TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13066981
Played Sep 3Finished
Oleksandr Osadchyi
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 6Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 6
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
711411111––––
Dmytro Khairov
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:47 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Osadchyi to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongpick shipped
How it is goingOleksandr Osadchyi above · Dmytro Khairov below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 1-11
Point 45 set 3, 1-11 — our read held Oleksandr Osadchyi at 54.0%
45 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Osadchyi 3–0 Dmytro Khairov Dmytro Khairov has won 0 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:47What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Osadchyi
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-0 in 3
Osadchyi
Wrong
gap of 3 in 3, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Osadchyi 1591 vs Khairov 1524
Osadchyi
Wrong
both rated, 67 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Osadchyi 100% vs Khairov 60%
Osadchyi
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Osadchyi 80% vs Khairov 50%
Osadchyi
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Osadchyi +5 · Khairov +3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and the gate let it through as .
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Osadchyi)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Osadchyi form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsOsadchyi 1.73 / Khairov 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Osadchyi)+0.3pp
Setka Cup · #13066981
Osadchyi1.73
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 6
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite71% won 117 of 166
Up 2–0, closes it97% 66 of 68
Up 1–0, closes it88% 89 of 101
Khairov2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog36% won 40 of 111
Down 0–1, comes back21% 13 of 62
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 33
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeOsadchyi3wins
AwayKhairov0wins
1 of 3 to a deciderOsadchyi leads 3–0, and 1 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Osadchyi2Khairov1n = 3Osadchyi took 2 of 3
S2Osadchyi3Khairov0n = 3Osadchyi took 3 of 3
S3Osadchyi3Khairov0n = 3Osadchyi took 3 of 3
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home267%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home133%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricOsadchyiKhairovO − KBasisWins30+3in 3 meetingsFirst set21+1of 3Avg pointsper match38.330.0+8.3per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricOsadchyiKhairovBasisWin rate · lifetime440 / 862 vs 195 / 42151%46.3%440 / 862 vs 195 / 421Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.437.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
OsadchyiOsadchyi 1.73/Khairov 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Osadchyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Khairov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WAug 24 · 05:00O. Osadchyi—1311133D. Khairov—117110
WAug 15 · 15:00O. Osadchyi—1111113D. Khairov—9990
WJul 29 · 12:05O. Osadchyi—711115113D. Khairov—11341152
O. Osadchyi10
LSep 7 · 07:30O. Osadchyi2.25111110832S. Solomko1.57861211113LSep 7 · 06:00O. Osadchyi5.004690A. Troyan1.141111113WSep 7 · 04:30O. Osadchyi1.831112113O. Volynets1.8361060LSep 3 · 10:30O. Osadchyi1.53117651I. Emets2.3851111113WSep 3 · 07:30O. Osadchyi1.6781111113A. Kurtenko2.10114571WSep 3 · 06:00O. Osadchyi2.2012511113S. Solomko1.611011731WSep 3 · 04:30O. Osadchyi1.30119118113E. Populovskyi3.4031161172WSep 2 · 11:05O. Osadchyi1.7311711123A. Kurtenko2.006115101WSep 2 · 09:35O. Osadchyi2.3811115113S. Hryhorenko1.53491141WSep 2 · 08:05O. Osadchyi1.731111113O. Lipeiko2.003730
D. Khairov10
LSep 7 · 08:00D. Khairov2.204580A. Troyan1.611111113WSep 7 · 07:00V. Kolesnykov2.10124591D. Khairov1.67101111113WSep 7 · 05:30D. Khairov1.502011113S. Solomko2.5018880LSep 3 · 11:00D. Khairov1.734111031E. Populovskyi2.0011612113WSep 3 · 08:00D. Khairov1.50151146113S. Solomko2.50138111142WSep 3 · 07:00I. Emets1.6710750D. Khairov2.101211113WSep 3 · 05:30D. Khairov1.40111313113A. Kurtenko2.753151151LSep 2 · 11:00V. Kolesnykov2.2551111113D. Khairov1.57119441LSep 2 · 10:00O. Volynets1.5381111113D. Khairov2.38116951LSep 2 · 08:30I. Emets1.831211113D. Khairov1.8310380
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