TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13015934
Played Aug 26Finished
Oleh Miklukha
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 3
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
7117111311711––
Oleh Stopin
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 24:31 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeOleh Stopin to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOleh Miklukha above · Oleh Stopin below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 13-11
Set 4 · 7-11
Point 78 set 4, 7-11 — our read held Oleh Stopin at 54.0%
78 points played in total.
H2H Oleh Miklukha 9–17 Oleh Stopin Oleh Miklukha has won 9 of their 26 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 24:31What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Stopin
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
9-17 in 26
Stopin
Correct
gap of 8 in 26, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Miklukha 1162 vs Stopin 1100
Miklukha
Wrong
both rated, 62 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Miklukha 40% vs Stopin 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Miklukha 60% vs Stopin 20%
Miklukha
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Miklukha -3 · Stopin +1
Miklukha
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Stopin)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Stopin form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMiklukha 2.00 / Stopin 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Stopin)+0.3pp
Setka Cup · #13015934
Miklukha2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog36% won 44 of 123
Down 0–1, comes back12% 8 of 65
Down 0–2, comes back5% 2 of 40
Stopin1.73
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite74% won 51 of 69
Up 2–0, closes it93% 26 of 28
Up 1–0, closes it92% 35 of 38
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMiklukha4wins
AwayStopin6wins
6 of 10 to a deciderStopin leads 6–4, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMiklukhan = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayStopin75%6 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Miklukha2Stopin8n = 10Stopin took 8 of 10
S2Miklukha7Stopin3n = 10Miklukha took 7 of 10
S3Miklukha5Stopin5n = 10split evenly
S4Miklukha4Stopin2n = 6Miklukha took 4 of 6
S5Miklukha2Stopin4n = 6Stopin took 4 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricMiklukhaStopinM − SBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match38.139.0−0.9per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMiklukhaStopinBasisWin rate · lifetime219 / 468 vs 141 / 28046.8%50.4%219 / 468 vs 141 / 280Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.936.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StopinMiklukha 2.00/Stopin 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Stopin · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Stopin won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJul 15 · 17:00O. Miklukha—611131172O. Stopin—119159113
WJul 8 · 14:30O. Miklukha—561111113O. Stopin—11118692
WJun 4 · 15:10O. Miklukha—811117113O. Stopin—11981182
LMar 13 · 11:30O. Miklukha—41151172O. Stopin—117115113
LFeb 7 · 11:30O. Miklukha—81191162O. Stopin—116117113
LDec 31 · 05:30O. Miklukha—5550O. Stopin—1111113
WDec 25 · 10:00O. Miklukha—1111113O. Stopin—7580
WDec 21 · 14:40O. Miklukha—111183O. Stopin—9430
LNov 23 · 18:10O. Miklukha—1011119102O. Stopin—126711123
LAug 16 · 08:20O. Miklukha—910100O. Stopin—1112123
O. Miklukha10
LSep 1 · 11:05O. Miklukha2.50119751V. Stukalov1.5081111113LSep 1 · 09:35O. Miklukha2.63711111062V. Korniichuk1.44117912113LSep 1 · 08:05O. Miklukha3.001171112102S. Yakimenko1.36511614123WSep 1 · 06:35O. Miklukha2.101212113S. Semenets1.67101050WSep 1 · 05:05O. Miklukha2.501111113D. Khavanskyi1.508960LAug 26 · 09:00O. Miklukha2.20981391V. Stukalov1.61111111113LAug 26 · 07:30O. Miklukha1.739111161O. Ponomarenko2.0011139113LAug 26 · 06:00O. Miklukha2.2041111662S. Semenets1.61119611113WAug 26 · 04:30O. Miklukha2.6313118113D. Khavanskyi1.441191191WAug 25 · 11:05O. Miklukha1.331311113K. Vernudin3.2511980
O. Stopin10
WSep 5 · 11:35O. Stopin1.915111011133S. Semenets1.80115126112LSep 5 · 09:35V. Mukhin1.201111113O. Stopin4.339760WSep 5 · 08:35O. Stopin2.2081211113V. Varchenko1.611110821WSep 5 · 07:35V. Stukalov1.53117991O. Stopin2.3841111113WSep 5 · 06:05O. Stopin3.251181216113V. Kucheriavyi1.33911101852LAug 29 · 11:50V. Mukhin1.221111113O. Stopin4.009440LAug 29 · 10:50O. Stopin1.83691141S. Semenets1.8311116113WAug 29 · 09:50O. Stopin1.281111113O. Ponomarenko3.506830WAug 29 · 08:20O. Stopin2.251115143V. Stukalov1.57913120WAug 29 · 06:20O. Stopin2.5014118113D. Khavanskyi1.501271171
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