TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13005363
Played Aug 25Finished
Volodymyr Bilobrov
Home
1.91
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 4
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
119116311411611
Andrey Troyan
Away
1.80
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:54 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeAndrey Troyan to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVolodymyr Bilobrov above · Andrey Troyan below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 3-11
Set 4 · 4-11
Set 5 · 6-11
Point 83 set 5, 6-11 — our read held Andrey Troyan at 54.0%
83 points played in total.
H2H Volodymyr Bilobrov 4–7 Andrey Troyan Volodymyr Bilobrov has won 4 of their 11 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 17:54What took a side2 for · 4 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Troyan
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-7 in 11
Troyan
Correct
gap of 3 in 11, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Bilobrov 1615 vs Troyan 1564
Bilobrov
Wrong
both rated, 51 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Bilobrov 80% vs Troyan 40%
Bilobrov
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Bilobrov 70% vs Troyan 30%
Bilobrov
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Bilobrov +4 · Troyan -1
Bilobrov
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Troyan)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Troyan form (40%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBilobrov 1.91 / Troyan 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Troyan)+2.5pp
Setka Cup · #13005363
Bilobrov1.91
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog36% won 20 of 56
Down 0–1, comes back21% 6 of 29
Down 0–2, comes back11% 2 of 18
Troyan1.80
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite66% won 170 of 258
Up 2–0, closes it94% 89 of 95
Up 1–0, closes it80% 126 of 158
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBilobrov3wins
AwayTroyan7wins
5 of 10 to a deciderTroyan leads 7–3, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBilobrov42.9%3 of 7
AwayTroyan100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Bilobrov7Troyan3n = 10Bilobrov took 7 of 10
S2Bilobrov6Troyan4n = 10Bilobrov took 6 of 10
S3Bilobrov3Troyan7n = 10Troyan took 7 of 10
S4Bilobrov5Troyan4n = 9Bilobrov took 5 of 9
S5Bilobrov0Troyan5n = 5Troyan took 5 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away550%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricBilobrovTroyanB − TBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match40.641.5−0.9per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBilobrovTroyanBasisWin rate · lifetime69 / 149 vs 454 / 96546.3%47.1%69 / 149 vs 454 / 965Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.337.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TroyanBilobrov 1.91/Troyan 1.80
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Troyan · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Troyan won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 19 · 07:05V. Bilobrov—12117772A. Troyan—1051111113
WAug 17 · 11:30V. Bilobrov—11119133A. Troyan—7611111
LAug 11 · 08:30V. Bilobrov—11118382A. Troyan—191111113
LAug 10 · 06:35V. Bilobrov—113111152A. Troyan—911138113
WAug 7 · 12:05V. Bilobrov—1111113A. Troyan—6840
WAug 4 · 09:35V. Bilobrov—11115113A. Troyan—691151
LAug 1 · 08:05V. Bilobrov—791171A. Troyan—11118113
LJul 20 · 08:35V. Bilobrov—115581A. Troyan—81111113
LJul 14 · 12:05V. Bilobrov—96111382A. Troyan—1111411113
LJun 15 · 12:05V. Bilobrov—711221142A. Troyan—114248113
V. Bilobrov10
LAug 31 · 11:30V. Bilobrov1.91111197102A. Troyan1.80981111123WAug 31 · 09:30I. Emets3.40741191V. Bilobrov1.3011118113WAug 31 · 07:30O. Volynets2.6310790V. Bilobrov1.441211113LAug 31 · 06:30V. Bilobrov2.7512911482O. Karpenko1.401011411113LAug 31 · 05:30D. Khairov1.801111123V. Bilobrov1.9148100LAug 25 · 11:00V. Bilobrov2.3881180O. Karpenko1.531113113LAug 25 · 09:00Y. Volkov1.4411611113V. Bilobrov2.63911971WAug 25 · 07:00I. Emets2.5026120V. Bilobrov1.501111143WAug 25 · 05:30V. Bilobrov1.44117914113O. Volynets2.63711111242WAug 19 · 10:38V. Smetenko1.5371151182V. Bilobrov2.38117115113
A. Troyan10
WSep 7 · 08:00D. Khairov2.204580A. Troyan1.611111113WSep 7 · 06:00O. Osadchyi5.004690A. Troyan1.141111113WSep 7 · 05:00V. Kolesnykov2.751134101A. Troyan1.4081111123WSep 5 · 10:52A. Troyan1.73118711113Y. Kovshun2.0071111272LSep 5 · 09:50Y. Kovshun1.50314119123A. Troyan2.501112811102LSep 5 · 08:20I. Efimenko1.531111113A. Troyan2.388870WSep 5 · 06:48A. Kotiash2.007240A. Troyan1.731111113LSep 5 · 05:48Y. Volkov1.57512115113A. Troyan2.25111091152LSep 4 · 11:30R. Sopivnyk1.171111113A. Troyan4.505870WAug 31 · 11:30V. Bilobrov1.91111197102A. Troyan1.80981111123
Upcoming Matches
V. Bilobrov
Nothing scheduled
A. Troyan
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