TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13015922
Played Aug 26Finished
Oleh Miklukha
Home
2.20
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
411119116611611
Serhii Semenets
Away
1.62
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 24:31 and never touched — 56.9% is still 56.9%
Graded at full timeSerhii Semenets to win
56.9%
56.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightpick shipped
How it is goingOleh Miklukha above · Serhii Semenets below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 6-11
Set 5 · 6-11
Point 86 set 5, 6-11 — our read held Serhii Semenets at 56.9%
86 points played in total.
H2H Oleh Miklukha 7–12 Serhii Semenets Oleh Miklukha has won 7 of their 19 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 24:31What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Semenets
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-12 in 19
Semenets
Correct
gap of 5 in 19, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Miklukha 1198 vs Semenets 1264
Semenets
Correct
both rated, 67 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Miklukha 80% vs Semenets 60%
Miklukha
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Miklukha 60% vs Semenets 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Miklukha +3 · Semenets +2
Miklukha
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and the gate let it through as .
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Semenets) · live re-read · sealed at 57% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Miklukha form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMiklukha 2.20 / Semenets 1.61
Signal prob.41% / 59%
Edge (Semenets)+1.2pp
Setka Cup · #13015922
Miklukha2.20
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog36% won 44 of 123
Down 0–1, comes back12% 8 of 65
Down 0–2, comes back5% 2 of 40
Semenets1.61
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite52% won 99 of 189
Up 2–0, closes it93% 52 of 56
Up 1–0, closes it75% 75 of 100
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMiklukha4wins
AwaySemenets6wins
5 of 10 to a deciderSemenets leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMiklukha50%2 of 4
AwaySemenets66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Miklukha4Semenets6n = 10Semenets took 6 of 10
S2Miklukha5Semenets5n = 10split evenly
S3Miklukha2Semenets8n = 10Semenets took 8 of 10
S4Miklukha5Semenets1n = 6Miklukha took 5 of 6
S5Miklukha2Semenets3n = 5Semenets took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricMiklukhaSemenetsM − SBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match38.141.7−3.6per matchSweeps13−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMiklukhaSemenetsBasisWin rate · lifetime219 / 465 vs 412 / 82147.1%50.2%219 / 465 vs 412 / 821Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.937.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SemenetsMiklukha 2.20/Semenets 1.61
Hit
What we said
58.9%
Semenets · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Semenets won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 18 · 09:30O. Miklukha—91070S. Semenets—1112113
LJul 28 · 06:00O. Miklukha—119121132S. Semenets—711146113
LJul 22 · 17:00O. Miklukha—71141182S. Semenets—119119113
WJul 15 · 16:00O. Miklukha—111359123S. Semenets—9111111102
WJul 8 · 12:30O. Miklukha—141111123S. Semenets—1666101
WJun 30 · 05:30O. Miklukha—1311511133S. Semenets—156115112
WJun 24 · 14:40O. Miklukha—1111173S. Semenets—98150
LJun 15 · 09:00O. Miklukha—11651132S. Semenets—511118113
LJun 4 · 13:40O. Miklukha—9770S. Semenets—1111113
LJun 2 · 10:30O. Miklukha—54100S. Semenets—1111123
O. Miklukha10
LSep 1 · 11:05O. Miklukha2.50119751V. Stukalov1.5081111113LSep 1 · 09:35O. Miklukha2.63711111062V. Korniichuk1.44117912113LSep 1 · 08:05O. Miklukha3.001171112102S. Yakimenko1.36511614123WSep 1 · 06:35O. Miklukha2.101212113S. Semenets1.67101050WSep 1 · 05:05O. Miklukha2.501111113D. Khavanskyi1.508960LAug 26 · 10:30O. Miklukha2.00771371O. Stopin1.73111111113LAug 26 · 09:00O. Miklukha2.20981391V. Stukalov1.61111111113LAug 26 · 07:30O. Miklukha1.739111161O. Ponomarenko2.0011139113WAug 26 · 04:30O. Miklukha2.6313118113D. Khavanskyi1.441191191WAug 25 · 11:05O. Miklukha1.331311113K. Vernudin3.2511980
S. Semenets10
LSep 7 · 07:20V. Korniichuk1.53111011113S. Semenets2.38912471LSep 7 · 06:20V. Stukalov1.831111113S. Semenets1.835930LSep 5 · 11:35O. Stopin1.915111011133S. Semenets1.80115126112WSep 5 · 10:35V. Varchenko2.6310119121S. Semenets1.4412811143LSep 5 · 09:05V. Stukalov1.831511153S. Semenets1.83137130WSep 5 · 07:05V. Kucheriavyi1.831111361S. Semenets1.8313811113WSep 5 · 05:05V. Mukhin1.4411126762S. Semenets2.639101111113LSep 4 · 19:00S. Semenets2.25811891M. Khalenko1.5711511113WSep 4 · 17:00Y. Korotin1.91100S. Semenets1.80121LSep 1 · 06:35O. Miklukha2.101212113S. Semenets1.67101050
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