TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13060343
Played Sep 2Finished
Ihor Emets
Home
1.91
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
6117111210114811
Valerii Kolesnykov
Away
1.80
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:43 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeValerii Kolesnykov to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightpick shipped
How it is goingIhor Emets above · Valerii Kolesnykov below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 12-10
Set 4 · 11-4
Set 5 · 8-11
Point 91 set 5, 8-11 — our read held Valerii Kolesnykov at 54.0%
91 points played in total.
H2H Ihor Emets 21–32 Valerii Kolesnykov Ihor Emets has won 21 of their 53 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:43What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Kolesnykov
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
21-32 in 53
Kolesnykov
Correct
gap of 11 in 53, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Emets 1482 vs Kolesnykov 1535
Kolesnykov
Correct
both rated, 53 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Emets 40% vs Kolesnykov 60%
Kolesnykov
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Emets 30% vs Kolesnykov 60%
Kolesnykov
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Emets -1 · Kolesnykov -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and the gate let it through as .
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kolesnykov)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Emets form (40%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsEmets 1.91 / Kolesnykov 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Kolesnykov)+2.5pp
Setka Cup · #13060343
Emets1.91
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog40% won 52 of 130
Down 0–1, comes back23% 18 of 77
Down 0–2, comes back13% 7 of 53
Kolesnykov1.80
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite57% won 104 of 182
Up 2–0, closes it90% 45 of 50
Up 1–0, closes it73% 68 of 93
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeEmets4wins
AwayKolesnykov6wins
6 of 10 to a deciderKolesnykov leads 6–4, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeEmets42.9%3 of 7
AwayKolesnykov66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Emets7Kolesnykov3n = 10Emets took 7 of 10
S2Emets2Kolesnykov8n = 10Kolesnykov took 8 of 10
S3Emets5Kolesnykov5n = 10split evenly
S4Emets6Kolesnykov3n = 9Emets took 6 of 9
S5Emets2Kolesnykov4n = 6Kolesnykov took 4 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricEmetsKolesnykovE − KBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match40.942.2−1.3per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricEmetsKolesnykovBasisWin rate · lifetime253 / 498 vs 358 / 67150.8%53.4%253 / 498 vs 358 / 671Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.737.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KolesnykovEmets 1.91/Kolesnykov 1.80
Hit
What we said
54%
Kolesnykov · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Kolesnykov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 27 · 10:05I. Emets—114811112V. Kolesnykov—711115133
LJul 23 · 11:05I. Emets—112861V. Kolesnykov—71111113
LJul 13 · 11:05I. Emets—118111082V. Kolesnykov—911412113
LJul 6 · 11:05I. Emets—871171V. Kolesnykov—11116113
LJun 29 · 07:00I. Emets—116511102V. Kolesnykov—611119123
WJun 22 · 10:30I. Emets—671111113V. Kolesnykov—11119782
WJun 17 · 10:30I. Emets—112611123V. Kolesnykov—511114102
LJun 9 · 10:30I. Emets—911812122V. Kolesnykov—1141110143
WJun 3 · 10:30I. Emets—11411113V. Kolesnykov—911881
WMay 26 · 10:30I. Emets—1114113V. Kolesnykov—81270
I. Emets10
WSep 3 · 10:30O. Osadchyi1.53117651I. Emets2.3851111113WSep 3 · 09:30I. Emets1.53111111113A. Kurtenko2.38133561WSep 3 · 08:30I. Emets1.7341111113E. Populovskyi2.00114581LSep 3 · 07:00I. Emets1.6710750D. Khairov2.101211113LSep 3 · 05:00I. Emets1.501178101S. Solomko2.5051111123LSep 2 · 10:30A. Kotiash1.831111711113I. Emets1.8381311572WSep 2 · 09:30I. Emets1.441111113A. Troyan2.636860WSep 2 · 08:30I. Emets1.831211113D. Khairov1.8310380LSep 2 · 05:00I. Emets2.003990O. Volynets1.731111113WAug 31 · 10:30O. Volynets1.571411611112I. Emets2.251261113133
V. Kolesnykov10
WSep 7 · 08:30V. Kolesnykov2.1061111113O. Volynets1.67119871LSep 7 · 07:00V. Kolesnykov2.10124591D. Khairov1.67101111113LSep 7 · 05:00V. Kolesnykov2.751134101A. Troyan1.4081111123WSep 2 · 11:00V. Kolesnykov2.2551111113D. Khairov1.57119441LSep 2 · 09:00A. Kotiash1.801111113V. Kolesnykov1.913990WSep 2 · 08:00V. Kolesnykov2.20912119133O. Volynets1.611110511112LSep 2 · 05:30V. Kolesnykov2.75781171A. Troyan1.4011116113LAug 31 · 11:05V. Kolesnykov1.57107111142S. Skhabitskiy2.25121188113WAug 31 · 09:35V. Kolesnykov1.6711114113A. Kovalenko2.10961191WAug 31 · 08:05V. Kolesnykov1.67101111113A. Martyniuk2.10127861
Upcoming Matches
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V. Kolesnykov
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