TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13085264
Played Sep 6Finished
Vasiliy Smyk
Home
1.57
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
114711911113911
Kostiantyn Klymenko
Away
2.25
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 24:28 and never touched — 60.1% is still 60.1%
Graded at full timeVasiliy Smyk to win
60.1%
60.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingVasiliy Smyk above · Kostiantyn Klymenko below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 11-3
Set 5 · 9-11
Point 87 set 5, 9-11 — our read held Vasiliy Smyk at 60.1%
87 points played in total.
H2H Vasiliy Smyk 7–6 Kostiantyn Klymenko Kostiantyn Klymenko has won 6 of their 13 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 24:28What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Smyk
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-6 in 13
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Smyk 1425 vs Klymenko 1433
Klymenko
Correct
both rated, 8 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Smyk 80% vs Klymenko 60%
Smyk
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Smyk 70% vs Klymenko 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Smyk +2 · Klymenko +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Smyk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Klymenko form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSmyk 1.57 / Klymenko 2.25
Signal prob.60% / 40%
Edge (Smyk)+0.8pp
Setka Cup · #13085264
Smyk1.57
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite51% won 36 of 70
Up 2–0, closes it94% 17 of 18
Up 1–0, closes it74% 23 of 31
Klymenko2.25
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog42% won 79 of 188
Down 0–1, comes back20% 20 of 99
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 56
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSmyk5wins
AwayKlymenko5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSmyk80%4 of 5
AwayKlymenko80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Smyk5Klymenko5n = 10split evenly
S2Smyk6Klymenko4n = 10Smyk took 6 of 10
S3Smyk4Klymenko6n = 10Klymenko took 6 of 10
S4Smyk4Klymenko2n = 6Smyk took 4 of 6
S5Smyk1Klymenko2n = 3Klymenko took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricSmykKlymenkoS − KBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match36.233.7+2.5per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSmykKlymenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime276 / 646 vs 445 / 85742.7%51.9%276 / 646 vs 445 / 857Avg sets wonper match1.82.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.836.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SmykSmyk 1.57/Klymenko 2.25
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
59.7%
Smyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Klymenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 6 · 15:00V. Smyk—11791192K. Klymenko—411113113
WSep 2 · 17:00V. Smyk—101111113K. Klymenko—129871
LJun 14 · 08:20V. Smyk—611581K. Klymenko—11511113
WApr 5 · 06:20V. Smyk—1111113K. Klymenko—5510
WMar 24 · 18:10V. Smyk—1111811163K. Klymenko—713119142
LMar 17 · 14:10V. Smyk—8590K. Klymenko—1111113
WJan 24 · 16:50V. Smyk—1111593K. Klymenko—771151
LAug 17 · 19:20V. Smyk—611113112K. Klymenko—112211133
LAug 4 · 06:20V. Smyk—6760K. Klymenko—1111113
WJun 30 · 08:20V. Smyk—1111113K. Klymenko—8780
V. Smyk10
LSep 6 · 18:00V. Smyk3.259470B. Zaika1.331111113WSep 6 · 16:30V. Smyk2.631112113O. Leonenko1.4481080WSep 6 · 13:30V. Smyk1.617111173O. Ovsiienko2.20116621WSep 6 · 12:00V. Smyk1.5711911113S. Baranskyi2.25911361LSep 5 · 18:00A. Kurtenko1.8311119113V. Smyk1.83471141WSep 5 · 17:00V. Smyk2.501111113O. Tymofeev1.506770WSep 5 · 16:00V. Smyk1.8311115113F. Voinarovskyi1.83771121LSep 5 · 14:30V. Smyk2.388118111D. Patalakha1.5311711133WSep 5 · 12:30V. Smyk2.501081112113S. Solomko1.50121161082WSep 2 · 18:00O. Mytsyk1.83101112642V. Smyk1.831281011113
K. Klymenko10
LSep 7 · 06:35K. Klymenko2.639780A. Martyniuk1.441111113WSep 7 · 05:05K. Klymenko2.6311139113O. Ovsiienko1.443111191LSep 6 · 19:00K. Klymenko2.638101181O. Ovsiienko1.4411128113LSep 6 · 17:00B. Zaika1.6111113113K. Klymenko2.20831191WSep 6 · 14:00K. Klymenko1.57714146103S. Baranskyi2.251112121172LSep 6 · 13:00O. Leonenko1.611111613103K. Klymenko2.2047111552WSep 4 · 11:05M. Stetsenko2.6368120K. Klymenko1.441111143WSep 4 · 10:05K. Klymenko1.73881111113A. Kovalenko2.0011118722LSep 4 · 09:05K. Klymenko3.4059100E. Populovskyi1.301111123LSep 4 · 07:35K. Klymenko3.2581311472V. Melnykov1.331111811113
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