TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13060610
Played Sep 2Finished
Andrii Kotiash
Home
1.50
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 4
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1513511811116119
Dmytro Khairov
Away
2.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:54 and never touched — 62.5% is still 62.5%
Graded at full timeAndrii Kotiash to win
62.5%
62.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAndrii Kotiash above · Dmytro Khairov below
Set 1 · 15-13
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 11-6
Set 5 · 11-9
Point 100 set 5, 11-9 — our read held Andrii Kotiash at 62.5%
100 points played in total.
H2H Andrii Kotiash 4–0 Dmytro Khairov Dmytro Khairov has won 0 of their 4 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:54What took a side4 for · 2 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Kotiash
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-0 in 4
Kotiash
Correct
gap of 4 in 4, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kotiash 1526 vs Khairov 1523
Kotiash
Correct
both rated, 2 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kotiash 20% vs Khairov 60%
Khairov
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kotiash 30% vs Khairov 60%
Khairov
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kotiash -4 · Khairov -1
Kotiash
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Kotiash)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Khairov form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKotiash 1.50 / Khairov 2.50
Signal prob.63% / 38%
Edge (Kotiash)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13060610
Kotiash1.50
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite70% won 51 of 73
Up 2–0, closes it92% 22 of 24
Up 1–0, closes it87% 34 of 39
Khairov2.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog36% won 39 of 107
Down 0–1, comes back20% 12 of 59
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 32
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeKotiash4wins
AwayKhairov0wins
1 of 4 to a deciderKotiash leads 4–0, and 1 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKotiash100%3 of 3
AwayKhairovn = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kotiash3Khairov1n = 4Kotiash took 3 of 4
S2Kotiash2Khairov2n = 4split evenly
S3Kotiash3Khairov1n = 4Kotiash took 3 of 4
S4Kotiash3Khairov0n = 3Kotiash took 3 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home125%
3–1Four sets, home250%
3–2Decider, home125%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 4 meetings
MetricKotiashKhairovKotiash − KhairovBasisWins40+4in 4 meetingsFirst set31+2of 4Avg pointsper match41.034.2+6.8per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKotiashKhairovBasisWin rate · lifetime215 / 451 vs 191 / 41447.7%46.1%215 / 451 vs 191 / 414Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.037.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KotiashKotiash 1.50/Khairov 2.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
62.5%
Kotiash · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Kotiash won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
WSep 2 · 04:30A. Kotiash—155811113D. Khairov—131111692
WAug 26 · 07:35A. Kotiash—1111113D. Khairov—8770
WApr 7 · 11:35A. Kotiash—61111113D. Khairov—119571
WApr 11 · 07:00A. Kotiash—11911113D. Khairov—811681
A. Kotiash10
LSep 5 · 10:19A. Kotiash3.259115101Y. Volkov1.3311211123LSep 5 · 09:20A. Kotiash4.333640I. Efimenko1.201111113WSep 5 · 07:48A. Kotiash1.91117711113Y. Kovshun1.8091111972LSep 5 · 06:48A. Kotiash2.007240A. Troyan1.731111113WSep 4 · 10:30Y. Volkov1.25741151A. Kotiash3.7511119113WSep 4 · 09:30A. Kotiash2.635141211113R. Sopivnyk1.44111610972LSep 4 · 08:30A. Kotiash2.00101050O. Karpenko1.731212113LSep 4 · 07:00A. Kotiash1.57118841Y. Kovshun2.2591111113WSep 4 · 05:00A. Kotiash2.10631211153A. Troyan1.671111107132WSep 2 · 10:30A. Kotiash1.831111711113I. Emets1.8381311572
D. Khairov10
LSep 7 · 08:00D. Khairov2.204580A. Troyan1.611111113WSep 7 · 07:00V. Kolesnykov2.10124591D. Khairov1.67101111113WSep 7 · 05:30D. Khairov1.502011113S. Solomko2.5018880LSep 3 · 11:00D. Khairov1.734111031E. Populovskyi2.0011612113WSep 3 · 09:00O. Osadchyi1.737410D. Khairov2.001111113WSep 3 · 08:00D. Khairov1.50151146113S. Solomko2.50138111142WSep 3 · 07:00I. Emets1.6710750D. Khairov2.101211113WSep 3 · 05:30D. Khairov1.40111313113A. Kurtenko2.753151151LSep 2 · 11:00V. Kolesnykov2.2551111113D. Khairov1.57119441LSep 2 · 10:00O. Volynets1.5381111113D. Khairov2.38116951
Upcoming Matches
A. Kotiash
Nothing scheduled
D. Khairov
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