TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13088805
Played Sep 7Finished
Vitalii Korniichuk
Home
2.75
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
1113411711––––
Maksym Stetsenko
Away
1.40
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:31 and never touched — 68.7% is still 68.7%
Graded at full timeMaksym Stetsenko to win
68.7%
68.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVitalii Korniichuk above · Maksym Stetsenko below
Set 1 · 11-13
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Point 57 set 3, 7-11 — our read held Maksym Stetsenko at 68.7%
57 points played in total.
H2H Vitalii Korniichuk 21–49 Maksym Stetsenko Vitalii Korniichuk has won 21 of their 70 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:31What took a side3 for · 3 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Stetsenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
21-49 in 70
Stetsenko
Correct
gap of 28 in 70, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Korniichuk 1338 vs Stetsenko 1353
Stetsenko
Correct
both rated, 15 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Korniichuk 80% vs Stetsenko 40%
Korniichuk
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Korniichuk 60% vs Stetsenko 30%
Korniichuk
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Korniichuk +3 · Stetsenko +1
Korniichuk
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 69% — Clear lean (leans Stetsenko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Stetsenko form (40%) is below what odds imply (71%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKorniichuk 2.75 / Stetsenko 1.40
Signal prob.31% / 69%
Edge (Stetsenko)+2.4pp
Setka Cup · #13088805
Korniichuk2.75
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
As underdog39% won 28 of 72
Down 0–1, comes back24% 9 of 38
Down 0–2, comes back4% 1 of 23
Stetsenko1.40
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite67% won 124 of 186
Up 2–0, closes it99% 74 of 75
Up 1–0, closes it89% 98 of 110
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKorniichuk3wins
AwayStetsenko7wins
3 of 10 to a deciderStetsenko leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKorniichuk50%2 of 4
AwayStetsenko83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Korniichuk4Stetsenko6n = 10Stetsenko took 6 of 10
S2Korniichuk5Stetsenko5n = 10split evenly
S3Korniichuk2Stetsenko8n = 10Stetsenko took 8 of 10
S4Korniichuk2Stetsenko3n = 5Stetsenko took 3 of 5
S5Korniichuk1Stetsenko2n = 3Stetsenko took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricKorniichukStetsenkoK − SBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match34.737.2−2.5per matchSweeps14−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKorniichukStetsenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime276 / 499 vs 437 / 83755.3%52.2%276 / 499 vs 437 / 837Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.437.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StetsenkoKorniichuk 2.75/Stetsenko 1.40
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
68.7%
Stetsenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Stetsenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJun 15 · 05:50V. Korniichuk—8360M. Stetsenko—1111113
WJun 10 · 08:00V. Korniichuk—91111113M. Stetsenko—113851
WMay 22 · 06:00V. Korniichuk—1112123M. Stetsenko—210100
LMay 19 · 07:05V. Korniichuk—69130M. Stetsenko—1111153
LApr 27 · 08:05V. Korniichuk—118791M. Stetsenko—91111113
LApr 24 · 06:00V. Korniichuk—91151282M. Stetsenko—1171110113
WApr 22 · 07:30V. Korniichuk—1111610143M. Stetsenko—961112122
LApr 20 · 07:30V. Korniichuk—11117992M. Stetsenko—471111113
LApr 17 · 08:00V. Korniichuk—9760M. Stetsenko—1111113
LApr 15 · 08:05V. Korniichuk—61080M. Stetsenko—1112113
V. Korniichuk10
WSep 3 · 11:05D. Khavanskyi2.00871141V. Korniichuk1.7311114113WSep 3 · 10:05V. Korniichuk1.20111011113S. Osipov4.33712541WSep 3 · 09:05V. Korniichuk1.281111113M. Khalenko3.509970LSep 3 · 07:35V. Korniichuk1.3671111882V. Stukalov3.00119611113WSep 3 · 05:35V. Korniichuk1.611251011123S. Semenets2.201011123102LSep 1 · 11:35V. Korniichuk1.61111411682D. Khavanskyi2.20716911113WSep 1 · 09:35O. Miklukha2.63711111062V. Korniichuk1.44117912113LSep 1 · 08:35V. Korniichuk1.5311791182S. Semenets2.38911119113WSep 1 · 07:35V. Stukalov3.00661141V. Korniichuk1.3611118113LSep 1 · 06:05V. Korniichuk2.75117127102S. Yakimenko1.408111011123
M. Stetsenko10
WSep 6 · 12:20O. Lipeiko1.571171091M. Stetsenko2.2511112113LSep 6 · 11:20S. Solomko1.251211113M. Stetsenko3.7510670LSep 6 · 09:50E. Populovskyi1.301111113M. Stetsenko3.406890LSep 6 · 07:50A. Kovalenko1.4012711113M. Stetsenko2.751011791WSep 6 · 05:50D. Patalakha1.61781171M. Stetsenko2.2011114113LSep 4 · 11:05M. Stetsenko2.6368120K. Klymenko1.441111143LSep 4 · 09:35M. Stetsenko1.73611831V. Melnykov2.0011311113LSep 4 · 08:05M. Stetsenko2.631111171A. Kovalenko1.4411813113WSep 4 · 06:35M. Stetsenko1.4411714113O. Mytsyk2.636111241LSep 4 · 05:05M. Stetsenko3.406116111E. Populovskyi1.3011911133
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