TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13084290
Played Sep 6Finished
Bohdan Zaika
Home
1.36
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
118311116115––
Oleksandr Ovsiienko
Away
3.00
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:48 and never touched — 68.8% is still 68.8%
Graded at full timeBohdan Zaika to win
68.8%
68.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingBohdan Zaika above · Oleksandr Ovsiienko below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 3-11
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 11-5
Point 66 set 4, 11-5 — our read held Bohdan Zaika at 68.8%
66 points played in total.
H2H Bohdan Zaika 2–1 Oleksandr Ovsiienko Oleksandr Ovsiienko has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:48What took a side2 for · 0 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (69%)
Zaika
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-1 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Zaika 1442 vs Ovsiienko 1438
Zaika
Correct
both rated, 4 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zaika 40% vs Ovsiienko 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zaika 50% vs Ovsiienko 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Zaika +2 · Ovsiienko -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 69% — Clear lean (leans Zaika)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zaika form (40%) is below what odds imply (73%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZaika 1.36 / Ovsiienko 3.00
Signal prob.69% / 31%
Edge (Zaika)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13084290
Zaika1.36
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite56% won 63 of 112
Up 2–0, closes it97% 29 of 30
Up 1–0, closes it70% 47 of 67
Ovsiienko3.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog38% won 79 of 208
Down 0–1, comes back14% 16 of 112
Down 0–2, comes back7% 5 of 76
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeZaika2wins
AwayOvsiienko1wins
Zaika leads 2–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zaika2Ovsiienko1n = 3Zaika took 2 of 3
S2Zaika3Ovsiienko0n = 3Zaika took 3 of 3
S3Zaika1Ovsiienko2n = 3Ovsiienko took 2 of 3
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home133%
3–1Four sets, home133%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away133%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricZaikaOvsiienkoZ − OBasisWins21+1in 3 meetingsFirst set21+1of 3Avg pointsper match38.032.0+6.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZaikaOvsiienkoBasisWin rate · lifetime278 / 564 vs 442 / 84649.3%52.3%278 / 564 vs 442 / 846Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.436.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZaikaZaika 1.36/Ovsiienko 3.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
68.8%
Zaika · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Zaika won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WSep 2 · 18:30B. Zaika—1111113O. Ovsiienko—7380
LAug 30 · 17:00B. Zaika—5111291O. Ovsiienko—11514113
WAug 26 · 15:30B. Zaika—111111113O. Ovsiienko—991361
B. Zaika10
WSep 6 · 18:00V. Smyk3.259470B. Zaika1.331111113WSep 6 · 17:00B. Zaika1.6111113113K. Klymenko2.20831191WSep 6 · 16:00B. Zaika1.7311811113S. Baranskyi2.00611391WSep 6 · 14:30B. Zaika1.4411112O. Leonenko2.63560WSep 2 · 18:30B. Zaika1.571111113O. Ovsiienko2.257380WSep 2 · 16:30O. Mytsyk2.25861181B. Zaika1.5711116113LSep 2 · 15:30B. Zaika1.6111681192M. Stetsenko2.20611116113LSep 2 · 14:30V. Smyk3.5011137123B. Zaika1.2851111101LSep 2 · 13:00B. Zaika1.5791111552K. Klymenko2.25115811113LAug 30 · 18:00A. Kurtenko2.50111213153B. Zaika1.5041015131
O. Ovsiienko10
LSep 7 · 05:05K. Klymenko2.6311139113O. Ovsiienko1.443111191WSep 6 · 19:00K. Klymenko2.638101181O. Ovsiienko1.4411128113LSep 6 · 17:30O. Ovsiienko1.918640S. Baranskyi1.801111113LSep 6 · 15:30O. Leonenko1.5011119113O. Ovsiienko2.50891171LSep 6 · 13:30V. Smyk1.617111173O. Ovsiienko2.20116621LSep 3 · 12:20O. Leonenko1.509111110113O. Ovsiienko2.5011971212LSep 3 · 11:20A. Kovalenko1.611111123O. Ovsiienko2.2049100WSep 3 · 09:50K. Klymenko3.0011812562O. Ovsiienko1.369111011113LSep 3 · 07:50O. Mytsyk2.001011811113O. Ovsiienko1.7312711262LSep 2 · 18:30B. Zaika1.571111113O. Ovsiienko2.257380
Upcoming Matches
B. Zaika
Nothing scheduled
O. Ovsiienko
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