TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13037628
Played Aug 29Finished
Ivan Efimenko
Home
1.36
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–3Last 6Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
9111191191412––
Yaroslav Kovshun
Away
3.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:01 and never touched — 74.7% is still 74.7%
Graded at full timeIvan Efimenko to win
74.7%
74.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingIvan Efimenko above · Yaroslav Kovshun below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 14-12
Point 86 set 4, 14-12 — our read held Ivan Efimenko at 74.7%
86 points played in total.
H2H Ivan Efimenko 1–0 Yaroslav Kovshun Yaroslav Kovshun has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:01What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (69%)
Efimenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Efimenko 1605 vs Kovshun 1515
Efimenko
Correct
both rated, 90 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Efimenko 60% vs Kovshun 20%
Efimenko
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Efimenko 50% vs Kovshun 20%
Efimenko
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Efimenko -1 · Kovshun +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 69% — Clear lean (leans Efimenko) · live re-read · sealed at 75% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kovshun form (20%) is below what odds imply (33%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsEfimenko 1.36 / Kovshun 3.00
Signal prob.69% / 31%
Edge (Efimenko)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13037628
Efimenko1.36
50%won 3 of 6 · last 10
oldest → newest
67%takes the first set · 4 of 6
As favourite
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Kovshun3.00
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog40% won 42 of 105
Down 0–1, comes back19% 12 of 64
Down 0–2, comes back8% 3 of 38
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeEfimenko1wins
AwayKovshun0wins
Efimenko leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricEfimenkoKovshunE − KBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match45.041.0+4.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricEfimenkoKovshunBasisWin rate · lifetime5 / 10 vs 342 / 64150%53.4%5 / 10 vs 342 / 641Avg sets wonper match1.82.1per matchAvg pointsper match32.638.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
EfimenkoEfimenko 1.36/Kovshun 3.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
68.8%
Efimenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Efimenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WAug 29 · 07:05I. Efimenko—91111143Y. Kovshun—1199121
I. Efimenko10
WSep 5 · 11:19I. Efimenko1.8511116113Y. Volkov1.85881191WSep 5 · 09:20A. Kotiash4.333640I. Efimenko1.201111113WSep 5 · 08:20I. Efimenko1.531111113A. Troyan2.388870WSep 5 · 07:18Y. Volkov1.67811751I. Efimenko2.1011611113WSep 5 · 06:18I. Efimenko1.36148115113Y. Kovshun3.00121171162LAug 29 · 12:05I. Efimenko1.3391040A. Melchenko3.251112113WAug 29 · 10:05A. Kotiash3.755660I. Efimenko1.251111113LAug 29 · 08:05Y. Volkov1.83114911113I. Efimenko1.8311111992LAug 29 · 06:05A. Troyan3.401111113I. Efimenko1.308680WAug 22 · 11:05I. Efimenko1.671111113V. Kryvenko2.107890
Y. Kovshun10
LSep 5 · 10:52A. Troyan1.73118711113Y. Kovshun2.0071111272WSep 5 · 09:50Y. Kovshun1.50314119123A. Troyan2.501112811102LSep 5 · 08:48Y. Volkov1.731113113Y. Kovshun2.0081170LSep 5 · 07:48A. Kotiash1.91117711113Y. Kovshun1.8091111972LSep 5 · 06:18I. Efimenko1.36148115113Y. Kovshun3.00121171162LSep 4 · 11:00Y. Kovshun1.8051181182O. Karpenko1.91117116113LSep 4 · 09:00Y. Volkov1.679111111113Y. Kovshun2.1011136912WSep 4 · 08:00Y. Kovshun1.401111133A. Troyan2.7588110WSep 4 · 07:00A. Kotiash1.57118841Y. Kovshun2.2591111113WSep 4 · 05:30Y. Kovshun3.00891111133R. Sopivnyk1.36111188112
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.