TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13054709
Played Sep 1Finished
Oleh Miklukha
Home
2.63
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
7111171191012611
Vitalii Korniichuk
Away
1.44
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:25 and never touched — 66.7% is still 66.7%
Graded at full timeVitalii Korniichuk to win
66.7%
66.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOleh Miklukha above · Vitalii Korniichuk below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 10-12
Set 5 · 6-11
Point 95 set 5, 6-11 — our read held Vitalii Korniichuk at 66.7%
95 points played in total.
H2H Oleh Miklukha 13–24 Vitalii Korniichuk Oleh Miklukha has won 13 of their 37 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:25What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Korniichuk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
13-24 in 37
Korniichuk
Correct
gap of 11 in 37, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Miklukha 1180 vs Korniichuk 1314
Korniichuk
Correct
both rated, 134 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Miklukha 40% vs Korniichuk 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Miklukha 50% vs Korniichuk 30%
Miklukha
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Miklukha -1 · Korniichuk -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Korniichuk) · live re-read · sealed at 67% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Korniichuk form (40%) is below what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMiklukha 2.63 / Korniichuk 1.44
Signal prob.35% / 65%
Edge (Korniichuk)+0.8pp
Setka Cup · #13054709
Miklukha2.63
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog36% won 42 of 118
Down 0–1, comes back13% 8 of 63
Down 0–2, comes back5% 2 of 39
Korniichuk1.44
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite69% won 68 of 99
Up 2–0, closes it98% 40 of 41
Up 1–0, closes it85% 51 of 60
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMiklukha4wins
AwayKorniichuk6wins
4 of 10 to a deciderKorniichuk leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMiklukha66.7%4 of 6
AwayKorniichuk100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Miklukha6Korniichuk4n = 10Miklukha took 6 of 10
S2Miklukha5Korniichuk5n = 10split evenly
S3Miklukha3Korniichuk7n = 10Korniichuk took 7 of 10
S4Miklukha1Korniichuk4n = 5Korniichuk took 4 of 5
S5Miklukha2Korniichuk2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricMiklukhaKorniichukM − KBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match35.538.0−2.5per matchSweeps23−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMiklukhaKorniichukBasisWin rate · lifetime216 / 463 vs 272 / 49346.7%55.2%216 / 463 vs 272 / 493Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.938.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KorniichukMiklukha 2.63/Korniichuk 1.44
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
65.3%
Korniichuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Korniichuk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 1 · 09:35O. Miklukha—711111062V. Korniichuk—117912113
WJun 10 · 11:00O. Miklukha—1111113V. Korniichuk—8750
LApr 6 · 10:30O. Miklukha—5970V. Korniichuk—1111113
WApr 3 · 10:30O. Miklukha—111196113V. Korniichuk—88111152
LMar 27 · 05:30O. Miklukha—151110682V. Korniichuk—1391211113
LMar 25 · 11:30O. Miklukha—8690V. Korniichuk—1111113
LMar 20 · 11:30O. Miklukha—67100V. Korniichuk—1111123
WMar 18 · 09:30O. Miklukha—1111123V. Korniichuk—89100
LMar 13 · 05:30O. Miklukha—116871V. Korniichuk—71111113
WMar 4 · 10:00O. Miklukha—118511113V. Korniichuk—91111762
O. Miklukha10
LSep 1 · 11:05O. Miklukha2.50119751V. Stukalov1.5081111113LSep 1 · 08:05O. Miklukha3.001171112102S. Yakimenko1.36511614123WSep 1 · 06:35O. Miklukha2.101212113S. Semenets1.67101050WSep 1 · 05:05O. Miklukha2.501111113D. Khavanskyi1.508960LAug 26 · 10:30O. Miklukha2.00771371O. Stopin1.73111111113LAug 26 · 09:00O. Miklukha2.20981391V. Stukalov1.61111111113LAug 26 · 07:30O. Miklukha1.739111161O. Ponomarenko2.0011139113LAug 26 · 06:00O. Miklukha2.2041111662S. Semenets1.61119611113WAug 26 · 04:30O. Miklukha2.6313118113D. Khavanskyi1.441191191WAug 25 · 11:05O. Miklukha1.331311113K. Vernudin3.2511980
V. Korniichuk10
WSep 7 · 07:20V. Korniichuk1.53111011113S. Semenets2.38912471LSep 7 · 05:50V. Korniichuk2.7511470M. Stetsenko1.401311113WSep 3 · 11:05D. Khavanskyi2.00871141V. Korniichuk1.7311114113WSep 3 · 10:05V. Korniichuk1.20111011113S. Osipov4.33712541WSep 3 · 09:05V. Korniichuk1.281111113M. Khalenko3.509970LSep 3 · 07:35V. Korniichuk1.3671111882V. Stukalov3.00119611113WSep 3 · 05:35V. Korniichuk1.611251011123S. Semenets2.201011123102LSep 1 · 11:35V. Korniichuk1.61111411682D. Khavanskyi2.20716911113LSep 1 · 08:35V. Korniichuk1.5311791182S. Semenets2.38911119113WSep 1 · 07:35V. Stukalov3.00661141V. Korniichuk1.3611118113
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