O. Volynets—1111113V. Bilobrov—6780
LMay 21 · 12:05O. Volynets—9770V. Bilobrov—1111113
LApr 25 · 05:05O. Volynets—3770V. Bilobrov—1111113
LSep 6 · 11:30O. Volynets—75100V. Bilobrov—1111123
O. Volynets10
WSep 7 · 06:30S. Solomko2.009880O. Volynets1.731111113LSep 7 · 04:30O. Osadchyi1.831112113O. Volynets1.8361060LSep 2 · 11:30A. Troyan1.801112123O. Volynets1.91910100WSep 2 · 10:00O. Volynets1.5381111113D. Khairov2.38116951LSep 2 · 08:00V. Kolesnykov2.20912119133O. Volynets1.611110511112LSep 2 · 06:00A. Kotiash2.3891111113O. Volynets1.53114881WSep 2 · 05:00I. Emets2.003990O. Volynets1.731111113LAug 31 · 10:30O. Volynets1.571411611112I. Emets2.251261113133LAug 31 · 09:00O. Volynets1.534750D. Khairov2.381111113LAug 31 · 06:00O. Volynets1.8351171162A. Troyan1.83118113113
V. Bilobrov10
LAug 31 · 11:30V. Bilobrov1.91111197102A. Troyan1.80981111123WAug 31 · 09:30I. Emets3.40741191V. Bilobrov1.3011118113LAug 31 · 06:30V. Bilobrov2.7512911482O. Karpenko1.401011411113LAug 31 · 05:30D. Khairov1.801111123V. Bilobrov1.9148100LAug 25 · 11:00V. Bilobrov2.3881180O. Karpenko1.531113113LAug 25 · 09:00Y. Volkov1.4411611113V. Bilobrov2.63911971LAug 25 · 08:00V. Bilobrov1.9111113462A. Troyan1.80961111113WAug 25 · 07:00I. Emets2.5026120V. Bilobrov1.501111143WAug 25 · 05:30V. Bilobrov1.44117914113O. Volynets2.63711111242WAug 19 · 10:38V. Smetenko1.5371151182V. Bilobrov2.38117115113
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