TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13079241
Played Sep 5Finished
Volodymyr Varchenko
Home
2.63
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
10121189111214––
Serhii Semenets
Away
1.44
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:38 and never touched — 66.1% is still 66.1%
Graded at full timeSerhii Semenets to win
66.1%
66.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVolodymyr Varchenko above · Serhii Semenets below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 12-14
Point 87 set 4, 12-14 — our read held Serhii Semenets at 66.1%
87 points played in total.
H2H Volodymyr Varchenko 5–9 Serhii Semenets Volodymyr Varchenko has won 5 of their 14 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:38What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Semenets
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-9 in 14
Semenets
Correct
gap of 4 in 14, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Varchenko 1162 vs Semenets 1251
Semenets
Correct
both rated, 89 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Varchenko 40% vs Semenets 60%
Semenets
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Varchenko 30% vs Semenets 60%
Semenets
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Varchenko -2 · Semenets -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Semenets)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVarchenko 2.63 / Semenets 1.44
Signal prob.34% / 66%
Edge (Semenets)+1.6pp
Setka Cup · #13079241
Varchenko2.63
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog38% won 14 of 37
Down 0–1, comes back18% 4 of 22
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 12
Semenets1.44
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite52% won 98 of 188
Up 2–0, closes it93% 52 of 56
Up 1–0, closes it75% 76 of 101
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVarchenko1wins
AwaySemenets9wins
Semenets leads 9–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVarchenko33.3%1 of 3
AwaySemenets100%7 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Varchenko3Semenets7n = 10Semenets took 7 of 10
S2Varchenko3Semenets7n = 10Semenets took 7 of 10
S3Varchenko1Semenets9n = 10Semenets took 9 of 10
S4Varchenko1Semenets5n = 6Semenets took 5 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away550%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricVarchenkoSemenetsV − SBasisWins19−8in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match31.238.9−7.7per matchSweeps04−43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVarchenkoSemenetsBasisWin rate · lifetime98 / 222 vs 417 / 82644.1%50.5%98 / 222 vs 417 / 826Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.037.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SemenetsVarchenko 2.63/Semenets 1.44
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
66.1%
Semenets · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Semenets won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 23 · 08:35V. Varchenko—9640S. Semenets—1111113
LAug 22 · 06:30V. Varchenko—101190S. Semenets—1213113
LAug 16 · 12:05V. Varchenko—6780S. Semenets—1111113
WAug 9 · 11:05V. Varchenko—11118133S. Semenets—6511111
LAug 5 · 15:30V. Varchenko—119661S. Semenets—91111113
LAug 2 · 09:20V. Varchenko—121212101S. Semenets—101414123
LJul 31 · 12:30V. Varchenko—8131091S. Semenets—111112113
LJul 25 · 11:00V. Varchenko—711551S. Semenets—11711113
LJul 15 · 18:30V. Varchenko—1031161S. Semenets—12119113
LJul 11 · 11:30V. Varchenko—91040S. Semenets—1112113
V. Varchenko10
LSep 5 · 12:05V. Kucheriavyi1.61411411123V. Varchenko2.20119118102LSep 5 · 08:35O. Stopin2.2081211113V. Varchenko1.611110821LSep 5 · 06:35V. Mukhin1.44911118113V. Varchenko2.6311641152WSep 5 · 05:35V. Stukalov2.001012471V. Varchenko1.73121011113LAug 23 · 11:35V. Varchenko1.73491191S. Baranskyi2.0011116113WAug 23 · 09:35D. Khavanskyi1.508960V. Varchenko2.501111113LAug 23 · 08:35V. Varchenko2.389640S. Semenets1.531111113WAug 23 · 07:35O. Stopin2.10611101142V. Varchenko1.67114124113LAug 23 · 06:05V. Varchenko1.83101060Y. Korotin1.831212113LAug 22 · 11:30V. Varchenko3.2511751162V. Kondratenko1.33511118113
S. Semenets10
LSep 7 · 06:20V. Stukalov1.831111113S. Semenets1.835930LSep 5 · 11:35O. Stopin1.915111011133S. Semenets1.80115126112LSep 5 · 09:05V. Stukalov1.831511153S. Semenets1.83137130WSep 5 · 07:05V. Kucheriavyi1.831111361S. Semenets1.8313811113WSep 5 · 05:05V. Mukhin1.4411126762S. Semenets2.639101111113LSep 4 · 19:00S. Semenets2.25811891M. Khalenko1.5711511113WSep 4 · 17:00Y. Korotin1.91100S. Semenets1.80121LSep 4 · 15:00V. Mukhin1.401111912133S. Semenets2.75671114112WSep 4 · 14:00S. Semenets2.259111111113D. Khavanskyi1.5711135882WAug 23 · 08:35V. Varchenko2.389640S. Semenets1.531111113
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