TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13054594
Played Sep 1Finished
Vladyslav Stukalov
Home
3.00
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 3
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
611611118411––
Vitalii Korniichuk
Away
1.36
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:17 and never touched — 69.2% is still 69.2%
Graded at full timeVitalii Korniichuk to win
69.2%
69.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVladyslav Stukalov above · Vitalii Korniichuk below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 4-11
Point 68 set 4, 4-11 — our read held Vitalii Korniichuk at 69.2%
68 points played in total.
H2H Vladyslav Stukalov 21–29 Vitalii Korniichuk Vladyslav Stukalov has won 21 of their 50 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:17What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (69%)
Korniichuk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
21-29 in 50
Korniichuk
Correct
gap of 8 in 50, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Stukalov 1262 vs Korniichuk 1319
Korniichuk
Correct
both rated, 56 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Stukalov 60% vs Korniichuk 20%
Stukalov
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Stukalov 40% vs Korniichuk 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Stukalov +3 · Korniichuk -2
Stukalov
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 69% — Clear lean (leans Korniichuk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Korniichuk form (20%) is below what odds imply (73%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStukalov 3.00 / Korniichuk 1.36
Signal prob.31% / 69%
Edge (Korniichuk)+0.4pp
Setka Cup · #13054594
Stukalov3.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog47% won 102 of 218
Down 0–1, comes back21% 25 of 118
Down 0–2, comes back10% 7 of 69
Korniichuk1.36
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite68% won 70 of 103
Up 2–0, closes it98% 41 of 42
Up 1–0, closes it83% 53 of 64
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeStukalov1wins
AwayKorniichuk9wins
1 of 10 to a deciderKorniichuk leads 9–1, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeStukalovn = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayKorniichuk88.9%8 of 9
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Stukalov1Korniichuk9n = 10Korniichuk took 9 of 10
S2Stukalov2Korniichuk8n = 10Korniichuk took 8 of 10
S3Stukalov2Korniichuk8n = 10Korniichuk took 8 of 10
S4Stukalov1Korniichuk4n = 5Korniichuk took 4 of 5
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away550%
These 10 meetings
MetricStukalovKorniichukS − KBasisWins19−8in 10 meetingsFirst set19−8of 10Avg pointsper match27.139.5−12.4per matchSweeps05−53–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStukalovKorniichukBasisWin rate · lifetime408 / 810 vs 273 / 49550.4%55.2%408 / 810 vs 273 / 495Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.538.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KorniichukStukalov 3.00/Korniichuk 1.36
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
69.2%
Korniichuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Korniichuk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 1 · 07:35V. Stukalov—661141V. Korniichuk—11118113
WAug 24 · 11:05V. Stukalov—7121411113V. Korniichuk—111016872
LJun 10 · 07:00V. Stukalov—0430V. Korniichuk—1111113
LMay 22 · 09:00V. Stukalov—3250V. Korniichuk—1111113
LMay 19 · 11:35V. Stukalov—5530V. Korniichuk—1111113
LApr 27 · 09:35V. Stukalov—14111361V. Korniichuk—121315113
LApr 24 · 09:00V. Stukalov—9970V. Korniichuk—1111113
LApr 22 · 09:00V. Stukalov—11290V. Korniichuk—1311113
LApr 20 · 09:00V. Stukalov—891181V. Korniichuk—11118113
LApr 17 · 05:00V. Stukalov—412791V. Korniichuk—111011113
V. Stukalov10
WSep 7 · 06:20V. Stukalov1.831111113S. Semenets1.835930LSep 5 · 11:05V. Mukhin1.361111113V. Stukalov3.009850LSep 5 · 10:05V. Stukalov1.8312711692V. Kucheriavyi1.831011511113WSep 5 · 09:05V. Stukalov1.831511153S. Semenets1.83137130LSep 5 · 07:35V. Stukalov1.53117991O. Stopin2.3841111113LSep 5 · 05:35V. Stukalov2.001012471V. Varchenko1.73121011113LSep 3 · 11:35V. Stukalov2.0011911492M. Khalenko1.73111911113LSep 3 · 09:35D. Khavanskyi1.611111113V. Stukalov2.206740WSep 3 · 08:35V. Stukalov1.8311512113S. Semenets1.839111061WSep 3 · 07:35V. Korniichuk1.3671111882V. Stukalov3.00119611113
V. Korniichuk10
WSep 7 · 07:20V. Korniichuk1.53111011113S. Semenets2.38912471LSep 7 · 05:50V. Korniichuk2.7511470M. Stetsenko1.401311113WSep 3 · 11:05D. Khavanskyi2.00871141V. Korniichuk1.7311114113WSep 3 · 10:05V. Korniichuk1.20111011113S. Osipov4.33712541WSep 3 · 09:05V. Korniichuk1.281111113M. Khalenko3.509970LSep 3 · 07:35V. Korniichuk1.3671111882V. Stukalov3.00119611113WSep 3 · 05:35V. Korniichuk1.611251011123S. Semenets2.201011123102LSep 1 · 11:35V. Korniichuk1.61111411682D. Khavanskyi2.20716911113WSep 1 · 09:35O. Miklukha2.63711111062V. Korniichuk1.44117912113LSep 1 · 08:35V. Korniichuk1.5311791182S. Semenets2.38911119113
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