TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13005371
Played Aug 25Finished
Yurii Volkov
Home
1.44
At publish
Won last 9Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 9
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
119611119117––
Volodymyr Bilobrov
Away
2.63
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:53 and never touched — 75.5% is still 75.5%
Graded at full timeYurii Volkov to win
75.5%
75.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingYurii Volkov above · Volodymyr Bilobrov below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 11-7
Point 75 set 4, 11-7 — our read held Yurii Volkov at 75.5%
75 points played in total.
H2H Yurii Volkov 10–3 Volodymyr Bilobrov Volodymyr Bilobrov has won 3 of their 13 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 17:53What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Volkov
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
10-3 in 13
Volkov
Correct
gap of 7 in 13, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Volkov 1743 vs Bilobrov 1603
Volkov
Correct
both rated, 140 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Volkov 100% vs Bilobrov 80%
Volkov
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Volkov 90% vs Bilobrov 70%
Volkov
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Volkov +5 · Bilobrov -1
Volkov
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 76% — Strong (leans Volkov)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Bilobrov form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVolkov 1.44 / Bilobrov 2.63
Signal prob.76% / 25%
Edge (Volkov)+11.0pp
Setka Cup · #13005371
Volkov1.44
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Won last 9
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite65% won 155 of 239
Up 2–0, closes it95% 81 of 85
Up 1–0, closes it84% 114 of 135
Bilobrov2.63
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
As underdog36% won 20 of 56
Down 0–1, comes back21% 6 of 29
Down 0–2, comes back11% 2 of 18
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVolkov8wins
AwayBilobrov2wins
1 of 10 to a deciderVolkov leads 8–2, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVolkov100%4 of 4
AwayBilobrov33.3%2 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Volkov4Bilobrov6n = 10Bilobrov took 6 of 10
S2Volkov7Bilobrov3n = 10Volkov took 7 of 10
S3Volkov7Bilobrov3n = 10Volkov took 7 of 10
S4Volkov5Bilobrov1n = 6Volkov took 5 of 6
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home550%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricVolkovBilobrovV − BBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match37.430.5+6.9per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVolkovBilobrovBasisWin rate · lifetime426 / 785 vs 69 / 15054.3%46%426 / 785 vs 69 / 150Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.536.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VolkovVolkov 1.44/Bilobrov 2.63
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
75.5%
Volkov · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Volkov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 17 · 07:30Y. Volkov—111110113V. Bilobrov—771271
WAug 11 · 10:00Y. Volkov—91111113V. Bilobrov—119631
LAug 10 · 07:35Y. Volkov—5690V. Bilobrov—1111113
WAug 7 · 07:05Y. Volkov—1112113V. Bilobrov—81080
WAug 4 · 06:05Y. Volkov—71111113V. Bilobrov—114511
WAug 1 · 07:05Y. Volkov—1511116113V. Bilobrov—17871132
WJul 20 · 09:35Y. Volkov—121112113V. Bilobrov—10131011
WJul 14 · 08:05Y. Volkov—51111113V. Bilobrov—117591
WJun 26 · 08:05Y. Volkov—1111113V. Bilobrov—5480
LJun 15 · 08:05Y. Volkov—81060V. Bilobrov—1112113
Y. Volkov10
LSep 5 · 11:19I. Efimenko1.8511116113Y. Volkov1.85881191WSep 5 · 10:19A. Kotiash3.259115101Y. Volkov1.3311211123WSep 5 · 08:48Y. Volkov1.731113113Y. Kovshun2.0081170LSep 5 · 07:18Y. Volkov1.67811751I. Efimenko2.1011611113WSep 5 · 05:48Y. Volkov1.57512115113A. Troyan2.25111091152LSep 4 · 10:30Y. Volkov1.25741151A. Kotiash3.7511119113WSep 4 · 09:00Y. Volkov1.679111111113Y. Kovshun2.1011136912LSep 4 · 07:30Y. Volkov2.2011381192R. Sopivnyk1.61611114113LSep 4 · 06:00Y. Volkov1.6112811752A. Troyan2.201011811113LSep 4 · 04:30Y. Volkov1.3691211872O. Karpenko3.001110211113
V. Bilobrov10
LAug 31 · 11:30V. Bilobrov1.91111197102A. Troyan1.80981111123WAug 31 · 09:30I. Emets3.40741191V. Bilobrov1.3011118113WAug 31 · 07:30O. Volynets2.6310790V. Bilobrov1.441211113LAug 31 · 06:30V. Bilobrov2.7512911482O. Karpenko1.401011411113LAug 31 · 05:30D. Khairov1.801111123V. Bilobrov1.9148100LAug 25 · 11:00V. Bilobrov2.3881180O. Karpenko1.531113113LAug 25 · 08:00V. Bilobrov1.9111113462A. Troyan1.80961111113WAug 25 · 07:00I. Emets2.5026120V. Bilobrov1.501111143WAug 25 · 05:30V. Bilobrov1.44117914113O. Volynets2.63711111242WAug 19 · 10:38V. Smetenko1.5371151182V. Bilobrov2.38117115113
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