TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13072973
Played Sep 4Finished
Volodymyr Melnykov
Home
2.25
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
11914121012411811
Oleksandr Mytsyk
Away
1.57
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:53 and never touched — 59.7% is still 59.7%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Mytsyk to win
59.7%
59.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVolodymyr Melnykov above · Oleksandr Mytsyk below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 14-12
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 4-11
Set 5 · 8-11
Point 102 set 5, 8-11 — our read held Oleksandr Mytsyk at 59.7%
102 points played in total.
H2H Volodymyr Melnykov 29–41 Oleksandr Mytsyk Volodymyr Melnykov has won 29 of their 70 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:53What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Mytsyk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
29-41 in 70
Mytsyk
Correct
gap of 12 in 70, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Melnykov 1343 vs Mytsyk 1329
Melnykov
Wrong
both rated, 14 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Melnykov 40% vs Mytsyk 20%
Melnykov
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Melnykov 50% vs Mytsyk 30%
Melnykov
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Melnykov +1 · Mytsyk -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Mytsyk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Mytsyk form (20%) is below what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMelnykov 2.25 / Mytsyk 1.57
Signal prob.40% / 60%
Edge (Mytsyk)+0.8pp
Setka Cup · #13072973
Melnykov2.25
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog38% won 61 of 159
Down 0–1, comes back25% 25 of 102
Down 0–2, comes back15% 9 of 60
Mytsyk1.57
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
As favourite53% won 169 of 317
Up 2–0, closes it88% 84 of 96
Up 1–0, closes it77% 128 of 167
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMelnykov3wins
AwayMytsyk7wins
7 of 10 to a deciderMytsyk leads 7–3, and 7 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMelnykov66.7%2 of 3
AwayMytsyk85.7%6 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Melnykov3Mytsyk7n = 10Mytsyk took 7 of 10
S2Melnykov5Mytsyk5n = 10split evenly
S3Melnykov4Mytsyk6n = 10Mytsyk took 6 of 10
S4Melnykov4Mytsyk5n = 9Mytsyk took 5 of 9
S5Melnykov3Mytsyk4n = 7Mytsyk took 4 of 7
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricMelnykovMytsykMelnykov − MytsykBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match42.645.8−3.2per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMelnykovMytsykBasisWin rate · lifetime245 / 539 vs 534 / 107345.5%49.8%245 / 539 vs 534 / 1073Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.138.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MytsykMelnykov 2.25/Mytsyk 1.57
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
59.7%
Mytsyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Mytsyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJul 31 · 07:00V. Melnykov—861261O. Mytsyk—111110113
WJul 27 · 07:50V. Melnykov—691212113O. Mytsyk—1111101072
LJul 26 · 17:00V. Melnykov—511151392O. Mytsyk—1181315113
LJul 19 · 15:00V. Melnykov—11891182O. Mytsyk—911118113
LJul 6 · 10:50V. Melnykov—912121162O. Mytsyk—1110148113
LJul 5 · 14:30V. Melnykov—6790O. Mytsyk—1111113
WJul 2 · 06:50V. Melnykov—111177113O. Mytsyk—79111142
LJun 29 · 10:50V. Melnykov—811841O. Mytsyk—11611113
WJun 28 · 15:00V. Melnykov—111189113O. Mytsyk—83111192
LJun 23 · 22:10V. Melnykov—96111172O. Mytsyk—111178113
V. Melnykov10
WSep 7 · 08:50V. Korniichuk2.1081050V. Melnykov1.671112113LSep 7 · 07:50V. Melnykov1.83116651M. Stetsenko1.8341111113LSep 7 · 06:50O. Mytsyk1.67212713123V. Melnykov2.1011101111102LSep 4 · 11:35V. Melnykov1.914660E. Populovskyi1.801111113WSep 4 · 09:35M. Stetsenko1.73611831V. Melnykov2.0011311113WSep 4 · 07:35K. Klymenko3.2581311472V. Melnykov1.331111811113LSep 4 · 06:05V. Melnykov2.10961111102A. Kovalenko1.67111129123LAug 27 · 11:30O. Ovsiienko1.731111113V. Melnykov2.006990LAug 27 · 10:00V. Melnykov1.911011311102V. Kondratenko1.80128119123WAug 27 · 08:00O. Mytsyk1.61118121342V. Melnykov2.208111015113
O. Mytsyk10
WSep 7 · 08:20V. Stukalov2.5012119792O. Mytsyk1.501061111113WSep 7 · 06:50O. Mytsyk1.67212713123V. Melnykov2.1011101111102LSep 4 · 12:05A. Kovalenko1.5711611113O. Mytsyk2.25511541LSep 4 · 10:35O. Mytsyk1.91119881E. Populovskyi1.8091111113LSep 4 · 06:35M. Stetsenko1.4411714113O. Mytsyk2.636111241LSep 4 · 05:35K. Klymenko1.611111113O. Mytsyk2.209870WSep 3 · 12:50O. Mytsyk2.251111913113A. Kovalenko1.57136111192LSep 3 · 10:50K. Klymenko1.6751117113O. Mytsyk2.101121581LSep 3 · 08:50M. Stetsenko1.5011119113O. Mytsyk2.50951151LAug 27 · 08:00O. Mytsyk1.61118121342V. Melnykov2.208111015113
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