TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13044714
Played Aug 30Finished
Serhii Baranskyi
Home
2.50
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
9111181191311––
Kostiantyn Klymenko
Away
1.50
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 23:05 and never touched — 60.5% is still 60.5%
Graded at full timeKostiantyn Klymenko to win
60.5%
60.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingSerhii Baranskyi above · Kostiantyn Klymenko below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 13-11
Point 83 set 4, 13-11 — our read held Kostiantyn Klymenko at 60.5%
83 points played in total.
H2H Serhii Baranskyi 1–6 Kostiantyn Klymenko Serhii Baranskyi has won 1 of their 7 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 23:05What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Klymenko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-6 in 7
Klymenko
Wrong
gap of 5 in 7, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Baranskyi 1318 vs Klymenko 1396
Klymenko
Wrong
both rated, 77 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Baranskyi 80% vs Klymenko 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Baranskyi 70% vs Klymenko 70%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Baranskyi +3 · Klymenko +3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 64% — Clear lean (leans Klymenko) · live re-read · sealed at 61% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Klymenko form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBaranskyi 2.50 / Klymenko 1.50
Signal prob.36% / 64%
Edge (Klymenko)+1.6pp
Setka Cup · #13044714
Baranskyi2.50
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog41% won 12 of 29
Down 0–1, comes back14% 2 of 14
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 7
Klymenko1.50
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite60% won 116 of 193
Up 2–0, closes it93% 51 of 55
Up 1–0, closes it78% 82 of 105
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeBaranskyi1wins
AwayKlymenko6wins
4 of 7 to a deciderKlymenko leads 6–1, and 4 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBaranskyin = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayKlymenko83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Baranskyi1Klymenko6n = 7Klymenko took 6 of 7
S2Baranskyi3Klymenko4n = 7Klymenko took 4 of 7
S3Baranskyi3Klymenko4n = 7Klymenko took 4 of 7
S4Baranskyi3Klymenko3n = 6split evenly
S5Baranskyi1Klymenko3n = 4Klymenko took 3 of 4
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home114%
2–3Decider, away343%
1–3Four sets, away229%
0–3Straight, away114%
These 7 meetings
MetricBaranskyiKlymenkoB − KBasisWins16−5in 7 meetingsFirst set16−5of 7Avg pointsper match38.942.0−3.1per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBaranskyiKlymenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime103 / 195 vs 441 / 85252.8%51.8%103 / 195 vs 441 / 852Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.236.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KlymenkoBaranskyi 2.50/Klymenko 1.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
64.1%
Klymenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Baranskyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
WAug 1 · 06:00S. Baranskyi—513114113K. Klymenko—111161172
LJul 5 · 17:40S. Baranskyi—1171031K. Klymenko—31112113
LDec 3 · 22:50S. Baranskyi—91191152K. Klymenko—118114113
LNov 8 · 06:05S. Baranskyi—11790K. Klymenko—1311113
LJun 27 · 19:50S. Baranskyi—141141192K. Klymenko—167113113
LMay 23 · 17:20S. Baranskyi—871191K. Klymenko—11113113
LMay 16 · 17:20S. Baranskyi—68111152K. Klymenko—111186113
S. Baranskyi10
WSep 6 · 18:30O. Leonenko1.9139111192S. Baranskyi1.80111164113WSep 6 · 17:30O. Ovsiienko1.918640S. Baranskyi1.801111113LSep 6 · 16:00B. Zaika1.7311811113S. Baranskyi2.00611391LSep 6 · 14:00K. Klymenko1.57714146103S. Baranskyi2.251112121172LSep 6 · 12:00V. Smyk1.5711911113S. Baranskyi2.25911361WAug 30 · 17:40M. Khalenko1.8310990S. Baranskyi1.831211113WAug 30 · 12:10Y. Korotin2.251110111242S. Baranskyi1.57712314113WAug 30 · 11:10V. Stukalov2.00119261S. Baranskyi1.7381111113WAug 23 · 11:35V. Varchenko1.73491191S. Baranskyi2.0011116113LAug 23 · 10:35S. Semenets1.73111194113S. Baranskyi2.0097111172
K. Klymenko10
LSep 7 · 08:05K. Klymenko2.75139461O. Shyshman1.40111111113LSep 7 · 06:35K. Klymenko2.639780A. Martyniuk1.441111113WSep 7 · 05:05K. Klymenko2.6311139113O. Ovsiienko1.443111191LSep 6 · 19:00K. Klymenko2.638101181O. Ovsiienko1.4411128113LSep 6 · 17:00B. Zaika1.6111113113K. Klymenko2.20831191WSep 6 · 15:00V. Smyk1.5711791192K. Klymenko2.25411113113WSep 6 · 14:00K. Klymenko1.57714146103S. Baranskyi2.251112121172LSep 6 · 13:00O. Leonenko1.611111613103K. Klymenko2.2047111552WSep 4 · 11:05M. Stetsenko2.6368120K. Klymenko1.441111143WSep 4 · 10:05K. Klymenko1.73881111113A. Kovalenko2.0011118722
Upcoming Matches
S. Baranskyi
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K. Klymenko
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