TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13061424
Played Sep 2Finished
Oleksandr Mytsyk
Home
2.25
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
811611116811––
Bohdan Zaika
Away
1.57
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:53 and never touched — 59.7% is still 59.7%
Graded at full timeBohdan Zaika to win
59.7%
59.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOleksandr Mytsyk above · Bohdan Zaika below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 72 set 4, 8-11 — our read held Bohdan Zaika at 59.7%
72 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Mytsyk 16–27 Bohdan Zaika Oleksandr Mytsyk has won 16 of their 43 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 22:53What took a side4 for · 2 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Zaika
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
16-27 in 43
Zaika
Correct
gap of 11 in 43, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Mytsyk 1372 vs Zaika 1418
Zaika
Correct
both rated, 45 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Mytsyk 60% vs Zaika 0%
Mytsyk
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Mytsyk 50% vs Zaika 30%
Mytsyk
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Mytsyk +1 · Zaika -5
Zaika
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Zaika)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zaika form (0%) is below what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMytsyk 2.25 / Zaika 1.57
Signal prob.40% / 60%
Edge (Zaika)+0.8pp
Setka Cup · #13061424
Mytsyk2.25
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog36% won 61 of 168
Down 0–1, comes back20% 20 of 99
Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 54
Zaika1.57
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite57% won 61 of 107
Up 2–0, closes it96% 27 of 28
Up 1–0, closes it70% 45 of 64
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMytsyk4wins
AwayZaika6wins
3 of 10 to a deciderZaika leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMytsyk60%3 of 5
AwayZaika80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Mytsyk5Zaika5n = 10split evenly
S2Mytsyk4Zaika6n = 10Zaika took 6 of 10
S3Mytsyk5Zaika5n = 10split evenly
S4Mytsyk3Zaika4n = 7Zaika took 4 of 7
S5Mytsyk1Zaika2n = 3Zaika took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricMytsykZaikaM − ZBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match35.939.1−3.2per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMytsykZaikaBasisWin rate · lifetime535 / 1071 vs 276 / 56250%49.1%535 / 1071 vs 276 / 562Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.038.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZaikaMytsyk 2.25/Zaika 1.57
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
59.7%
Zaika · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Zaika won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJun 2 · 17:40O. Mytsyk—6560B. Zaika—1111113
WMay 16 · 09:05O. Mytsyk—101111123B. Zaika—1276101
WMay 10 · 09:20O. Mytsyk—121111113B. Zaika—1013961
WApr 12 · 06:50O. Mytsyk—119118113B. Zaika—91171152
LApr 11 · 15:20O. Mytsyk—661141B. Zaika—11119113
LApr 5 · 06:50O. Mytsyk—411591B. Zaika—11811113
WFeb 20 · 12:30O. Mytsyk—1111113B. Zaika—7890
LFeb 18 · 12:30O. Mytsyk—111166122B. Zaika—781111143
LFeb 17 · 15:40O. Mytsyk—12691172B. Zaika—1011118113
LFeb 12 · 13:40O. Mytsyk—9860B. Zaika—1111113
O. Mytsyk10
WSep 7 · 06:50O. Mytsyk1.67212713123V. Melnykov2.1011101111102LSep 4 · 12:05A. Kovalenko1.5711611113O. Mytsyk2.25511541LSep 4 · 10:35O. Mytsyk1.91119881E. Populovskyi1.8091111113WSep 4 · 08:35V. Melnykov2.25111410482O. Mytsyk1.579121211113LSep 4 · 06:35M. Stetsenko1.4411714113O. Mytsyk2.636111241LSep 4 · 05:35K. Klymenko1.611111113O. Mytsyk2.209870WSep 3 · 12:50O. Mytsyk2.251111913113A. Kovalenko1.57136111192LSep 3 · 10:50K. Klymenko1.6751117113O. Mytsyk2.101121581LSep 3 · 08:50M. Stetsenko1.5011119113O. Mytsyk2.50951151WSep 3 · 07:50O. Mytsyk2.001011811113O. Ovsiienko1.7312711262
B. Zaika10
WSep 6 · 18:00V. Smyk3.259470B. Zaika1.331111113WSep 6 · 17:00B. Zaika1.6111113113K. Klymenko2.20831191WSep 6 · 16:00B. Zaika1.7311811113S. Baranskyi2.00611391WSep 6 · 14:30B. Zaika1.4411112O. Leonenko2.63560WSep 6 · 12:30B. Zaika1.3611311113O. Ovsiienko3.00811651WSep 2 · 18:30B. Zaika1.571111113O. Ovsiienko2.257380LSep 2 · 15:30B. Zaika1.6111681192M. Stetsenko2.20611116113LSep 2 · 14:30V. Smyk3.5011137123B. Zaika1.2851111101LSep 2 · 13:00B. Zaika1.5791111552K. Klymenko2.25115811113LAug 30 · 18:00A. Kurtenko2.50111213153B. Zaika1.5041015131
Upcoming Matches
O. Mytsyk
B. Zaika
Nothing scheduled
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