TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13084183
Played Sep 6Finished
Oleksandr Lipeiko
Home
1.91
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
6111116111181513
Serhii Solomko
Away
1.80
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:21 and never touched — 54.7% is still 54.7%
Graded at full timeSerhii Solomko to win
54.7%
54.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingOleksandr Lipeiko above · Serhii Solomko below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 11-1
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 11-8
Set 5 · 15-13
Point 93 set 5, 15-13 — our read held Serhii Solomko at 54.7%
93 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Lipeiko 6–9 Serhii Solomko Oleksandr Lipeiko has won 6 of their 15 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:21What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Solomko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-9 in 15
Solomko
Wrong
gap of 3 in 15, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Lipeiko 1392 vs Solomko 1544
Solomko
Wrong
both rated, 152 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Lipeiko 20% vs Solomko 40%
Solomko
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Lipeiko 20% vs Solomko 50%
Solomko
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Lipeiko +1 · Solomko +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Solomko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Solomko form (40%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLipeiko 1.91 / Solomko 1.80
Signal prob.45% / 55%
Edge (Solomko)+3.2pp
Setka Cup · #13084183
Lipeiko1.91
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog42% won 54 of 130
Down 0–1, comes back27% 18 of 68
Down 0–2, comes back6% 2 of 34
Solomko1.80
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite63% won 129 of 205
Up 2–0, closes it91% 64 of 70
Up 1–0, closes it81% 92 of 114
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeLipeiko3wins
AwaySolomko7wins
4 of 10 to a deciderSolomko leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLipeiko28.6%2 of 7
AwaySolomko66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Lipeiko7Solomko3n = 10Lipeiko took 7 of 10
S2Lipeiko3Solomko7n = 10Solomko took 7 of 10
S3Lipeiko5Solomko5n = 10split evenly
S4Lipeiko2Solomko7n = 9Solomko took 7 of 9
S5Lipeiko1Solomko3n = 4Solomko took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricLipeikoSolomkoL − SBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match41.544.1−2.6per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLipeikoSolomkoBasisWin rate · lifetime243 / 505 vs 522 / 102048.1%51.2%243 / 505 vs 522 / 1020Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.637.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SolomkoLipeiko 1.91/Solomko 1.80
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54.7%
Solomko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Lipeiko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 2 · 12:05O. Lipeiko—111011852S. Solomko—812711113
LAug 17 · 10:05O. Lipeiko—119931S. Solomko—91111113
WJul 25 · 14:00O. Lipeiko—131110133S. Solomko—11712111
WJul 23 · 06:05O. Lipeiko—814114113S. Solomko—111271192
LJul 17 · 06:05O. Lipeiko—138119102S. Solomko—1111411123
WJul 14 · 05:30O. Lipeiko—11116113S. Solomko—451171
LJun 28 · 12:50O. Lipeiko—10512131S. Solomko—121110153
LMay 31 · 12:20O. Lipeiko—1114111052S. Solomko—916612113
LMay 17 · 12:50O. Lipeiko—55140S. Solomko—1111163
LMay 14 · 08:00O. Lipeiko—1171281S. Solomko—71114113
O. Lipeiko10
LSep 7 · 06:05O. Lipeiko2.508460O. Shyshman1.501111113LSep 6 · 12:20O. Lipeiko1.571171091M. Stetsenko2.2511112113LSep 6 · 10:20D. Patalakha1.73291111113O. Lipeiko2.0011117652WSep 6 · 08:20E. Populovskyi2.202390O. Lipeiko1.611111113LSep 6 · 06:50O. Lipeiko1.83109100A. Kovalenko1.831211123LSep 2 · 12:05O. Lipeiko1.83111011852S. Solomko1.83812711113LSep 2 · 10:05A. Kurtenko1.8091111113O. Lipeiko1.91119861LSep 2 · 08:05O. Osadchyi1.731111113O. Lipeiko2.003730LSep 2 · 07:05O. Lipeiko1.5315413372E. Populovskyi2.3813111111113LSep 2 · 06:05S. Hryhorenko1.531111113O. Lipeiko2.386690
S. Solomko10
LSep 7 · 06:30S. Solomko2.009880O. Volynets1.731111113LSep 7 · 05:30D. Khairov1.502011113S. Solomko2.5018880WSep 6 · 12:50A. Kovalenko1.83381111S. Solomko1.831111393WSep 6 · 11:20S. Solomko1.251211113M. Stetsenko3.7510670WSep 6 · 07:20D. Patalakha1.73119391S. Solomko2.0071111113WSep 6 · 06:20E. Populovskyi3.25117971S. Solomko1.3381111113LSep 5 · 19:00O. Tymofeev1.44111110113S. Solomko2.63771281LSep 5 · 17:30S. Solomko1.919790F. Voinarovskyi1.801111113LSep 5 · 15:30D. Patalakha1.8311112S. Solomko1.83690WSep 2 · 12:05O. Lipeiko1.83111011852S. Solomko1.83812711113
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