TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13015914
Played Aug 26Finished
Oleh Miklukha
Home
2.20
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
9118111311911––
Vladyslav Stukalov
Away
1.62
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 24:31 and never touched — 58.9% is still 58.9%
Graded at full timeVladyslav Stukalov to win
58.9%
58.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOleh Miklukha above · Vladyslav Stukalov below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 13-11
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 83 set 4, 9-11 — our read held Vladyslav Stukalov at 58.9%
83 points played in total.
H2H Oleh Miklukha 32–56 Vladyslav Stukalov Oleh Miklukha has won 32 of their 88 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 24:31What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Stukalov
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
32-56 in 88
Stukalov
Correct
gap of 24 in 88, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Miklukha 1173 vs Stukalov 1225
Stukalov
Correct
both rated, 53 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Miklukha 60% vs Stukalov 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Miklukha 60% vs Stukalov 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Miklukha -2 · Stukalov -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Stukalov) · live re-read · sealed at 59% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Miklukha form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMiklukha 2.20 / Stukalov 1.61
Signal prob.39% / 61%
Edge (Stukalov)+3.2pp
Setka Cup · #13015914
Miklukha2.20
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog36% won 44 of 123
Down 0–1, comes back12% 8 of 65
Down 0–2, comes back5% 2 of 40
Stukalov1.61
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite54% won 111 of 207
Up 2–0, closes it95% 61 of 64
Up 1–0, closes it82% 81 of 99
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMiklukha4wins
AwayStukalov6wins
3 of 10 to a deciderStukalov leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMiklukha66.7%4 of 6
AwayStukalov100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Miklukha6Stukalov4n = 10Miklukha took 6 of 10
S2Miklukha3Stukalov7n = 10Stukalov took 7 of 10
S3Miklukha4Stukalov6n = 10Stukalov took 6 of 10
S4Miklukha5Stukalov4n = 9Miklukha took 5 of 9
S5Miklukha1Stukalov2n = 3Stukalov took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricMiklukhaStukalovM − SBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match40.440.3+0.1per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMiklukhaStukalovBasisWin rate · lifetime219 / 467 vs 402 / 79846.9%50.4%219 / 467 vs 402 / 798Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.936.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StukalovMiklukha 2.20/Stukalov 1.61
Hit
What we said
60.9%
Stukalov · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Stukalov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 19 · 07:00O. Miklukha—771161V. Stukalov—11119113
LAug 18 · 07:00O. Miklukha—1171011102V. Stukalov—511124123
WAug 13 · 11:50O. Miklukha—15114113V. Stukalov—1381171
LJul 28 · 09:00O. Miklukha—128111162V. Stukalov—141197113
WJul 20 · 07:00O. Miklukha—118119113V. Stukalov—51191172
LJun 22 · 07:35O. Miklukha—13980V. Stukalov—1511113
LJun 17 · 13:10O. Miklukha—991181V. Stukalov—11116113
LJun 10 · 08:30O. Miklukha—1161081V. Stukalov—71112113
WMay 18 · 07:00O. Miklukha—11115113V. Stukalov—681141
WMay 1 · 09:00O. Miklukha—111112113V. Stukalov—791471
O. Miklukha10
LSep 1 · 11:05O. Miklukha2.50119751V. Stukalov1.5081111113LSep 1 · 09:35O. Miklukha2.63711111062V. Korniichuk1.44117912113LSep 1 · 08:05O. Miklukha3.001171112102S. Yakimenko1.36511614123WSep 1 · 06:35O. Miklukha2.101212113S. Semenets1.67101050WSep 1 · 05:05O. Miklukha2.501111113D. Khavanskyi1.508960LAug 26 · 10:30O. Miklukha2.00771371O. Stopin1.73111111113LAug 26 · 07:30O. Miklukha1.739111161O. Ponomarenko2.0011139113LAug 26 · 06:00O. Miklukha2.2041111662S. Semenets1.61119611113WAug 26 · 04:30O. Miklukha2.6313118113D. Khavanskyi1.441191191WAug 25 · 11:05O. Miklukha1.331311113K. Vernudin3.2511980
V. Stukalov10
WSep 7 · 06:20V. Stukalov1.831111113S. Semenets1.835930LSep 5 · 11:05V. Mukhin1.361111113V. Stukalov3.009850LSep 5 · 10:05V. Stukalov1.8312711692V. Kucheriavyi1.831011511113WSep 5 · 09:05V. Stukalov1.831511153S. Semenets1.83137130LSep 5 · 07:35V. Stukalov1.53117991O. Stopin2.3841111113LSep 5 · 05:35V. Stukalov2.001012471V. Varchenko1.73121011113LSep 3 · 11:35V. Stukalov2.0011911492M. Khalenko1.73111911113LSep 3 · 09:35D. Khavanskyi1.611111113V. Stukalov2.206740WSep 3 · 08:35V. Stukalov1.8311512113S. Semenets1.839111061WSep 1 · 11:05O. Miklukha2.50119751V. Stukalov1.5081111113
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