TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13089260
Played Sep 7Finished
Oleksandr Mytsyk
Home
1.30
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1181149116111012
Serhii Semenets
Away
3.40
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:42 and never touched — 73.1% is still 73.1%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Mytsyk to win
73.1%
73.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingOleksandr Mytsyk above · Serhii Semenets below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 6-11
Set 5 · 10-12
Point 93 set 5, 10-12 — our read held Oleksandr Mytsyk at 73.1%
93 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Mytsyk 3–1 Serhii Semenets Serhii Semenets has won 1 of their 4 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:42What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.30 (72%)
Mytsyk
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-1 in 4
Mytsyk
Wrong
gap of 2 in 4, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Mytsyk 1331 vs Semenets 1223
Mytsyk
Wrong
both rated, 108 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Mytsyk 60% vs Semenets 20%
Mytsyk
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Mytsyk 40% vs Semenets 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Mytsyk +2 · Semenets -3
Semenets
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 73% — Strong (leans Mytsyk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Mytsyk form (60%) is below what odds imply (77%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMytsyk 1.30 / Semenets 3.40
Signal prob.73% / 27%
Edge (Mytsyk)+0.8pp
Setka Cup · #13089260
Mytsyk1.30
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite54% won 168 of 311
Up 2–0, closes it89% 83 of 93
Up 1–0, closes it78% 127 of 163
Semenets3.40
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog35% won 47 of 135
Down 0–1, comes back21% 16 of 77
Down 0–2, comes back8% 4 of 48
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeMytsyk3wins
AwaySemenets1wins
1 of 4 to a deciderMytsyk leads 3–1, and 1 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Mytsyk2Semenets2n = 4split evenly
S2Mytsyk4Semenets0n = 4Mytsyk took 4 of 4
S3Mytsyk1Semenets3n = 4Semenets took 3 of 4
S4Mytsyk4Semenets0n = 4Mytsyk took 4 of 4
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home375%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away125%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 4 meetings
MetricMytsykSemenetsM − SBasisWins31+2in 4 meetingsFirst set220of 4Avg pointsper match44.534.2+10.3per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMytsykSemenetsBasisWin rate · lifetime530 / 1067 vs 416 / 82849.7%50.2%530 / 1067 vs 416 / 828Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.037.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MytsykMytsyk 1.30/Semenets 3.40
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
73.1%
Mytsyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Semenets won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
LAug 24 · 12:05O. Mytsyk—8111211102S. Semenets—116143123
WAug 8 · 11:30O. Mytsyk—11118113S. Semenets—871161
WAug 6 · 06:30O. Mytsyk—11129113S. Semenets—8101151
WNov 11 · 12:30O. Mytsyk—91111113S. Semenets—115451
O. Mytsyk10
WSep 7 · 08:20V. Stukalov2.5012119792O. Mytsyk1.501061111113WSep 7 · 06:50O. Mytsyk1.67212713123V. Melnykov2.1011101111102LSep 4 · 12:05A. Kovalenko1.5711611113O. Mytsyk2.25511541LSep 4 · 10:35O. Mytsyk1.91119881E. Populovskyi1.8091111113WSep 4 · 08:35V. Melnykov2.25111410482O. Mytsyk1.579121211113LSep 4 · 06:35M. Stetsenko1.4411714113O. Mytsyk2.636111241LSep 4 · 05:35K. Klymenko1.611111113O. Mytsyk2.209870WSep 3 · 12:50O. Mytsyk2.251111913113A. Kovalenko1.57136111192LSep 3 · 10:50K. Klymenko1.6751117113O. Mytsyk2.101121581LSep 3 · 08:50M. Stetsenko1.5011119113O. Mytsyk2.50951151
S. Semenets10
LSep 7 · 07:20V. Korniichuk1.53111011113S. Semenets2.38912471LSep 7 · 06:20V. Stukalov1.831111113S. Semenets1.835930LSep 5 · 11:35O. Stopin1.915111011133S. Semenets1.80115126112WSep 5 · 10:35V. Varchenko2.6310119121S. Semenets1.4412811143LSep 5 · 09:05V. Stukalov1.831511153S. Semenets1.83137130WSep 5 · 07:05V. Kucheriavyi1.831111361S. Semenets1.8313811113WSep 5 · 05:05V. Mukhin1.4411126762S. Semenets2.639101111113LSep 4 · 19:00S. Semenets2.25811891M. Khalenko1.5711511113WSep 4 · 17:00Y. Korotin1.91100S. Semenets1.80121LSep 4 · 15:00V. Mukhin1.401111912133S. Semenets2.75671114112
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