TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13037617
Played Aug 29Finished
Andrey Troyan
Home
3.40
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
118116118––––
Ivan Efimenko
Away
1.30
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–2Last 5Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:46 and never touched — 54.8% is still 54.8%
Graded at full timeIvan Efimenko to win
54.8%
54.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingAndrey Troyan above · Ivan Efimenko below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 11-8
Point 55 set 3, 11-8 — our read held Ivan Efimenko at 54.8%
55 points played in total.
H2H Andrey Troyan 1–1 Ivan Efimenko Dead even across their 2 meetings.
Last 2 · 1–1Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:46What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.30 (72%)
Efimenko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-1 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Troyan 1604 vs Efimenko 1605
Efimenko
Wrong
both rated, 1 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Troyan 40% vs Efimenko 60%
Efimenko
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Troyan 50% vs Efimenko 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Troyan -1 · Efimenko +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 72% — Strong (leans Efimenko) · live re-read · sealed at 55% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Efimenko form (60%) is below what odds imply (77%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTroyan 3.40 / Efimenko 1.30
Signal prob.28% / 72%
Edge (Efimenko)-0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13037617
Troyan3.40
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog30% won 55 of 183
Down 0–1, comes back14% 16 of 114
Down 0–2, comes back4% 3 of 75
Efimenko1.30
60%won 3 of 5 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 4 of 5
As favourite
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeTroyan1wins
AwayEfimenko1wins
Level at 1–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricTroyanEfimenkoT − EBasisWins110in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match37.534.0+3.5per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTroyanEfimenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime458 / 969 vs 5 / 1047.3%50%458 / 969 vs 5 / 10Avg sets wonper match2.01.8per matchAvg pointsper match37.332.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
EfimenkoTroyan 3.40/Efimenko 1.30
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
72.3%
Efimenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Troyan won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WAug 29 · 06:05A. Troyan—1111113I. Efimenko—8680
LAug 22 · 06:35A. Troyan—915991I. Efimenko—111311113
A. Troyan10
WSep 7 · 06:00O. Osadchyi5.004690A. Troyan1.141111113WSep 7 · 05:00V. Kolesnykov2.751134101A. Troyan1.4081111123WSep 5 · 10:52A. Troyan1.73118711113Y. Kovshun2.0071111272LSep 5 · 09:50Y. Kovshun1.50314119123A. Troyan2.501112811102LSep 5 · 08:20I. Efimenko1.531111113A. Troyan2.388870WSep 5 · 06:48A. Kotiash2.007240A. Troyan1.731111113LSep 5 · 05:48Y. Volkov1.57512115113A. Troyan2.25111091152LSep 4 · 11:30R. Sopivnyk1.171111113A. Troyan4.505870WSep 4 · 10:00A. Troyan1.806121111113O. Karpenko1.9111146892LSep 4 · 08:00Y. Kovshun1.401111133A. Troyan2.7588110
I. Efimenko10
WSep 5 · 11:19I. Efimenko1.8511116113Y. Volkov1.85881191WSep 5 · 09:20A. Kotiash4.333640I. Efimenko1.201111113WSep 5 · 08:20I. Efimenko1.531111113A. Troyan2.388870WSep 5 · 07:18Y. Volkov1.67811751I. Efimenko2.1011611113WSep 5 · 06:18I. Efimenko1.36148115113Y. Kovshun3.00121171162LAug 29 · 12:05I. Efimenko1.3391040A. Melchenko3.251112113WAug 29 · 10:05A. Kotiash3.755660I. Efimenko1.251111113LAug 29 · 08:05Y. Volkov1.83114911113I. Efimenko1.8311111992WAug 29 · 07:05I. Efimenko1.3691111143Y. Kovshun3.001199121WAug 22 · 11:05I. Efimenko1.671111113V. Kryvenko2.107890
Upcoming Matches
A. Troyan
I. Efimenko
Nothing scheduled
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