TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13060453
Played Sep 2Finished
Andrey Troyan
Home
1.62
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
11781112141191012
Dmytro Khairov
Away
2.20
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:15 and never touched — 58.1% is still 58.1%
Graded at full timeAndrey Troyan to win
58.1%
58.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingAndrey Troyan above · Dmytro Khairov below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 12-14
Set 4 · 11-9
Set 5 · 10-12
Point 105 set 5, 10-12 — our read held Andrey Troyan at 58.1%
105 points played in total.
H2H Andrey Troyan 43–26 Dmytro Khairov Dmytro Khairov has won 26 of their 69 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:15What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Troyan
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
43-26 in 69
Troyan
Wrong
gap of 17 in 69, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Troyan 1564 vs Khairov 1524
Troyan
Wrong
both rated, 40 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Troyan 60% vs Khairov 40%
Troyan
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Troyan 60% vs Khairov 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Troyan +2 · Khairov -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Troyan)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTroyan 1.61 / Khairov 2.20
Signal prob.58% / 42%
Edge (Troyan)+0.4pp
Setka Cup · #13060453
Troyan1.61
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite65% won 174 of 268
Up 2–0, closes it94% 93 of 99
Up 1–0, closes it78% 131 of 167
Khairov2.20
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog37% won 42 of 113
Down 0–1, comes back21% 13 of 62
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 33
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeTroyan2wins
AwayKhairov8wins
3 of 10 to a deciderKhairov leads 8–2, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeTroyan40%2 of 5
AwayKhairov100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Troyan5Khairov5n = 10split evenly
S2Troyan3Khairov7n = 10Khairov took 7 of 10
S3Troyan4Khairov6n = 10Khairov took 6 of 10
S4Troyan3Khairov4n = 7Khairov took 4 of 7
S5Troyan0Khairov3n = 3Khairov took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricTroyanKhairovT − KBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match36.741.4−4.7per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTroyanKhairovBasisWin rate · lifetime456 / 969 vs 196 / 42347.1%46.3%456 / 969 vs 196 / 423Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.337.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TroyanTroyan 1.61/Khairov 2.20
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
58.1%
Troyan · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Khairov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 2 · 06:30A. Troyan—1181211102D. Khairov—711149123
LAug 31 · 08:00A. Troyan—1166101D. Khairov—51111123
WAug 26 · 08:35A. Troyan—111311123D. Khairov—9159101
LJul 21 · 08:05A. Troyan—1071181D. Khairov—12118113
LJul 20 · 10:35A. Troyan—153841D. Khairov—131111113
LJun 29 · 11:30A. Troyan—8990D. Khairov—1111113
WJun 28 · 05:35A. Troyan—1211113D. Khairov—10890
LJun 20 · 10:35A. Troyan—101171142D. Khairov—128115113
LJun 3 · 12:05A. Troyan—61311842D. Khairov—1111711113
LMay 19 · 07:30A. Troyan—8880D. Khairov—1111113
A. Troyan10
WSep 7 · 08:00D. Khairov2.204580A. Troyan1.611111113WSep 7 · 06:00O. Osadchyi5.004690A. Troyan1.141111113WSep 7 · 05:00V. Kolesnykov2.751134101A. Troyan1.4081111123WSep 5 · 10:52A. Troyan1.73118711113Y. Kovshun2.0071111272LSep 5 · 09:50Y. Kovshun1.50314119123A. Troyan2.501112811102LSep 5 · 08:20I. Efimenko1.531111113A. Troyan2.388870WSep 5 · 06:48A. Kotiash2.007240A. Troyan1.731111113LSep 5 · 05:48Y. Volkov1.57512115113A. Troyan2.25111091152LSep 4 · 11:30R. Sopivnyk1.171111113A. Troyan4.505870WSep 4 · 10:00A. Troyan1.806121111113O. Karpenko1.9111146892
D. Khairov10
LSep 7 · 08:00D. Khairov2.204580A. Troyan1.611111113WSep 7 · 07:00V. Kolesnykov2.10124591D. Khairov1.67101111113WSep 7 · 05:30D. Khairov1.502011113S. Solomko2.5018880LSep 3 · 11:00D. Khairov1.734111031E. Populovskyi2.0011612113WSep 3 · 09:00O. Osadchyi1.737410D. Khairov2.001111113WSep 3 · 08:00D. Khairov1.50151146113S. Solomko2.50138111142WSep 3 · 07:00I. Emets1.6710750D. Khairov2.101211113WSep 3 · 05:30D. Khairov1.40111313113A. Kurtenko2.753151151LSep 2 · 11:00V. Kolesnykov2.2551111113D. Khairov1.57119441LSep 2 · 10:00O. Volynets1.5381111113D. Khairov2.38116951
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.