TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13061132
Played Sep 2Finished
Bohdan Zaika
Home
1.62
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 4
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
116611811116911
Maksym Stetsenko
Away
2.20
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:42 and never touched — 58.9% is still 58.9%
Graded at full timeBohdan Zaika to win
58.9%
58.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingBohdan Zaika above · Maksym Stetsenko below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 11-6
Set 5 · 9-11
Point 90 set 5, 9-11 — our read held Bohdan Zaika at 58.9%
90 points played in total.
H2H Bohdan Zaika 1–2 Maksym Stetsenko Bohdan Zaika has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 21:42What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Zaika
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-2 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Zaika 1418 vs Stetsenko 1427
Stetsenko
Correct
both rated, 10 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zaika 20% vs Stetsenko 60%
Stetsenko
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zaika 40% vs Stetsenko 70%
Stetsenko
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Zaika -4 · Stetsenko +2
Zaika
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Zaika) · live re-read · sealed at 59% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Stetsenko form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZaika 1.61 / Stetsenko 2.20
Signal prob.58% / 42%
Edge (Zaika)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13061132
Zaika1.61
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite57% won 61 of 107
Up 2–0, closes it96% 27 of 28
Up 1–0, closes it70% 45 of 64
Stetsenko2.20
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog44% won 94 of 215
Down 0–1, comes back24% 28 of 119
Down 0–2, comes back7% 4 of 61
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeZaika1wins
AwayStetsenko2wins
3 of 3 to a deciderStetsenko leads 2–1, and 3 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zaika2Stetsenko1n = 3Zaika took 2 of 3
S2Zaika1Stetsenko2n = 3Stetsenko took 2 of 3
S3Zaika2Stetsenko1n = 3Zaika took 2 of 3
S4Zaika1Stetsenko2n = 3Stetsenko took 2 of 3
S5Zaika1Stetsenko2n = 3Stetsenko took 2 of 3
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home133%
2–3Decider, away267%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricZaikaStetsenkoZ − SBasisWins12−1in 3 meetingsFirst set21+1of 3Avg pointsper match44.745.3−0.6per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZaikaStetsenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime276 / 562 vs 437 / 83049.1%52.7%276 / 562 vs 437 / 830Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.437.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZaikaZaika 1.61/Stetsenko 2.20
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
57.7%
Zaika · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Stetsenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
LSep 2 · 15:30B. Zaika—11681192M. Stetsenko—611116113
WAug 30 · 12:30B. Zaika—811124113M. Stetsenko—119101162
LAug 26 · 18:30B. Zaika—11611872M. Stetsenko—611511113
B. Zaika10
WSep 6 · 18:00V. Smyk3.259470B. Zaika1.331111113WSep 6 · 17:00B. Zaika1.6111113113K. Klymenko2.20831191WSep 6 · 16:00B. Zaika1.7311811113S. Baranskyi2.00611391WSep 6 · 14:30B. Zaika1.4411112O. Leonenko2.63560WSep 6 · 12:30B. Zaika1.3611311113O. Ovsiienko3.00811651WSep 2 · 18:30B. Zaika1.571111113O. Ovsiienko2.257380WSep 2 · 16:30O. Mytsyk2.25861181B. Zaika1.5711116113LSep 2 · 14:30V. Smyk3.5011137123B. Zaika1.2851111101LSep 2 · 13:00B. Zaika1.5791111552K. Klymenko2.25115811113LAug 30 · 18:00A. Kurtenko2.50111213153B. Zaika1.5041015131
M. Stetsenko10
WSep 7 · 07:50V. Melnykov1.83116651M. Stetsenko1.8341111113WSep 7 · 05:50V. Korniichuk2.7511470M. Stetsenko1.401311113WSep 6 · 12:20O. Lipeiko1.571171091M. Stetsenko2.2511112113LSep 6 · 11:20S. Solomko1.251211113M. Stetsenko3.7510670LSep 6 · 09:50E. Populovskyi1.301111113M. Stetsenko3.406890LSep 6 · 07:50A. Kovalenko1.4012711113M. Stetsenko2.751011791WSep 6 · 05:50D. Patalakha1.61781171M. Stetsenko2.2011114113LSep 4 · 11:05M. Stetsenko2.6368120K. Klymenko1.441111143LSep 4 · 09:35M. Stetsenko1.73611831V. Melnykov2.0011311113LSep 4 · 08:05M. Stetsenko2.631111171A. Kovalenko1.4411813113
Upcoming Matches
B. Zaika
Nothing scheduled
M. Stetsenko
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