TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13043856
Played Aug 30Finished
Mykhailo Khalenko
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 4
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
1012911911––––
Serhii Baranskyi
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:32 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMykhailo Khalenko to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingMykhailo Khalenko above · Serhii Baranskyi below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Point 62 set 3, 9-11 — our read held Mykhailo Khalenko at 54.0%
62 points played in total.
H2H Mykhailo Khalenko 11–11 Serhii Baranskyi Dead even across their 22 meetings.
Last 10 · 3–7Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:32What took a side0 for · 4 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Baranskyi
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
11-11 in 22
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Khalenko 1299 vs Baranskyi 1316
Baranskyi
Correct
both rated, 16 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Khalenko 20% vs Baranskyi 80%
Baranskyi
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Khalenko 50% vs Baranskyi 80%
Baranskyi
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Khalenko -4 · Baranskyi +4
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
0 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Baranskyi) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Baranskyi form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKhalenko 1.83 / Baranskyi 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Baranskyi)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13043856
Khalenko1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Baranskyi1.83
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKhalenko3wins
AwayBaranskyi7wins
5 of 10 to a deciderBaranskyi leads 7–3, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKhalenko33.3%1 of 3
AwayBaranskyi71.4%5 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Khalenko3Baranskyi7n = 10Baranskyi took 7 of 10
S2Khalenko5Baranskyi5n = 10split evenly
S3Khalenko2Baranskyi8n = 10Baranskyi took 8 of 10
S4Khalenko5Baranskyi3n = 8Khalenko took 5 of 8
S5Khalenko2Baranskyi3n = 5Baranskyi took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricKhalenkoBaranskyiK − BBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match37.842.4−4.6per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKhalenkoBaranskyiBasisWin rate · lifetime180 / 362 vs 102 / 19449.7%52.6%180 / 362 vs 102 / 194Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.236.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BaranskyiKhalenko 1.83/Baranskyi 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Baranskyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Baranskyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 1 · 10:00M. Khalenko—5711111S. Baranskyi—11114133
WMay 1 · 10:00M. Khalenko—311411113S. Baranskyi—11811992
LSep 20 · 10:35M. Khalenko—10960S. Baranskyi—121193
LSep 14 · 11:10M. Khalenko—811471S. Baranskyi—11511113
LAug 30 · 12:05M. Khalenko—911101162S. Baranskyi—118128113
LAug 16 · 12:50M. Khalenko—11115342S. Baranskyi—981111113
WAug 15 · 15:20M. Khalenko—11914113S. Baranskyi—9111271
LAug 9 · 10:35M. Khalenko—12831162S. Baranskyi—1011116113
LJul 26 · 12:05M. Khalenko—96100S. Baranskyi—1111123
WJul 19 · 12:05M. Khalenko—14111111113S. Baranskyi—16513652
M. Khalenko10
WSep 4 · 19:00S. Semenets2.25811891M. Khalenko1.5711511113WSep 4 · 17:30M. Khalenko2.1091111113D. Khavanskyi1.67116931WSep 4 · 15:30S. Yakimenko1.8311611552M. Khalenko1.83711911113LSep 4 · 13:30V. Mukhin2.3811147113M. Khalenko1.535121151LSep 4 · 12:30Y. Korotin1.831111113M. Khalenko1.835690WSep 3 · 11:35V. Stukalov2.0011911492M. Khalenko1.73111911113WSep 3 · 10:35S. Semenets2.20512761M. Khalenko1.61111011113LSep 3 · 09:05V. Korniichuk1.281111113M. Khalenko3.509970WSep 3 · 07:05S. Osipov2.7511811842M. Khalenko1.40811811113WSep 3 · 05:05D. Khavanskyi1.446260M. Khalenko2.631111113
S. Baranskyi10
WSep 6 · 18:30O. Leonenko1.9139111192S. Baranskyi1.80111164113WSep 6 · 17:30O. Ovsiienko1.918640S. Baranskyi1.801111113LSep 6 · 16:00B. Zaika1.7311811113S. Baranskyi2.00611391LSep 6 · 14:00K. Klymenko1.57714146103S. Baranskyi2.251112121172LSep 6 · 12:00V. Smyk1.5711911113S. Baranskyi2.25911361WAug 30 · 16:10S. Baranskyi2.5091111133K. Klymenko1.501189111WAug 30 · 12:10Y. Korotin2.251110111242S. Baranskyi1.57712314113WAug 30 · 11:10V. Stukalov2.00119261S. Baranskyi1.7381111113WAug 23 · 11:35V. Varchenko1.73491191S. Baranskyi2.0011116113LAug 23 · 10:35S. Semenets1.73111194113S. Baranskyi2.0097111172
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