TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13084647
Played Sep 6Finished
Bohdan Zaika
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 4
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
116811113119––
Serhii Baranskyi
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:18 and never touched — 63.6% is still 63.6%
Graded at full timeSerhii Baranskyi to win
63.6%
63.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingBohdan Zaika above · Serhii Baranskyi below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-3
Set 4 · 11-9
Point 70 set 4, 11-9 — our read held Serhii Baranskyi at 63.6%
70 points played in total.
H2H Bohdan Zaika 1–0 Serhii Baranskyi Serhii Baranskyi has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 21:18What took a side1 for · 4 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Zaika
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Zaika 1485 vs Baranskyi 1323
Zaika
Correct
both rated, 162 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zaika 80% vs Baranskyi 60%
Zaika
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zaika 50% vs Baranskyi 70%
Baranskyi
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Zaika +4 · Baranskyi -2
Zaika
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Zaika) · live re-read · sealed at 36% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zaika form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZaika 1.73 / Baranskyi 2.00
Signal prob.57% / 44%
Edge (Zaika)+2.8pp
Setka Cup · #13084647
Zaika1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite56% won 63 of 112
Up 2–0, closes it97% 29 of 30
Up 1–0, closes it70% 47 of 67
Baranskyi2.00
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog45% won 14 of 31
Down 0–1, comes back20% 3 of 15
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 7
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeZaika1wins
AwayBaranskyi0wins
Zaika leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricZaikaBaranskyiZ − BBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match41.029.0+12.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZaikaBaranskyiBasisWin rate · lifetime280 / 559 vs 105 / 20050.1%52.5%280 / 559 vs 105 / 200Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.436.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZaikaZaika 1.73/Baranskyi 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
56.5%
Zaika · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Zaika won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WSep 6 · 16:00B. Zaika—11811113S. Baranskyi—611391
B. Zaika10
WSep 6 · 18:00V. Smyk3.259470B. Zaika1.331111113WSep 6 · 17:00B. Zaika1.6111113113K. Klymenko2.20831191WSep 6 · 14:30B. Zaika1.4411112O. Leonenko2.63560WSep 6 · 12:30B. Zaika1.3611311113O. Ovsiienko3.00811651WSep 2 · 18:30B. Zaika1.571111113O. Ovsiienko2.257380WSep 2 · 16:30O. Mytsyk2.25861181B. Zaika1.5711116113LSep 2 · 15:30B. Zaika1.6111681192M. Stetsenko2.20611116113LSep 2 · 14:30V. Smyk3.5011137123B. Zaika1.2851111101LSep 2 · 13:00B. Zaika1.5791111552K. Klymenko2.25115811113LAug 30 · 18:00A. Kurtenko2.50111213153B. Zaika1.5041015131
S. Baranskyi10
WSep 6 · 18:30O. Leonenko1.9139111192S. Baranskyi1.80111164113WSep 6 · 17:30O. Ovsiienko1.918640S. Baranskyi1.801111113LSep 6 · 14:00K. Klymenko1.57714146103S. Baranskyi2.251112121172LSep 6 · 12:00V. Smyk1.5711911113S. Baranskyi2.25911361WAug 30 · 17:40M. Khalenko1.8310990S. Baranskyi1.831211113WAug 30 · 16:10S. Baranskyi2.5091111133K. Klymenko1.501189111WAug 30 · 12:10Y. Korotin2.251110111242S. Baranskyi1.57712314113WAug 30 · 11:10V. Stukalov2.00119261S. Baranskyi1.7381111113WAug 23 · 11:35V. Varchenko1.73491191S. Baranskyi2.0011116113LAug 23 · 10:35S. Semenets1.73111194113S. Baranskyi2.0097111172
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