TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13079123
Played Sep 5Finished
Oleh Stopin
Home
1.91
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
51111510121161311
Serhii Semenets
Away
1.80
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:22 and never touched — 54.3% is still 54.3%
Graded at full timeSerhii Semenets to win
54.3%
54.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongpick shipped
How it is goingOleh Stopin above · Serhii Semenets below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 11-6
Set 5 · 13-11
Point 95 set 5, 13-11 — our read held Serhii Semenets at 54.3%
95 points played in total.
H2H Oleh Stopin 15–13 Serhii Semenets Serhii Semenets has won 13 of their 28 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:22What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Semenets
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
15-13 in 28
Stopin
Correct
gap of 2 in 28, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Stopin 1158 vs Semenets 1260
Semenets
Wrong
both rated, 102 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Stopin 60% vs Semenets 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Stopin 70% vs Semenets 70%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Stopin -1 · Semenets +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and the gate let it through as .
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Semenets)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStopin 1.91 / Semenets 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Semenets)+2.5pp
Setka Cup · #13079123
Stopin1.91
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog22% won 13 of 60
Down 0–1, comes back15% 5 of 33
Down 0–2, comes back8% 2 of 24
Semenets1.80
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite52% won 98 of 188
Up 2–0, closes it93% 52 of 56
Up 1–0, closes it75% 76 of 101
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeStopin6wins
AwaySemenets4wins
4 of 10 to a deciderStopin leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeStopin85.7%6 of 7
AwaySemenets100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Stopin7Semenets3n = 10Stopin took 7 of 10
S2Stopin3Semenets7n = 10Semenets took 7 of 10
S3Stopin6Semenets4n = 10Stopin took 6 of 10
S4Stopin2Semenets5n = 7Semenets took 5 of 7
S5Stopin3Semenets1n = 4Stopin took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricStopinSemenetsStopin − SemenetsBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match37.439.2−1.8per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStopinSemenetsBasisWin rate · lifetime145 / 280 vs 417 / 82651.8%50.5%145 / 280 vs 417 / 826Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.837.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SemenetsStopin 1.91/Semenets 1.80
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Semenets · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Stopin won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 29 · 10:50O. Stopin—691141S. Semenets—11116113
LAug 26 · 05:00O. Stopin—11912962S. Semenets—9111011113
LAug 23 · 05:35O. Stopin—8550S. Semenets—1111113
LAug 16 · 05:35O. Stopin—9360S. Semenets—1111113
WAug 2 · 06:20O. Stopin—111210113S. Semenets—5101291
WJul 31 · 15:30O. Stopin—169113123S. Semenets—1411711102
WJul 15 · 14:00O. Stopin—115112113S. Semenets—51181182
WJul 11 · 08:00O. Stopin—1111113S. Semenets—7590
WJul 8 · 15:30O. Stopin—13911133S. Semenets—11117111
WJul 5 · 06:50O. Stopin—111195113S. Semenets—47111192
O. Stopin10
LSep 5 · 09:35V. Mukhin1.201111113O. Stopin4.339760WSep 5 · 08:35O. Stopin2.2081211113V. Varchenko1.611110821WSep 5 · 07:35V. Stukalov1.53117991O. Stopin2.3841111113WSep 5 · 06:05O. Stopin3.251181216113V. Kucheriavyi1.33911101852LAug 29 · 11:50V. Mukhin1.221111113O. Stopin4.009440LAug 29 · 10:50O. Stopin1.83691141S. Semenets1.8311116113WAug 29 · 09:50O. Stopin1.281111113O. Ponomarenko3.506830WAug 29 · 08:20O. Stopin2.251115143V. Stukalov1.57913120WAug 29 · 06:20O. Stopin2.5014118113D. Khavanskyi1.501271171WAug 26 · 10:30O. Miklukha2.00771371O. Stopin1.73111111113
S. Semenets10
LSep 7 · 06:20V. Stukalov1.831111113S. Semenets1.835930WSep 5 · 10:35V. Varchenko2.6310119121S. Semenets1.4412811143LSep 5 · 09:05V. Stukalov1.831511153S. Semenets1.83137130WSep 5 · 07:05V. Kucheriavyi1.831111361S. Semenets1.8313811113WSep 5 · 05:05V. Mukhin1.4411126762S. Semenets2.639101111113LSep 4 · 19:00S. Semenets2.25811891M. Khalenko1.5711511113WSep 4 · 17:00Y. Korotin1.91100S. Semenets1.80121LSep 4 · 15:00V. Mukhin1.401111912133S. Semenets2.75671114112WSep 4 · 14:00S. Semenets2.259111111113D. Khavanskyi1.5711135882WAug 29 · 10:50O. Stopin1.83691141S. Semenets1.8311116113
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.