TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13044093
Played Aug 30Finished
Andrii Kurtenko
Home
2.50
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 5
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
114121013151513––
Bohdan Zaika
Away
1.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:15 and never touched — 63.7% is still 63.7%
Graded at full timeBohdan Zaika to win
63.7%
63.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingAndrii Kurtenko above · Bohdan Zaika below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 13-15
Set 4 · 15-13
Point 93 set 4, 15-13 — our read held Bohdan Zaika at 63.7%
93 points played in total.
H2H Andrii Kurtenko 1–4 Bohdan Zaika Andrii Kurtenko has won 1 of their 5 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 21:15What took a side2 for · 4 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Zaika
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-4 in 5
Zaika
Wrong
gap of 3 in 5, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kurtenko 1501 vs Zaika 1462
Kurtenko
Correct
both rated, 39 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kurtenko 100% vs Zaika 60%
Kurtenko
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kurtenko 80% vs Zaika 60%
Kurtenko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kurtenko +5 · Zaika -1
Kurtenko
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 64% — Clear lean (leans Zaika)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kurtenko form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKurtenko 2.50 / Zaika 1.50
Signal prob.36% / 64%
Edge (Zaika)+1.2pp
Setka Cup · #13044093
Kurtenko2.50
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog44% won 64 of 146
Down 0–1, comes back19% 14 of 75
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 46
Zaika1.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite57% won 58 of 102
Up 2–0, closes it96% 26 of 27
Up 1–0, closes it70% 44 of 63
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeKurtenko1wins
AwayZaika4wins
1 of 5 to a deciderZaika leads 4–1, and 1 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKurtenko33.3%1 of 3
AwayZaikan = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kurtenko3Zaika2n = 5Kurtenko took 3 of 5
S2Kurtenko1Zaika4n = 5Zaika took 4 of 5
S3Kurtenko2Zaika3n = 5Zaika took 3 of 5
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home120%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away120%
1–3Four sets, away120%
0–3Straight, away240%
These 5 meetings
MetricKurtenkoZaikaK − ZBasisWins14−3in 5 meetingsFirst set32+1of 5Avg pointsper match30.634.8−4.2per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKurtenkoZaikaBasisWin rate · lifetime334 / 631 vs 280 / 56852.9%49.3%334 / 631 vs 280 / 568Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.038.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZaikaKurtenko 2.50/Zaika 1.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
63.7%
Zaika · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Kurtenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
LAug 26 · 13:00A. Kurtenko—11411592B. Zaika—711811113
LMay 31 · 20:50A. Kurtenko—119991B. Zaika—61111113
LFeb 7 · 11:00A. Kurtenko—71070B. Zaika—1112113
LJan 10 · 07:30A. Kurtenko—53100B. Zaika—1111123
WJan 4 · 22:50A. Kurtenko—1111113B. Zaika—5950
A. Kurtenko10
WSep 5 · 18:00A. Kurtenko1.8311119113V. Smyk1.83471141WSep 5 · 16:30A. Kurtenko1.571171163D. Patalakha2.25911621LSep 5 · 15:00A. Kurtenko2.10851251O. Tymofeev1.6711111073LSep 5 · 13:30A. Kurtenko1.831112651S. Solomko1.83131011113LSep 5 · 12:00A. Kurtenko3.5011381272F. Voinarovskyi1.286111110113LSep 3 · 11:30A. Kurtenko1.807111131S. Solomko1.9111110153LSep 3 · 09:30I. Emets1.53111111113A. Kurtenko2.38133561LSep 3 · 07:30O. Osadchyi1.6781111113A. Kurtenko2.10114571WSep 3 · 06:30A. Kurtenko1.911111133E. Populovskyi1.8058110LSep 3 · 05:30D. Khairov1.40111313113A. Kurtenko2.753151151
B. Zaika10
WSep 6 · 18:00V. Smyk3.259470B. Zaika1.331111113WSep 6 · 17:00B. Zaika1.6111113113K. Klymenko2.20831191WSep 6 · 16:00B. Zaika1.7311811113S. Baranskyi2.00611391WSep 6 · 14:30B. Zaika1.4411112O. Leonenko2.63560WSep 6 · 12:30B. Zaika1.3611311113O. Ovsiienko3.00811651WSep 2 · 18:30B. Zaika1.571111113O. Ovsiienko2.257380WSep 2 · 16:30O. Mytsyk2.25861181B. Zaika1.5711116113LSep 2 · 15:30B. Zaika1.6111681192M. Stetsenko2.20611116113LSep 2 · 14:30V. Smyk3.5011137123B. Zaika1.2851111101LSep 2 · 13:00B. Zaika1.5791111552K. Klymenko2.25115811113
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