TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13054593
Played Sep 1Finished
Oleh Miklukha
Home
3.00
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
11571111612141012
Stefan Yakimenko
Away
1.36
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:16 and never touched — 71.6% is still 71.6%
Graded at full timeStefan Yakimenko to win
71.6%
71.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOleh Miklukha above · Stefan Yakimenko below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 12-14
Set 5 · 10-12
Point 99 set 5, 10-12 — our read held Stefan Yakimenko at 71.6%
99 points played in total.
H2H Oleh Miklukha 0–1 Stefan Yakimenko Oleh Miklukha has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:16What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (69%)
Yakimenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Miklukha 1186 vs Yakimenko 1368
Yakimenko
Correct
both rated, 183 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Miklukha 40% vs Yakimenko 20%
Miklukha
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Miklukha 50% vs Yakimenko 10%
Miklukha
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Miklukha +2 · Yakimenko -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 69% — Clear lean (leans Yakimenko) · live re-read · sealed at 72% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Yakimenko form (20%) is below what odds imply (73%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMiklukha 3.00 / Yakimenko 1.36
Signal prob.31% / 69%
Edge (Yakimenko)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13054593
Miklukha3.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog36% won 42 of 118
Down 0–1, comes back13% 8 of 63
Down 0–2, comes back5% 2 of 39
Yakimenko1.36
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite62% won 53 of 86
Up 2–0, closes it93% 26 of 28
Up 1–0, closes it79% 37 of 47
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeMiklukha0wins
AwayYakimenko1wins
1 of 1 to a deciderYakimenko leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricMiklukhaYakimenkoM − YBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match40.048.0−8.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMiklukhaYakimenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime216 / 461 vs 391 / 79546.9%49.2%216 / 461 vs 391 / 795Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.937.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
YakimenkoMiklukha 3.00/Yakimenko 1.36
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
68.8%
Yakimenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Yakimenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LJan 26 · 08:05O. Miklukha—11511942S. Yakimenko—811711113
O. Miklukha10
LSep 1 · 11:05O. Miklukha2.50119751V. Stukalov1.5081111113LSep 1 · 09:35O. Miklukha2.63711111062V. Korniichuk1.44117912113WSep 1 · 06:35O. Miklukha2.101212113S. Semenets1.67101050WSep 1 · 05:05O. Miklukha2.501111113D. Khavanskyi1.508960LAug 26 · 10:30O. Miklukha2.00771371O. Stopin1.73111111113LAug 26 · 09:00O. Miklukha2.20981391V. Stukalov1.61111111113LAug 26 · 07:30O. Miklukha1.739111161O. Ponomarenko2.0011139113LAug 26 · 06:00O. Miklukha2.2041111662S. Semenets1.61119611113WAug 26 · 04:30O. Miklukha2.6313118113D. Khavanskyi1.441191191WAug 25 · 11:05O. Miklukha1.331311113K. Vernudin3.2511980
S. Yakimenko10
WSep 4 · 18:30S. Yakimenko1.671111113D. Khavanskyi2.105780WSep 4 · 16:30V. Mukhin2.6386100S. Yakimenko1.441111123LSep 4 · 15:30S. Yakimenko1.8311611552M. Khalenko1.83711911113LSep 4 · 14:30Y. Korotin3.50911811113S. Yakimenko1.2811911772LSep 4 · 13:00S. Yakimenko1.73711511122S. Semenets2.00115119143LSep 1 · 12:05S. Yakimenko1.737490S. Semenets2.001111113LSep 1 · 10:05V. Stukalov2.631111113S. Yakimenko1.448690LSep 1 · 07:05S. Yakimenko1.50115991D. Khavanskyi2.5041111113WSep 1 · 06:05V. Korniichuk2.75117127102S. Yakimenko1.408111011123LJul 16 · 12:20S. Yakimenko2.009420A. Kurtenko1.731111113
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