TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13054814
Played Sep 1Finished
Oleh Miklukha
Home
2.50
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 4
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
118119116––––
Denys Khavanskyi
Away
1.50
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:55 and never touched — 62.1% is still 62.1%
Graded at full timeDenys Khavanskyi to win
62.1%
62.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingOleh Miklukha above · Denys Khavanskyi below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-6
Point 56 set 3, 11-6 — our read held Denys Khavanskyi at 62.1%
56 points played in total.
H2H Oleh Miklukha 4–6 Denys Khavanskyi Oleh Miklukha has won 4 of their 10 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:55What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Khavanskyi
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-6 in 10
Khavanskyi
Wrong
gap of 2 in 10, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Miklukha 1148 vs Khavanskyi 1263
Khavanskyi
Wrong
both rated, 115 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Miklukha 20% vs Khavanskyi 80%
Khavanskyi
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Miklukha 50% vs Khavanskyi 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Miklukha -4 · Khavanskyi +4
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Khavanskyi) · live re-read · sealed at 62% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Khavanskyi form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMiklukha 2.50 / Khavanskyi 1.50
Signal prob.34% / 66%
Edge (Khavanskyi)+3.2pp
Setka Cup · #13054814
Miklukha2.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog36% won 42 of 118
Down 0–1, comes back13% 8 of 63
Down 0–2, comes back5% 2 of 39
Khavanskyi1.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite37% won 16 of 43
Up 2–0, closes it100% 9 of 9
Up 1–0, closes it74% 14 of 19
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMiklukha4wins
AwayKhavanskyi6wins
2 of 10 to a deciderKhavanskyi leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMiklukha100%4 of 4
AwayKhavanskyi100%6 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Miklukha4Khavanskyi6n = 10Khavanskyi took 6 of 10
S2Miklukha6Khavanskyi4n = 10Miklukha took 6 of 10
S3Miklukha4Khavanskyi6n = 10Khavanskyi took 6 of 10
S4Miklukha2Khavanskyi4n = 6Khavanskyi took 4 of 6
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricMiklukhaKhavanskyiM − KBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match37.236.8+0.4per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMiklukhaKhavanskyiBasisWin rate · lifetime214 / 459 vs 152 / 29646.6%51.4%214 / 459 vs 152 / 296Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.935.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KhavanskyiMiklukha 2.50/Khavanskyi 1.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
65.7%
Khavanskyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Miklukha won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 26 · 04:30O. Miklukha—13118113D. Khavanskyi—1191191
WAug 25 · 05:05O. Miklukha—111197113D. Khavanskyi—57111172
LAug 26 · 12:40O. Miklukha—10690D. Khavanskyi—1211113
LJul 31 · 16:20O. Miklukha—1081191D. Khavanskyi—12116113
LJul 29 · 11:40O. Miklukha—571191D. Khavanskyi—11116113
LJul 22 · 14:40O. Miklukha—103100D. Khavanskyi—1211123
WJul 13 · 12:40O. Miklukha—1111113D. Khavanskyi—5480
WMay 12 · 11:00O. Miklukha—1111113D. Khavanskyi—9980
LMay 10 · 04:30O. Miklukha—9111391D. Khavanskyi—11915113
LMay 5 · 10:30O. Miklukha—1111131182D. Khavanskyi—136155113
O. Miklukha10
LSep 1 · 11:05O. Miklukha2.50119751V. Stukalov1.5081111113LSep 1 · 09:35O. Miklukha2.63711111062V. Korniichuk1.44117912113LSep 1 · 08:05O. Miklukha3.001171112102S. Yakimenko1.36511614123WSep 1 · 06:35O. Miklukha2.101212113S. Semenets1.67101050LAug 26 · 10:30O. Miklukha2.00771371O. Stopin1.73111111113LAug 26 · 09:00O. Miklukha2.20981391V. Stukalov1.61111111113LAug 26 · 07:30O. Miklukha1.739111161O. Ponomarenko2.0011139113LAug 26 · 06:00O. Miklukha2.2041111662S. Semenets1.61119611113WAug 26 · 04:30O. Miklukha2.6313118113D. Khavanskyi1.441191191WAug 25 · 11:05O. Miklukha1.331311113K. Vernudin3.2511980
D. Khavanskyi10
LSep 4 · 18:30S. Yakimenko1.671111113D. Khavanskyi2.105780LSep 4 · 17:30M. Khalenko2.1091111113D. Khavanskyi1.67116931WSep 4 · 16:00Y. Korotin2.253980D. Khavanskyi1.571111113LSep 4 · 14:00S. Semenets2.259111111113D. Khavanskyi1.5711135882LSep 4 · 12:00V. Mukhin1.9151111113D. Khavanskyi1.80117591LSep 3 · 11:05D. Khavanskyi2.00871141V. Korniichuk1.7311114113WSep 3 · 09:35D. Khavanskyi1.611111113V. Stukalov2.206740LSep 3 · 08:05D. Khavanskyi1.25126531S. Osipov3.75101111113WSep 3 · 06:35D. Khavanskyi1.671111113S. Semenets2.109980LAug 26 · 04:30O. Miklukha2.6313118113D. Khavanskyi1.441191191
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