TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13079197
Played Sep 5Finished
Vladyslav Stukalov
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1210711115611911
Vadym Kucheriavyi
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 6Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 6
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:38 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeVladyslav Stukalov to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongpick shipped
How it is goingVladyslav Stukalov above · Vadym Kucheriavyi below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 6-11
Set 5 · 9-11
Point 93 set 5, 9-11 — our read held Vladyslav Stukalov at 54.0%
93 points played in total.
H2H Vladyslav Stukalov 7–5 Vadym Kucheriavyi Vadym Kucheriavyi has won 5 of their 12 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:38What took a side4 for · 2 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Kucheriavyi
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-5 in 12
Stukalov
Wrong
gap of 2 in 12, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Stukalov 1263 vs Kucheriavyi 1186
Stukalov
Wrong
both rated, 76 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Stukalov 20% vs Kucheriavyi 0%
Stukalov
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Stukalov 60% vs Kucheriavyi 20%
Stukalov
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Stukalov +1 · Kucheriavyi -5
Kucheriavyi
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 0 silent — and the gate let it through as .
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Stukalov)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kucheriavyi form (0%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStukalov 1.83 / Kucheriavyi 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Stukalov)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13079197
Stukalov1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Kucheriavyi1.83
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 6
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeStukalov7wins
AwayKucheriavyi3wins
4 of 10 to a deciderStukalov leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeStukalov75%6 of 8
AwayKucheriavyin = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Stukalov8Kucheriavyi2n = 10Stukalov took 8 of 10
S2Stukalov5Kucheriavyi5n = 10split evenly
S3Stukalov4Kucheriavyi6n = 10Kucheriavyi took 6 of 10
S4Stukalov4Kucheriavyi2n = 6Stukalov took 4 of 6
S5Stukalov3Kucheriavyi1n = 4Stukalov took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricStukalovKucheriavyiS − KBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match40.437.0+3.4per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStukalovKucheriavyiBasisWin rate · lifetime409 / 811 vs 47 / 11750.4%40.2%409 / 811 vs 47 / 117Avg sets wonper match2.01.8per matchAvg pointsper match36.535.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StukalovStukalov 1.83/Kucheriavyi 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Stukalov · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Kucheriavyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 22 · 07:00V. Stukalov—115991V. Kucheriavyi—51111113
WAug 1 · 07:00V. Stukalov—1112113V. Kucheriavyi—51040
WJul 26 · 15:10V. Stukalov—1311113V. Kucheriavyi—11790
WJul 19 · 17:10V. Stukalov—118911113V. Kucheriavyi—91111772
LJun 27 · 09:00V. Stukalov—166211112V. Kucheriavyi—1411114133
WJun 21 · 13:10V. Stukalov—116911153V. Kucheriavyi—511116132
WJun 14 · 06:05V. Stukalov—1117113V. Kucheriavyi—61540
WJun 7 · 16:40V. Stukalov—11117133V. Kucheriavyi—8511111
WMay 30 · 07:00V. Stukalov—711119123V. Kucheriavyi—115811102
LMay 23 · 07:00V. Stukalov—45130V. Kucheriavyi—1111153
V. Stukalov10
WSep 7 · 06:20V. Stukalov1.831111113S. Semenets1.835930LSep 5 · 11:05V. Mukhin1.361111113V. Stukalov3.009850WSep 5 · 09:05V. Stukalov1.831511153S. Semenets1.83137130LSep 5 · 07:35V. Stukalov1.53117991O. Stopin2.3841111113LSep 5 · 05:35V. Stukalov2.001012471V. Varchenko1.73121011113LSep 3 · 11:35V. Stukalov2.0011911492M. Khalenko1.73111911113LSep 3 · 09:35D. Khavanskyi1.611111113V. Stukalov2.206740WSep 3 · 08:35V. Stukalov1.8311512113S. Semenets1.839111061WSep 3 · 07:35V. Korniichuk1.3671111882V. Stukalov3.00119611113WSep 3 · 06:05V. Stukalov1.2011911113S. Osipov4.33611561
V. Kucheriavyi10
WSep 5 · 12:05V. Kucheriavyi1.61411411123V. Varchenko2.20119118102LSep 5 · 08:05V. Mukhin1.571112113V. Kucheriavyi2.2561020LSep 5 · 07:05V. Kucheriavyi1.831111361S. Semenets1.8313811113LSep 5 · 06:05O. Stopin3.251181216113V. Kucheriavyi1.33911101852LAug 22 · 11:00V. Kucheriavyi1.61118871S. Semenets2.2051111113LAug 22 · 09:00S. Baranskyi2.2511119113V. Kucheriavyi1.57791161LAug 22 · 08:00V. Kucheriavyi2.0071070V. Kondratenko1.731112113WAug 22 · 07:00V. Stukalov1.73115991V. Kucheriavyi2.0051111113WAug 22 · 05:30V. Kucheriavyi1.53411612113V. Varchenko2.38117111092LAug 16 · 11:35V. Kucheriavyi1.4011511572M. Khalenko2.75311911113
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