TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13037679
Played Aug 29Finished
Oleh Stopin
Home
2.25
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
11915131412––––
Vladyslav Stukalov
Away
1.57
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:02 and never touched — 62.1% is still 62.1%
Graded at full timeVladyslav Stukalov to win
62.1%
62.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingOleh Stopin above · Vladyslav Stukalov below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 15-13
Set 3 · 14-12
Point 74 set 3, 14-12 — our read held Vladyslav Stukalov at 62.1%
74 points played in total.
H2H Oleh Stopin 18–30 Vladyslav Stukalov Oleh Stopin has won 18 of their 48 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:02What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Stukalov
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
18-30 in 48
Stukalov
Wrong
gap of 12 in 48, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Stopin 1107 vs Stukalov 1270
Stukalov
Wrong
both rated, 163 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Stopin 40% vs Stukalov 60%
Stukalov
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Stopin 30% vs Stukalov 60%
Stukalov
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Stopin +2 · Stukalov +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Clear lean (leans Stukalov)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStopin 2.25 / Stukalov 1.57
Signal prob.38% / 62%
Edge (Stukalov)+3.2pp
Setka Cup · #13037679
Stopin2.25
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog21% won 13 of 61
Down 0–1, comes back17% 6 of 35
Down 0–2, comes back8% 2 of 24
Stukalov1.57
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite54% won 110 of 205
Up 2–0, closes it95% 61 of 64
Up 1–0, closes it81% 81 of 100
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeStopin4wins
AwayStukalov6wins
4 of 10 to a deciderStukalov leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeStopin33.3%2 of 6
AwayStukalov50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Stopin6Stukalov4n = 10Stopin took 6 of 10
S2Stopin2Stukalov8n = 10Stukalov took 8 of 10
S3Stopin4Stukalov6n = 10Stukalov took 6 of 10
S4Stopin5Stukalov4n = 9Stopin took 5 of 9
S5Stopin2Stukalov2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricStopinStukalovStopin − StukalovBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match37.442.3−4.9per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStopinStukalovBasisWin rate · lifetime142 / 282 vs 405 / 80150.4%50.6%142 / 282 vs 405 / 801Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.836.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StukalovStopin 2.25/Stukalov 1.57
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
62.1%
Stukalov · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Stopin won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 26 · 07:00O. Stopin—5750V. Stukalov—1111113
LJul 26 · 16:40O. Stopin—1191471V. Stukalov—91116113
LJun 27 · 10:30O. Stopin—118101152V. Stukalov—611127113
LApr 26 · 11:05O. Stopin—5121251V. Stukalov—111410113
LMar 22 · 12:40O. Stopin—112691V. Stukalov—81111113
WMar 13 · 08:00O. Stopin—771111133V. Stukalov—111156112
WMar 8 · 14:10O. Stopin—11311133V. Stukalov—6118111
LMar 1 · 14:10O. Stopin—11116362V. Stukalov—971111113
WFeb 22 · 14:10O. Stopin—11711113V. Stukalov—511881
WFeb 16 · 11:30O. Stopin—311511153V. Stukalov—119114132
O. Stopin10
WSep 5 · 11:35O. Stopin1.915111011133S. Semenets1.80115126112LSep 5 · 09:35V. Mukhin1.201111113O. Stopin4.339760WSep 5 · 08:35O. Stopin2.2081211113V. Varchenko1.611110821WSep 5 · 07:35V. Stukalov1.53117991O. Stopin2.3841111113WSep 5 · 06:05O. Stopin3.251181216113V. Kucheriavyi1.33911101852LAug 29 · 11:50V. Mukhin1.221111113O. Stopin4.009440LAug 29 · 10:50O. Stopin1.83691141S. Semenets1.8311116113WAug 29 · 09:50O. Stopin1.281111113O. Ponomarenko3.506830WAug 29 · 06:20O. Stopin2.5014118113D. Khavanskyi1.501271171WAug 26 · 10:30O. Miklukha2.00771371O. Stopin1.73111111113
V. Stukalov10
LSep 7 · 08:20V. Stukalov2.5012119792O. Mytsyk1.501061111113WSep 7 · 06:20V. Stukalov1.831111113S. Semenets1.835930LSep 5 · 11:05V. Mukhin1.361111113V. Stukalov3.009850LSep 5 · 10:05V. Stukalov1.8312711692V. Kucheriavyi1.831011511113WSep 5 · 09:05V. Stukalov1.831511153S. Semenets1.83137130LSep 5 · 07:35V. Stukalov1.53117991O. Stopin2.3841111113LSep 5 · 05:35V. Stukalov2.001012471V. Varchenko1.73121011113LSep 3 · 11:35V. Stukalov2.0011911492M. Khalenko1.73111911113LSep 3 · 09:35D. Khavanskyi1.611111113V. Stukalov2.206740WSep 3 · 08:35V. Stukalov1.8311512113S. Semenets1.839111061
Upcoming Matches
O. Stopin
Nothing scheduled
V. Stukalov
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