TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13055124
Played Sep 1Finished
Oleh Miklukha
Home
2.10
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
12101210115––––
Serhii Semenets
Away
1.67
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:07 and never touched — 59.8% is still 59.8%
Graded at full timeSerhii Semenets to win
59.8%
59.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingOleh Miklukha above · Serhii Semenets below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 11-5
Point 60 set 3, 11-5 — our read held Serhii Semenets at 59.8%
60 points played in total.
H2H Oleh Miklukha 8–13 Serhii Semenets Oleh Miklukha has won 8 of their 21 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:07What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Semenets
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
8-13 in 21
Semenets
Wrong
gap of 5 in 21, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Miklukha 1163 vs Semenets 1275
Semenets
Wrong
both rated, 112 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Miklukha 20% vs Semenets 40%
Semenets
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Miklukha 50% vs Semenets 70%
Semenets
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Miklukha +1 · Semenets -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Semenets) · live re-read · sealed at 60% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Semenets form (40%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMiklukha 2.10 / Semenets 1.67
Signal prob.41% / 59%
Edge (Semenets)+3.2pp
Setka Cup · #13055124
Miklukha2.10
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog36% won 44 of 123
Down 0–1, comes back13% 8 of 64
Down 0–2, comes back5% 2 of 39
Semenets1.67
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite52% won 97 of 187
Up 2–0, closes it93% 51 of 55
Up 1–0, closes it75% 75 of 100
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMiklukha5wins
AwaySemenets5wins
6 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMiklukha60%3 of 5
AwaySemenets60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Miklukha5Semenets5n = 10split evenly
S2Miklukha7Semenets3n = 10Miklukha took 7 of 10
S3Miklukha4Semenets6n = 10Semenets took 6 of 10
S4Miklukha5Semenets2n = 7Miklukha took 5 of 7
S5Miklukha2Semenets4n = 6Semenets took 4 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricMiklukhaSemenetsM − SBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match41.242.3−1.1per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMiklukhaSemenetsBasisWin rate · lifetime214 / 459 vs 417 / 82646.6%50.5%214 / 459 vs 417 / 826Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.937.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SemenetsMiklukha 2.10/Semenets 1.67
Miss
What we said
59%
Semenets · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Miklukha won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 1 · 06:35O. Miklukha—1212113S. Semenets—101050
LAug 26 · 06:00O. Miklukha—41111662S. Semenets—119611113
LAug 18 · 09:30O. Miklukha—91070S. Semenets—1112113
LJul 28 · 06:00O. Miklukha—119121132S. Semenets—711146113
LJul 22 · 17:00O. Miklukha—71141182S. Semenets—119119113
WJul 15 · 16:00O. Miklukha—111359123S. Semenets—9111111102
WJul 8 · 12:30O. Miklukha—141111123S. Semenets—1666101
WJun 30 · 05:30O. Miklukha—1311511133S. Semenets—156115112
WJun 24 · 14:40O. Miklukha—1111173S. Semenets—98150
LJun 15 · 09:00O. Miklukha—11651132S. Semenets—511118113
O. Miklukha10
LSep 1 · 11:05O. Miklukha2.50119751V. Stukalov1.5081111113LSep 1 · 09:35O. Miklukha2.63711111062V. Korniichuk1.44117912113LSep 1 · 08:05O. Miklukha3.001171112102S. Yakimenko1.36511614123WSep 1 · 05:05O. Miklukha2.501111113D. Khavanskyi1.508960LAug 26 · 10:30O. Miklukha2.00771371O. Stopin1.73111111113LAug 26 · 09:00O. Miklukha2.20981391V. Stukalov1.61111111113LAug 26 · 07:30O. Miklukha1.739111161O. Ponomarenko2.0011139113LAug 26 · 06:00O. Miklukha2.2041111662S. Semenets1.61119611113WAug 26 · 04:30O. Miklukha2.6313118113D. Khavanskyi1.441191191WAug 25 · 11:05O. Miklukha1.331311113K. Vernudin3.2511980
S. Semenets10
LSep 7 · 07:20V. Korniichuk1.53111011113S. Semenets2.38912471LSep 7 · 06:20V. Stukalov1.831111113S. Semenets1.835930LSep 5 · 11:35O. Stopin1.915111011133S. Semenets1.80115126112WSep 5 · 10:35V. Varchenko2.6310119121S. Semenets1.4412811143LSep 5 · 09:05V. Stukalov1.831511153S. Semenets1.83137130WSep 5 · 07:05V. Kucheriavyi1.831111361S. Semenets1.8313811113WSep 5 · 05:05V. Mukhin1.4411126762S. Semenets2.639101111113LSep 4 · 19:00S. Semenets2.25811891M. Khalenko1.5711511113WSep 4 · 17:00Y. Korotin1.91100S. Semenets1.80121WAug 26 · 06:00O. Miklukha2.2041111662S. Semenets1.61119611113
Upcoming Matches
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S. Semenets
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