TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13089225
Played Sep 7Finished
Dmytro Khairov
Home
1.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
2018118118––––
Serhii Solomko
Away
2.50
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:30 and never touched — 64.1% is still 64.1%
Graded at full timeDmytro Khairov to win
64.1%
64.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingDmytro Khairov above · Serhii Solomko below
Set 1 · 20-18
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-8
Point 76 set 3, 11-8 — our read held Dmytro Khairov at 64.1%
76 points played in total.
H2H Dmytro Khairov 7–1 Serhii Solomko Serhii Solomko has won 1 of their 8 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:30What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Khairov
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-1 in 8
Khairov
Correct
gap of 6 in 8, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Khairov 1524 vs Solomko 1543
Solomko
Wrong
both rated, 19 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Khairov 80% vs Solomko 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Khairov 50% vs Solomko 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Khairov -1 · Solomko +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 64% — Clear lean (leans Khairov)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Solomko form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKhairov 1.50 / Solomko 2.50
Signal prob.64% / 36%
Edge (Khairov)+1.6pp
Setka Cup · #13089225
Khairov1.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite61% won 57 of 93
Up 2–0, closes it87% 27 of 31
Up 1–0, closes it80% 41 of 51
Solomko2.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog48% won 135 of 280
Down 0–1, comes back26% 39 of 153
Down 0–2, comes back6% 5 of 87
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomeKhairov7wins
AwaySolomko1wins
3 of 8 to a deciderKhairov leads 7–1, and 3 of those 8 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKhairov100%3 of 3
AwaySolomko20%1 of 5
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Khairov3Solomko5n = 8Solomko took 5 of 8
S2Khairov7Solomko1n = 8Khairov took 7 of 8
S3Khairov6Solomko2n = 8Khairov took 6 of 8
S4Khairov5Solomko2n = 7Khairov took 5 of 7
S5Khairov2Solomko1n = 3Khairov took 2 of 3
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home113%
3–1Four sets, home450%
3–2Decider, home225%
2–3Decider, away113%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 8 meetings
MetricKhairovSolomkoK − SBasisWins71+6in 8 meetingsFirst set35−2of 8Avg pointsper match44.537.9+6.6per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKhairovSolomkoBasisWin rate · lifetime196 / 423 vs 524 / 102346.3%51.2%196 / 423 vs 524 / 1023Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.437.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KhairovKhairov 1.50/Solomko 2.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
64.1%
Khairov · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Khairov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
WSep 3 · 08:00D. Khairov—151146113S. Solomko—138111142
WAug 30 · 06:20D. Khairov—1113113S. Solomko—61150
WAug 24 · 10:00D. Khairov—111211113S. Solomko—1310691
WAug 23 · 06:20D. Khairov—711118133S. Solomko—117911112
WAug 18 · 06:05D. Khairov—11118113S. Solomko—751161
WAug 17 · 07:35D. Khairov—111111113S. Solomko—139371
LJul 29 · 07:05D. Khairov—69111192S. Solomko—111166113
WApr 23 · 07:30D. Khairov—131111133S. Solomko—1587111
D. Khairov10
LSep 3 · 11:00D. Khairov1.734111031E. Populovskyi2.0011612113WSep 3 · 09:00O. Osadchyi1.737410D. Khairov2.001111113WSep 3 · 08:00D. Khairov1.50151146113S. Solomko2.50138111142WSep 3 · 07:00I. Emets1.6710750D. Khairov2.101211113WSep 3 · 05:30D. Khairov1.40111313113A. Kurtenko2.753151151LSep 2 · 11:00V. Kolesnykov2.2551111113D. Khairov1.57119441LSep 2 · 10:00O. Volynets1.5381111113D. Khairov2.38116951LSep 2 · 08:30I. Emets1.831211113D. Khairov1.8310380WSep 2 · 06:30A. Troyan1.611181211102D. Khairov2.20711149123LSep 2 · 04:30A. Kotiash1.50155811113D. Khairov2.50131111692
S. Solomko10
LSep 7 · 06:30S. Solomko2.009880O. Volynets1.731111113WSep 6 · 12:50A. Kovalenko1.83381111S. Solomko1.831111393WSep 6 · 11:20S. Solomko1.251211113M. Stetsenko3.7510670LSep 6 · 09:20O. Lipeiko1.91611611153S. Solomko1.80111118132WSep 6 · 07:20D. Patalakha1.73119391S. Solomko2.0071111113WSep 6 · 06:20E. Populovskyi3.25117971S. Solomko1.3381111113LSep 5 · 19:00O. Tymofeev1.44111110113S. Solomko2.63771281LSep 5 · 17:30S. Solomko1.919790F. Voinarovskyi1.801111113LSep 5 · 15:30D. Patalakha1.8311112S. Solomko1.83690LSep 3 · 08:00D. Khairov1.50151146113S. Solomko2.50138111142
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