TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13048962
Played Aug 31Finished
Dmytro Khairov
Home
1.80
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1141181210––––
Volodymyr Bilobrov
Away
1.91
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:45 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeDmytro Khairov to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingDmytro Khairov above · Volodymyr Bilobrov below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 12-10
Point 56 set 3, 12-10 — our read held Dmytro Khairov at 54.0%
56 points played in total.
H2H Dmytro Khairov 4–3 Volodymyr Bilobrov Volodymyr Bilobrov has won 3 of their 7 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:45What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Khairov
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-3 in 7
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Khairov 1533 vs Bilobrov 1564
Bilobrov
Wrong
both rated, 31 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Khairov 60% vs Bilobrov 40%
Khairov
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Khairov 40% vs Bilobrov 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Khairov -1 · Bilobrov -3
Bilobrov
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Bilobrov) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Bilobrov form (40%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKhairov 1.80 / Bilobrov 1.91
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Bilobrov)+5.5pp
Setka Cup · #13048962
Khairov1.80
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite61% won 54 of 88
Up 2–0, closes it86% 25 of 29
Up 1–0, closes it81% 38 of 47
Bilobrov1.91
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog34% won 20 of 59
Down 0–1, comes back19% 6 of 31
Down 0–2, comes back11% 2 of 19
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeKhairov4wins
AwayBilobrov3wins
2 of 7 to a deciderKhairov leads 4–3, and 2 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKhairov75%3 of 4
AwayBilobrov66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Khairov4Bilobrov3n = 7Khairov took 4 of 7
S2Khairov5Bilobrov2n = 7Khairov took 5 of 7
S3Khairov7Bilobrov0n = 7Khairov took 7 of 7
S4Khairov1Bilobrov3n = 4Bilobrov took 3 of 4
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home343%
3–1Four sets, home114%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away229%
1–3Four sets, away114%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 7 meetings
MetricKhairovBilobrovK − BBasisWins43+1in 7 meetingsFirst set43+1of 7Avg pointsper match35.930.9+5.0per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKhairovBilobrovBasisWin rate · lifetime191 / 413 vs 69 / 15346.3%45.1%191 / 413 vs 69 / 153Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.436.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BilobrovKhairov 1.80/Bilobrov 1.91
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Bilobrov · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Khairov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
WAug 31 · 05:30D. Khairov—1111123V. Bilobrov—48100
LJul 20 · 11:35D. Khairov—681221V. Bilobrov—111110113
WJun 8 · 09:35D. Khairov—101111113V. Bilobrov—128531
WJun 7 · 10:35D. Khairov—1113113V. Bilobrov—51140
WMay 25 · 06:30D. Khairov—1111113V. Bilobrov—8610
LMay 21 · 08:35D. Khairov—71111462V. Bilobrov—114711113
LSep 6 · 08:00D. Khairov—11511662V. Bilobrov—311811113
D. Khairov10
WSep 7 · 09:00O. Osadchyi1.8361481182D. Khairov1.831112116113LSep 7 · 08:00D. Khairov2.204580A. Troyan1.611111113WSep 7 · 07:00V. Kolesnykov2.10124591D. Khairov1.67101111113WSep 7 · 05:30D. Khairov1.502011113S. Solomko2.5018880LSep 3 · 11:00D. Khairov1.734111031E. Populovskyi2.0011612113WSep 3 · 09:00O. Osadchyi1.737410D. Khairov2.001111113WSep 3 · 08:00D. Khairov1.50151146113S. Solomko2.50138111142WSep 3 · 07:00I. Emets1.6710750D. Khairov2.101211113WSep 3 · 05:30D. Khairov1.40111313113A. Kurtenko2.753151151LSep 2 · 11:00V. Kolesnykov2.2551111113D. Khairov1.57119441
V. Bilobrov10
LAug 31 · 11:30V. Bilobrov1.91111197102A. Troyan1.80981111123WAug 31 · 09:30I. Emets3.40741191V. Bilobrov1.3011118113WAug 31 · 07:30O. Volynets2.6310790V. Bilobrov1.441211113LAug 31 · 06:30V. Bilobrov2.7512911482O. Karpenko1.401011411113LAug 25 · 11:00V. Bilobrov2.3881180O. Karpenko1.531113113LAug 25 · 09:00Y. Volkov1.4411611113V. Bilobrov2.63911971LAug 25 · 08:00V. Bilobrov1.9111113462A. Troyan1.80961111113WAug 25 · 07:00I. Emets2.5026120V. Bilobrov1.501111143WAug 25 · 05:30V. Bilobrov1.44117914113O. Volynets2.63711111242WAug 19 · 10:38V. Smetenko1.5371151182V. Bilobrov2.38117115113
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