TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13022656
Played Aug 27Finished
Oleksandr Ovsiienko
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 4
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
116119119––––
Volodymyr Melnykov
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:52 and never touched — 59.7% is still 59.7%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Ovsiienko to win
59.7%
59.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOleksandr Ovsiienko above · Volodymyr Melnykov below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-9
Point 57 set 3, 11-9 — our read held Oleksandr Ovsiienko at 59.7%
57 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Ovsiienko 3–2 Volodymyr Melnykov Volodymyr Melnykov has won 2 of their 5 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:52What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Ovsiienko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-2 in 5
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Ovsiienko 1431 vs Melnykov 1352
Ovsiienko
Correct
both rated, 79 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Ovsiienko 80% vs Melnykov 60%
Ovsiienko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Ovsiienko 50% vs Melnykov 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Ovsiienko +4 · Melnykov -1
Ovsiienko
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Ovsiienko) · live re-read · sealed at 60% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Ovsiienko form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsOvsiienko 1.73 / Melnykov 2.00
Signal prob.55% / 45%
Edge (Ovsiienko)+1.2pp
Setka Cup · #13022656
Ovsiienko1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite66% won 143 of 217
Up 2–0, closes it98% 89 of 91
Up 1–0, closes it85% 116 of 136
Melnykov2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog38% won 61 of 160
Down 0–1, comes back25% 25 of 102
Down 0–2, comes back15% 9 of 61
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeOvsiienko3wins
AwayMelnykov2wins
2 of 5 to a deciderOvsiienko leads 3–2, and 2 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeOvsiienko75%3 of 4
AwayMelnykovn = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Ovsiienko4Melnykov1n = 5Ovsiienko took 4 of 5
S2Ovsiienko4Melnykov1n = 5Ovsiienko took 4 of 5
S3Ovsiienko4Melnykov1n = 5Ovsiienko took 4 of 5
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home360%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away240%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 5 meetings
MetricOvsiienkoMelnykovO − MBasisWins32+1in 5 meetingsFirst set41+3of 5Avg pointsper match38.630.8+7.8per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricOvsiienkoMelnykovBasisWin rate · lifetime441 / 850 vs 252 / 55651.9%45.3%441 / 850 vs 252 / 556Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.636.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
OvsiienkoOvsiienko 1.73/Melnykov 2.00
Hit
What we said
54.9%
Ovsiienko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Ovsiienko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
WAug 27 · 11:30O. Ovsiienko—1111113V. Melnykov—6990
WAug 26 · 12:30O. Ovsiienko—1111113V. Melnykov—1440
WAug 24 · 07:50O. Ovsiienko—1111113V. Melnykov—8290
LJul 19 · 12:00O. Ovsiienko—11511792V. Melnykov—911911113
LJul 5 · 18:30O. Ovsiienko—911121182V. Melnykov—119146113
O. Ovsiienko10
WSep 7 · 07:05O. Shyshman1.507860O. Ovsiienko2.501111113LSep 7 · 05:05K. Klymenko2.6311139113O. Ovsiienko1.443111191WSep 6 · 19:00K. Klymenko2.638101181O. Ovsiienko1.4411128113LSep 6 · 17:30O. Ovsiienko1.918640S. Baranskyi1.801111113LSep 6 · 15:30O. Leonenko1.5011119113O. Ovsiienko2.50891171LSep 6 · 13:30V. Smyk1.617111173O. Ovsiienko2.20116621LSep 6 · 12:30B. Zaika1.3611311113O. Ovsiienko3.00811651LSep 3 · 12:20O. Leonenko1.509111110113O. Ovsiienko2.5011971212LSep 3 · 11:20A. Kovalenko1.611111123O. Ovsiienko2.2049100WSep 3 · 09:50K. Klymenko3.0011812562O. Ovsiienko1.369111011113
V. Melnykov10
LSep 7 · 06:50O. Mytsyk1.67212713123V. Melnykov2.1011101111102LSep 4 · 11:35V. Melnykov1.914660E. Populovskyi1.801111113WSep 4 · 09:35M. Stetsenko1.73611831V. Melnykov2.0011311113LSep 4 · 08:35V. Melnykov2.25111410482O. Mytsyk1.579121211113WSep 4 · 07:35K. Klymenko3.2581311472V. Melnykov1.331111811113LSep 4 · 06:05V. Melnykov2.10961111102A. Kovalenko1.67111129123LAug 27 · 10:00V. Melnykov1.911011311102V. Kondratenko1.80128119123WAug 27 · 08:00O. Mytsyk1.61118121342V. Melnykov2.208111015113WAug 27 · 06:00V. Mukhin3.50761151V. Melnykov1.2811116113WAug 27 · 05:00K. Klymenko3.2581120V. Melnykov1.331111143
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