TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13081590
Played Sep 5Finished
Ivan Efimenko
Home
1.53
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
118118117––––
Andrey Troyan
Away
2.38
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:18 and never touched — 60.8% is still 60.8%
Graded at full timeIvan Efimenko to win
60.8%
60.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingIvan Efimenko above · Andrey Troyan below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-7
Point 56 set 3, 11-7 — our read held Ivan Efimenko at 60.8%
56 points played in total.
H2H Ivan Efimenko 1–1 Andrey Troyan Dead even across their 2 meetings.
Last 2 · 1–1Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 08:18What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Efimenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-1 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Efimenko 1665 vs Troyan 1571
Efimenko
Correct
both rated, 94 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Efimenko 60% vs Troyan 40%
Efimenko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Efimenko 60% vs Troyan 40%
Efimenko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Efimenko +2 · Troyan +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Efimenko)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsEfimenko 1.53 / Troyan 2.38
Signal prob.61% / 39%
Edge (Efimenko)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13081590
Efimenko1.53
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Troyan2.38
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog30% won 56 of 184
Down 0–1, comes back15% 17 of 115
Down 0–2, comes back4% 3 of 74
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeEfimenko1wins
AwayTroyan1wins
Level at 1–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away1
These 2 meetings
MetricEfimenkoTroyanE − TBasisWins110in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match34.037.5−3.5per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricEfimenkoTroyanBasisWin rate · lifetime7 / 12 vs 459 / 97558.3%47.1%7 / 12 vs 459 / 975Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match34.537.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
EfimenkoEfimenko 1.53/Troyan 2.38
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
60.8%
Efimenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Efimenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LAug 29 · 06:05I. Efimenko—8680A. Troyan—1111113
WAug 22 · 06:35I. Efimenko—111311113A. Troyan—915991
I. Efimenko10
WSep 5 · 11:19I. Efimenko1.8511116113Y. Volkov1.85881191WSep 5 · 09:20A. Kotiash4.333640I. Efimenko1.201111113WSep 5 · 07:18Y. Volkov1.67811751I. Efimenko2.1011611113WSep 5 · 06:18I. Efimenko1.36148115113Y. Kovshun3.00121171162LAug 29 · 12:05I. Efimenko1.3391040A. Melchenko3.251112113WAug 29 · 10:05A. Kotiash3.755660I. Efimenko1.251111113LAug 29 · 08:05Y. Volkov1.83114911113I. Efimenko1.8311111992WAug 29 · 07:05I. Efimenko1.3691111143Y. Kovshun3.001199121LAug 29 · 06:05A. Troyan3.401111113I. Efimenko1.308680WAug 22 · 11:05I. Efimenko1.671111113V. Kryvenko2.107890
A. Troyan10
WSep 7 · 06:00O. Osadchyi5.004690A. Troyan1.141111113WSep 7 · 05:00V. Kolesnykov2.751134101A. Troyan1.4081111123WSep 5 · 10:52A. Troyan1.73118711113Y. Kovshun2.0071111272LSep 5 · 09:50Y. Kovshun1.50314119123A. Troyan2.501112811102WSep 5 · 06:48A. Kotiash2.007240A. Troyan1.731111113LSep 5 · 05:48Y. Volkov1.57512115113A. Troyan2.25111091152LSep 4 · 11:30R. Sopivnyk1.171111113A. Troyan4.505870WSep 4 · 10:00A. Troyan1.806121111113O. Karpenko1.9111146892LSep 4 · 08:00Y. Kovshun1.401111133A. Troyan2.7588110WAug 29 · 06:05A. Troyan3.401111113I. Efimenko1.308680
Upcoming Matches
I. Efimenko
Nothing scheduled
A. Troyan
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