TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13038099
Played Aug 29Finished
Oleh Stopin
Home
2.50
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1412117811117––
Denys Khavanskyi
Away
1.50
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:21 and never touched — 66.5% is still 66.5%
Graded at full timeDenys Khavanskyi to win
66.5%
66.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingOleh Stopin above · Denys Khavanskyi below
Set 1 · 14-12
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 11-7
Point 81 set 4, 11-7 — our read held Denys Khavanskyi at 66.5%
81 points played in total.
H2H Oleh Stopin 4–6 Denys Khavanskyi Oleh Stopin has won 4 of their 10 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:21What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Khavanskyi
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-6 in 10
Khavanskyi
Wrong
gap of 2 in 10, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Stopin 1126 vs Khavanskyi 1263
Khavanskyi
Wrong
both rated, 136 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Stopin 40% vs Khavanskyi 80%
Khavanskyi
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Stopin 30% vs Khavanskyi 70%
Khavanskyi
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Stopin +2 · Khavanskyi +4
Khavanskyi
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Khavanskyi) · live re-read · sealed at 67% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Khavanskyi form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStopin 2.50 / Khavanskyi 1.50
Signal prob.34% / 66%
Edge (Khavanskyi)+3.2pp
Setka Cup · #13038099
Stopin2.50
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog23% won 15 of 64
Down 0–1, comes back17% 6 of 36
Down 0–2, comes back8% 2 of 25
Khavanskyi1.50
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite37% won 16 of 43
Up 2–0, closes it100% 9 of 9
Up 1–0, closes it74% 14 of 19
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeStopin4wins
AwayKhavanskyi6wins
2 of 10 to a deciderKhavanskyi leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeStopin66.7%4 of 6
AwayKhavanskyi100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Stopin6Khavanskyi4n = 10Stopin took 6 of 10
S2Stopin5Khavanskyi5n = 10split evenly
S3Stopin5Khavanskyi5n = 10split evenly
S4Stopin1Khavanskyi6n = 7Khavanskyi took 6 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricStopinKhavanskyiS − KBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match34.436.3−1.9per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStopinKhavanskyiBasisWin rate · lifetime143 / 281 vs 152 / 29650.9%51.4%143 / 281 vs 152 / 296Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.735.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KhavanskyiStopin 2.50/Khavanskyi 1.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
65.7%
Khavanskyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Stopin won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 29 · 06:20O. Stopin—14118113D. Khavanskyi—1271171
LAug 26 · 08:30O. Stopin—1081141D. Khavanskyi—12117113
WAug 23 · 11:05O. Stopin—1111133D. Khavanskyi—45110
LSep 6 · 09:05O. Stopin—111251062D. Khavanskyi—7101112113
LAug 30 · 09:05O. Stopin—61020D. Khavanskyi—1112113
LAug 23 · 08:05O. Stopin—711961D. Khavanskyi—11811113
WAug 9 · 09:35O. Stopin—115117113D. Khavanskyi—41161182
LJul 31 · 15:20O. Stopin—117251D. Khavanskyi—61111113
LJul 26 · 09:05O. Stopin—1151171D. Khavanskyi—13119113
WJun 28 · 05:50O. Stopin—1111113D. Khavanskyi—4480
O. Stopin10
WSep 5 · 11:35O. Stopin1.915111011133S. Semenets1.80115126112LSep 5 · 09:35V. Mukhin1.201111113O. Stopin4.339760WSep 5 · 08:35O. Stopin2.2081211113V. Varchenko1.611110821WSep 5 · 07:35V. Stukalov1.53117991O. Stopin2.3841111113WSep 5 · 06:05O. Stopin3.251181216113V. Kucheriavyi1.33911101852LAug 29 · 11:50V. Mukhin1.221111113O. Stopin4.009440LAug 29 · 10:50O. Stopin1.83691141S. Semenets1.8311116113WAug 29 · 09:50O. Stopin1.281111113O. Ponomarenko3.506830WAug 29 · 08:20O. Stopin2.251115143V. Stukalov1.57913120WAug 26 · 10:30O. Miklukha2.00771371O. Stopin1.73111111113
D. Khavanskyi10
LSep 4 · 18:30S. Yakimenko1.671111113D. Khavanskyi2.105780LSep 4 · 17:30M. Khalenko2.1091111113D. Khavanskyi1.67116931WSep 4 · 16:00Y. Korotin2.253980D. Khavanskyi1.571111113LSep 4 · 14:00S. Semenets2.259111111113D. Khavanskyi1.5711135882LSep 4 · 12:00V. Mukhin1.9151111113D. Khavanskyi1.80117591LSep 3 · 11:05D. Khavanskyi2.00871141V. Korniichuk1.7311114113WSep 3 · 09:35D. Khavanskyi1.611111113V. Stukalov2.206740LSep 3 · 08:05D. Khavanskyi1.25126531S. Osipov3.75101111113WSep 3 · 06:35D. Khavanskyi1.671111113S. Semenets2.109980LSep 3 · 05:05D. Khavanskyi1.446260M. Khalenko2.631111113
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.