TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13066654
Played Sep 3Finished
Oleksandr Osadchyi
Home
1.53
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
115711611511––
Ihor Emets
Away
2.38
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:18 and never touched — 62.4% is still 62.4%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Osadchyi to win
62.4%
62.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingOleksandr Osadchyi above · Ihor Emets below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 5-11
Point 67 set 4, 5-11 — our read held Oleksandr Osadchyi at 62.4%
67 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Osadchyi 12–6 Ihor Emets Ihor Emets has won 6 of their 18 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:18What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Osadchyi
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
12-6 in 18
Osadchyi
Wrong
gap of 6 in 18, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Osadchyi 1560 vs Emets 1510
Osadchyi
Wrong
both rated, 50 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Osadchyi 80% vs Emets 40%
Osadchyi
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Osadchyi 80% vs Emets 50%
Osadchyi
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Osadchyi -1 · Emets +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Clear lean (leans Osadchyi)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Osadchyi form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsOsadchyi 1.53 / Emets 2.38
Signal prob.62% / 38%
Edge (Osadchyi)+1.2pp
Setka Cup · #13066654
Osadchyi1.53
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite71% won 117 of 166
Up 2–0, closes it97% 66 of 68
Up 1–0, closes it88% 89 of 101
Emets2.38
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog39% won 52 of 133
Down 0–1, comes back23% 18 of 80
Down 0–2, comes back13% 7 of 55
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeOsadchyi7wins
AwayEmets3wins
3 of 10 to a deciderOsadchyi leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeOsadchyi75%6 of 8
AwayEmetsn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Osadchyi8Emets2n = 10Osadchyi took 8 of 10
S2Osadchyi7Emets3n = 10Osadchyi took 7 of 10
S3Osadchyi2Emets8n = 10Emets took 8 of 10
S4Osadchyi4Emets4n = 8split evenly
S5Osadchyi3Emets0n = 3Osadchyi took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricOsadchyiEmetsO − EBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match37.335.3+2.0per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricOsadchyiEmetsBasisWin rate · lifetime440 / 864 vs 258 / 50750.9%50.9%440 / 864 vs 258 / 507Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.336.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
OsadchyiOsadchyi 1.53/Emets 2.38
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
62%
Osadchyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Emets won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 3 · 10:30O. Osadchyi—117651I. Emets—51111113
WAug 27 · 11:05O. Osadchyi—121297113I. Emets—1010111172
WJul 29 · 05:35O. Osadchyi—1111113I. Emets—3550
LJul 1 · 10:30O. Osadchyi—118851I. Emets—71111113
WMar 9 · 11:50O. Osadchyi—11118113I. Emets—981191
WMar 2 · 10:50O. Osadchyi—11114113I. Emets—791191
WJun 19 · 06:20O. Osadchyi—113411113I. Emets—71111852
WJun 12 · 07:50O. Osadchyi—811611113I. Emets—11911582
WJun 9 · 05:50O. Osadchyi—1111113I. Emets—3530
LJun 5 · 12:20O. Osadchyi—912721I. Emets—111011113
O. Osadchyi10
LSep 7 · 07:30O. Osadchyi2.25111110832S. Solomko1.57861211113LSep 7 · 06:00O. Osadchyi5.004690A. Troyan1.141111113WSep 7 · 04:30O. Osadchyi1.831112113O. Volynets1.8361060LSep 3 · 09:00O. Osadchyi1.737410D. Khairov2.001111113WSep 3 · 07:30O. Osadchyi1.6781111113A. Kurtenko2.10114571WSep 3 · 06:00O. Osadchyi2.2012511113S. Solomko1.611011731WSep 3 · 04:30O. Osadchyi1.30119118113E. Populovskyi3.4031161172WSep 2 · 11:05O. Osadchyi1.7311711123A. Kurtenko2.006115101WSep 2 · 09:35O. Osadchyi2.3811115113S. Hryhorenko1.53491141WSep 2 · 08:05O. Osadchyi1.731111113O. Lipeiko2.003730
I. Emets10
WSep 3 · 09:30I. Emets1.53111111113A. Kurtenko2.38133561WSep 3 · 08:30I. Emets1.7341111113E. Populovskyi2.00114581LSep 3 · 07:00I. Emets1.6710750D. Khairov2.101211113LSep 3 · 05:00I. Emets1.501178101S. Solomko2.5051111123LSep 2 · 10:30A. Kotiash1.831111711113I. Emets1.8381311572WSep 2 · 09:30I. Emets1.441111113A. Troyan2.636860WSep 2 · 08:30I. Emets1.831211113D. Khairov1.8310380LSep 2 · 07:00I. Emets1.9167121182V. Kolesnykov1.801111104113LSep 2 · 05:00I. Emets2.003990O. Volynets1.731111113WAug 31 · 10:30O. Volynets1.571411611112I. Emets2.251261113133
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