TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13073267
Played Sep 4Finished
Yevhenii Korotin
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
115116119––––
Mykhailo Khalenko
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:29 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeYevhenii Korotin to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingYevhenii Korotin above · Mykhailo Khalenko below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 11-9
Point 53 set 3, 11-9 — our read held Yevhenii Korotin at 54.0%
53 points played in total.
H2H Yevhenii Korotin 9–4 Mykhailo Khalenko Mykhailo Khalenko has won 4 of their 13 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:29What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Khalenko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
9-4 in 13
Korotin
Correct
gap of 5 in 13, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Korotin 1249 vs Khalenko 1305
Khalenko
Wrong
both rated, 56 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Korotin 20% vs Khalenko 80%
Khalenko
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Korotin 40% vs Khalenko 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Korotin -2 · Khalenko +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Khalenko) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Khalenko form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKorotin 1.83 / Khalenko 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Khalenko)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13073267
Korotin1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Khalenko1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKorotin8wins
AwayKhalenko2wins
6 of 10 to a deciderKorotin leads 8–2, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKorotin80%4 of 5
AwayKhalenko20%1 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Korotin5Khalenko5n = 10split evenly
S2Korotin6Khalenko4n = 10Korotin took 6 of 10
S3Korotin6Khalenko4n = 10Korotin took 6 of 10
S4Korotin4Khalenko4n = 8split evenly
S5Korotin5Khalenko1n = 6Korotin took 5 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home550%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricKorotinKhalenkoKorotin − KhalenkoBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match41.839.5+2.3per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKorotinKhalenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime99 / 198 vs 185 / 36850%50.3%99 / 198 vs 185 / 368Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.337.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KhalenkoKorotin 1.83/Khalenko 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Khalenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Korotin won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 30 · 13:40Y. Korotin—119118113M. Khalenko—91141162
WApr 15 · 08:35Y. Korotin—11116113M. Khalenko—851171
WApr 14 · 09:30Y. Korotin—751111113M. Khalenko—11118952
WDec 7 · 13:40Y. Korotin—811211113M. Khalenko—111110972
WAug 26 · 13:10Y. Korotin—1111810113M. Khalenko—86111272
LAug 12 · 12:40Y. Korotin—10980M. Khalenko—1211113
WJul 29 · 12:10Y. Korotin—1111113M. Khalenko—9640
WJul 22 · 17:40Y. Korotin—315139113M. Khalenko—1113111182
WJul 1 · 17:10Y. Korotin—41114113M. Khalenko—1161241
LJun 10 · 17:40Y. Korotin—11114672M. Khalenko—951111113
Y. Korotin10
WSep 4 · 18:00V. Mukhin2.6311119342Y. Korotin1.44981111113LSep 4 · 17:00Y. Korotin1.91100S. Semenets1.80121LSep 4 · 16:00Y. Korotin2.253980D. Khavanskyi1.571111113WSep 4 · 14:30Y. Korotin3.50911811113S. Yakimenko1.2811911772LAug 30 · 16:40Y. Korotin1.917390V. Stukalov1.801111113LAug 30 · 15:10Y. Korotin2.7571080O. Mytsyk1.401112113WAug 30 · 13:40Y. Korotin1.73119118113M. Khalenko2.0091141162LAug 30 · 12:10Y. Korotin2.251110111242S. Baranskyi1.57712314113LAug 30 · 10:40Y. Korotin2.501161181K. Klymenko1.5091113113WAug 23 · 12:05Y. Korotin2.00131111113S. Semenets1.731191351
M. Khalenko10
WSep 4 · 19:00S. Semenets2.25811891M. Khalenko1.5711511113WSep 4 · 17:30M. Khalenko2.1091111113D. Khavanskyi1.67116931WSep 4 · 15:30S. Yakimenko1.8311611552M. Khalenko1.83711911113LSep 4 · 13:30V. Mukhin2.3811147113M. Khalenko1.535121151WSep 3 · 11:35V. Stukalov2.0011911492M. Khalenko1.73111911113WSep 3 · 10:35S. Semenets2.20512761M. Khalenko1.61111011113LSep 3 · 09:05V. Korniichuk1.281111113M. Khalenko3.509970WSep 3 · 07:05S. Osipov2.7511811842M. Khalenko1.40811811113WSep 3 · 05:05D. Khavanskyi1.446260M. Khalenko2.631111113LAug 30 · 13:40Y. Korotin1.73119118113M. Khalenko2.0091141162
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