TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13037632
Played Aug 29Finished
Yurii Volkov
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
111411911119119
Ivan Efimenko
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–3Last 7Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:10 and never touched — 67.3% is still 67.3%
Graded at full timeIvan Efimenko to win
67.3%
67.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingYurii Volkov above · Ivan Efimenko below
Set 1 · 11-1
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 11-9
Set 5 · 11-9
Point 87 set 5, 11-9 — our read held Ivan Efimenko at 67.3%
87 points played in total.
H2H Yurii Volkov 1–0 Ivan Efimenko Ivan Efimenko has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:10What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Efimenko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Volkov 1685 vs Efimenko 1605
Volkov
Correct
both rated, 80 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Volkov 20% vs Efimenko 60%
Efimenko
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Volkov 40% vs Efimenko 57%
Efimenko
Wrong
17pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Volkov +1 · Efimenko +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Efimenko) · live re-read · sealed at 67% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Volkov form (20%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVolkov 1.83 / Efimenko 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Efimenko)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13037632
Volkov1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Efimenko1.83
57%won 4 of 7 · last 10
oldest → newest
57%takes the first set · 4 of 7
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeVolkov1wins
AwayEfimenko0wins
Volkov leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricVolkovEfimenkoV − EBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match36.019.0+17.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVolkovEfimenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime424 / 786 vs 5 / 1053.9%50%424 / 786 vs 5 / 10Avg sets wonper match2.11.8per matchAvg pointsper match37.432.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
EfimenkoVolkov 1.83/Efimenko 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Efimenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Volkov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WAug 22 · 05:05Y. Volkov—1411113I. Efimenko—12520
Y. Volkov10
LSep 5 · 11:19I. Efimenko1.8511116113Y. Volkov1.85881191WSep 5 · 10:19A. Kotiash3.259115101Y. Volkov1.3311211123WSep 5 · 08:48Y. Volkov1.731113113Y. Kovshun2.0081170LSep 5 · 07:18Y. Volkov1.67811751I. Efimenko2.1011611113WSep 5 · 05:48Y. Volkov1.57512115113A. Troyan2.25111091152LSep 4 · 10:30Y. Volkov1.25741151A. Kotiash3.7511119113WSep 4 · 09:00Y. Volkov1.679111111113Y. Kovshun2.1011136912LSep 4 · 07:30Y. Volkov2.2011381192R. Sopivnyk1.61611114113LSep 4 · 06:00Y. Volkov1.6112811752A. Troyan2.201011811113LSep 4 · 04:30Y. Volkov1.3691211872O. Karpenko3.001110211113
I. Efimenko10
WSep 5 · 11:19I. Efimenko1.8511116113Y. Volkov1.85881191WSep 5 · 09:20A. Kotiash4.333640I. Efimenko1.201111113WSep 5 · 08:20I. Efimenko1.531111113A. Troyan2.388870WSep 5 · 07:18Y. Volkov1.67811751I. Efimenko2.1011611113WSep 5 · 06:18I. Efimenko1.36148115113Y. Kovshun3.00121171162LAug 29 · 12:05I. Efimenko1.3391040A. Melchenko3.251112113WAug 29 · 10:05A. Kotiash3.755660I. Efimenko1.251111113WAug 29 · 07:05I. Efimenko1.3691111143Y. Kovshun3.001199121LAug 29 · 06:05A. Troyan3.401111113I. Efimenko1.308680WAug 22 · 11:05I. Efimenko1.671111113V. Kryvenko2.107890
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