TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13015898
Played Aug 26Finished
Oleh Miklukha
Home
2.63
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1311119811119––
Denys Khavanskyi
Away
1.44
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 24:20 and never touched — 65.7% is still 65.7%
Graded at full timeDenys Khavanskyi to win
65.7%
65.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingOleh Miklukha above · Denys Khavanskyi below
Set 1 · 13-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 11-9
Point 83 set 4, 11-9 — our read held Denys Khavanskyi at 65.7%
83 points played in total.
H2H Oleh Miklukha 3–6 Denys Khavanskyi Oleh Miklukha has won 3 of their 9 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 24:20What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Khavanskyi
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-6 in 9
Khavanskyi
Wrong
gap of 3 in 9, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Miklukha 1184 vs Khavanskyi 1217
Khavanskyi
Wrong
both rated, 32 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Miklukha 80% vs Khavanskyi 60%
Miklukha
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Miklukha 50% vs Khavanskyi 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Miklukha +2 · Khavanskyi +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Khavanskyi)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Miklukha form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMiklukha 2.63 / Khavanskyi 1.44
Signal prob.34% / 66%
Edge (Khavanskyi)+1.2pp
Setka Cup · #13015898
Miklukha2.63
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog35% won 43 of 122
Down 0–1, comes back12% 8 of 65
Down 0–2, comes back5% 2 of 40
Khavanskyi1.44
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite26% won 7 of 27
Up 1–0, closes it63% 5 of 8
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomeMiklukha3wins
AwayKhavanskyi6wins
2 of 9 to a deciderKhavanskyi leads 6–3, and 2 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMiklukha100%3 of 3
AwayKhavanskyi100%6 of 6
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Miklukha3Khavanskyi6n = 9Khavanskyi took 6 of 9
S2Miklukha5Khavanskyi4n = 9Miklukha took 5 of 9
S3Miklukha4Khavanskyi5n = 9Khavanskyi took 5 of 9
S4Miklukha1Khavanskyi4n = 5Khavanskyi took 4 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home222%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home111%
2–3Decider, away111%
1–3Four sets, away333%
0–3Straight, away222%
These 9 meetings
MetricMiklukhaKhavanskyiM − KBasisWins36−3in 9 meetingsFirst set36−3of 9Avg pointsper match36.636.4+0.2per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMiklukhaKhavanskyiBasisWin rate · lifetime218 / 464 vs 148 / 29147%50.9%218 / 464 vs 148 / 291Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.935.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KhavanskyiMiklukha 2.63/Khavanskyi 1.44
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
65.7%
Khavanskyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Miklukha won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
WAug 25 · 05:05O. Miklukha—111197113D. Khavanskyi—57111172
LAug 26 · 12:40O. Miklukha—10690D. Khavanskyi—1211113
LJul 31 · 16:20O. Miklukha—1081191D. Khavanskyi—12116113
LJul 29 · 11:40O. Miklukha—571191D. Khavanskyi—11116113
LJul 22 · 14:40O. Miklukha—103100D. Khavanskyi—1211123
WJul 13 · 12:40O. Miklukha—1111113D. Khavanskyi—5480
WMay 12 · 11:00O. Miklukha—1111113D. Khavanskyi—9980
LMay 10 · 04:30O. Miklukha—9111391D. Khavanskyi—11915113
LMay 5 · 10:30O. Miklukha—1111131182D. Khavanskyi—136155113
O. Miklukha10
LSep 1 · 11:05O. Miklukha2.50119751V. Stukalov1.5081111113LSep 1 · 09:35O. Miklukha2.63711111062V. Korniichuk1.44117912113LSep 1 · 08:05O. Miklukha3.001171112102S. Yakimenko1.36511614123WSep 1 · 06:35O. Miklukha2.101212113S. Semenets1.67101050WSep 1 · 05:05O. Miklukha2.501111113D. Khavanskyi1.508960LAug 26 · 10:30O. Miklukha2.00771371O. Stopin1.73111111113LAug 26 · 09:00O. Miklukha2.20981391V. Stukalov1.61111111113LAug 26 · 07:30O. Miklukha1.739111161O. Ponomarenko2.0011139113LAug 26 · 06:00O. Miklukha2.2041111662S. Semenets1.61119611113WAug 25 · 11:05O. Miklukha1.331311113K. Vernudin3.2511980
D. Khavanskyi10
LSep 4 · 18:30S. Yakimenko1.671111113D. Khavanskyi2.105780LSep 4 · 17:30M. Khalenko2.1091111113D. Khavanskyi1.67116931WSep 4 · 16:00Y. Korotin2.253980D. Khavanskyi1.571111113LSep 4 · 14:00S. Semenets2.259111111113D. Khavanskyi1.5711135882LSep 4 · 12:00V. Mukhin1.9151111113D. Khavanskyi1.80117591LSep 3 · 11:05D. Khavanskyi2.00871141V. Korniichuk1.7311114113WSep 3 · 09:35D. Khavanskyi1.611111113V. Stukalov2.206740LSep 3 · 08:05D. Khavanskyi1.25126531S. Osipov3.75101111113WSep 3 · 06:35D. Khavanskyi1.671111113S. Semenets2.109980LSep 1 · 05:05O. Miklukha2.501111113D. Khavanskyi1.508960
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