TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13084195
Played Sep 6Finished
Oleksandr Lipeiko
Home
1.57
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1117111012911––
Maksym Stetsenko
Away
2.25
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:20 and never touched — 56.7% is still 56.7%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Lipeiko to win
56.7%
56.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingOleksandr Lipeiko above · Maksym Stetsenko below
Set 1 · 11-1
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 72 set 4, 9-11 — our read held Oleksandr Lipeiko at 56.7%
72 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Lipeiko 2–2 Maksym Stetsenko Dead even across their 4 meetings.
Last 4 · 2–2Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:20What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Lipeiko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-2 in 4
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Lipeiko 1399 vs Stetsenko 1327
Lipeiko
Wrong
both rated, 72 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Lipeiko 40% vs Stetsenko 20%
Lipeiko
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Lipeiko 20% vs Stetsenko 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Lipeiko -1 · Stetsenko -3
Stetsenko
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Lipeiko) · live re-read · sealed at 57% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Stetsenko form (20%) is below what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLipeiko 1.57 / Stetsenko 2.25
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Lipeiko)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13084195
Lipeiko1.57
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite53% won 61 of 115
Up 2–0, closes it84% 37 of 44
Up 1–0, closes it74% 49 of 66
Stetsenko2.25
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog44% won 98 of 221
Down 0–1, comes back24% 30 of 123
Down 0–2, comes back7% 4 of 61
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeLipeiko2wins
AwayStetsenko2wins
2 of 4 to a deciderLevel at 2–2, and 2 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLipeiko66.7%2 of 3
AwayStetsenkon = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Lipeiko3Stetsenko1n = 4Lipeiko took 3 of 4
S2Lipeiko1Stetsenko3n = 4Stetsenko took 3 of 4
S3Lipeiko1Stetsenko3n = 4Stetsenko took 3 of 4
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home125%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home125%
2–3Decider, away125%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away125%
These 4 meetings
MetricLipeikoStetsenkoL − SBasisWins220in 4 meetingsFirst set31+2of 4Avg pointsper match38.039.2−1.2per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLipeikoStetsenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime244 / 507 vs 436 / 83648.1%52.2%244 / 507 vs 436 / 836Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.637.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LipeikoLipeiko 1.57/Stetsenko 2.25
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
58.9%
Lipeiko · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Stetsenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
LAug 24 · 09:20O. Lipeiko—11481252M. Stetsenko—9111110113
WJul 13 · 07:50O. Lipeiko—1111113M. Stetsenko—6980
WJul 1 · 16:00O. Lipeiko—1171011113M. Stetsenko—81112962
LJun 29 · 10:20O. Lipeiko—91280M. Stetsenko—1114113
O. Lipeiko10
LSep 7 · 06:05O. Lipeiko2.508460O. Shyshman1.501111113LSep 6 · 10:20D. Patalakha1.73291111113O. Lipeiko2.0011117652WSep 6 · 09:20O. Lipeiko1.91611611153S. Solomko1.80111118132WSep 6 · 08:20E. Populovskyi2.202390O. Lipeiko1.611111113LSep 6 · 06:50O. Lipeiko1.83109100A. Kovalenko1.831211123LSep 2 · 12:05O. Lipeiko1.83111011852S. Solomko1.83812711113LSep 2 · 10:05A. Kurtenko1.8091111113O. Lipeiko1.91119861LSep 2 · 08:05O. Osadchyi1.731111113O. Lipeiko2.003730LSep 2 · 07:05O. Lipeiko1.5315413372E. Populovskyi2.3813111111113LSep 2 · 06:05S. Hryhorenko1.531111113O. Lipeiko2.386690
M. Stetsenko10
WSep 7 · 05:50V. Korniichuk2.7511470M. Stetsenko1.401311113LSep 6 · 11:20S. Solomko1.251211113M. Stetsenko3.7510670LSep 6 · 09:50E. Populovskyi1.301111113M. Stetsenko3.406890LSep 6 · 07:50A. Kovalenko1.4012711113M. Stetsenko2.751011791WSep 6 · 05:50D. Patalakha1.61781171M. Stetsenko2.2011114113LSep 4 · 11:05M. Stetsenko2.6368120K. Klymenko1.441111143LSep 4 · 09:35M. Stetsenko1.73611831V. Melnykov2.0011311113LSep 4 · 08:05M. Stetsenko2.631111171A. Kovalenko1.4411813113WSep 4 · 06:35M. Stetsenko1.4411714113O. Mytsyk2.636111241LSep 4 · 05:05M. Stetsenko3.406116111E. Populovskyi1.3011911133
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