TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13089094
Played Sep 7Finished
Valerii Kolesnykov
Home
2.10
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1210411511911––
Dmytro Khairov
Away
1.67
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:52 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeDmytro Khairov to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingValerii Kolesnykov above · Dmytro Khairov below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 73 set 4, 9-11 — our read held Dmytro Khairov at 54.0%
73 points played in total.
H2H Valerii Kolesnykov 7–13 Dmytro Khairov Valerii Kolesnykov has won 7 of their 20 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:52What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Khairov
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-13 in 20
Khairov
Correct
gap of 6 in 20, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kolesnykov 1533 vs Khairov 1538
Khairov
Correct
both rated, 5 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kolesnykov 60% vs Khairov 80%
Khairov
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kolesnykov 60% vs Khairov 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kolesnykov -1 · Khairov +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Khairov) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Khairov form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKolesnykov 2.10 / Khairov 1.67
Signal prob.43% / 57%
Edge (Khairov)+1.2pp
Setka Cup · #13089094
Kolesnykov2.10
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog44% won 37 of 84
Down 0–1, comes back28% 13 of 46
Down 0–2, comes back12% 3 of 25
Khairov1.67
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite61% won 57 of 93
Up 2–0, closes it87% 27 of 31
Up 1–0, closes it80% 41 of 51
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKolesnykov4wins
AwayKhairov6wins
3 of 10 to a deciderKhairov leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKolesnykov50%2 of 4
AwayKhairov66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kolesnykov4Khairov6n = 10Khairov took 6 of 10
S2Kolesnykov6Khairov4n = 10Kolesnykov took 6 of 10
S3Kolesnykov4Khairov6n = 10Khairov took 6 of 10
S4Kolesnykov4Khairov4n = 8split evenly
S5Kolesnykov1Khairov2n = 3Khairov took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricKolesnykovKhairovKolesnykov − KhairovBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match37.940.5−2.6per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKolesnykovKhairovBasisWin rate · lifetime355 / 668 vs 196 / 41953.1%46.8%355 / 668 vs 196 / 419Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.837.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KhairovKolesnykov 2.10/Khairov 1.67
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
57%
Khairov · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Khairov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 7 · 07:00V. Kolesnykov—124591D. Khairov—101111113
WSep 2 · 11:00V. Kolesnykov—51111113D. Khairov—119441
LAug 24 · 06:00V. Kolesnykov—8590D. Khairov—1111113
WJul 20 · 09:05V. Kolesnykov—1111313113D. Khairov—99111532
WJun 29 · 05:30V. Kolesnykov—1411163D. Khairov—122140
LJun 22 · 09:00V. Kolesnykov—9911111D. Khairov—11119133
LJun 12 · 07:35V. Kolesnykov—3161051D. Khairov—111412113
LJun 8 · 07:35V. Kolesnykov—118101182D. Khairov—911128113
WApr 23 · 04:30V. Kolesnykov—101111113D. Khairov—124881
LMar 2 · 08:35V. Kolesnykov—41151132D. Khairov—119119113
V. Kolesnykov10
LSep 7 · 05:00V. Kolesnykov2.751134101A. Troyan1.4081111123WSep 2 · 11:00V. Kolesnykov2.2551111113D. Khairov1.57119441LSep 2 · 09:00A. Kotiash1.801111113V. Kolesnykov1.913990WSep 2 · 08:00V. Kolesnykov2.20912119133O. Volynets1.611110511112WSep 2 · 07:00I. Emets1.9167121182V. Kolesnykov1.801111104113LSep 2 · 05:30V. Kolesnykov2.75781171A. Troyan1.4011116113LAug 31 · 11:05V. Kolesnykov1.57107111142S. Skhabitskiy2.25121188113WAug 31 · 09:35V. Kolesnykov1.6711114113A. Kovalenko2.10961191WAug 31 · 08:05V. Kolesnykov1.67101111113A. Martyniuk2.10127861WAug 31 · 06:35V. Kolesnykov1.73118611113S. Solomko2.0061111892
D. Khairov10
LSep 7 · 08:00D. Khairov2.204580A. Troyan1.611111113WSep 7 · 05:30D. Khairov1.502011113S. Solomko2.5018880LSep 3 · 11:00D. Khairov1.734111031E. Populovskyi2.0011612113WSep 3 · 09:00O. Osadchyi1.737410D. Khairov2.001111113WSep 3 · 08:00D. Khairov1.50151146113S. Solomko2.50138111142WSep 3 · 07:00I. Emets1.6710750D. Khairov2.101211113WSep 3 · 05:30D. Khairov1.40111313113A. Kurtenko2.753151151LSep 2 · 11:00V. Kolesnykov2.2551111113D. Khairov1.57119441LSep 2 · 10:00O. Volynets1.5381111113D. Khairov2.38116951LSep 2 · 08:30I. Emets1.831211113D. Khairov1.8310380
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