TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13073596
Played Sep 4Finished
Yevhenii Korotin
Home
3.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
911119811117117
Stefan Yakimenko
Away
1.29
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:38 and never touched — 73.1% is still 73.1%
Graded at full timeStefan Yakimenko to win
73.1%
73.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingYevhenii Korotin above · Stefan Yakimenko below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 11-7
Set 5 · 11-7
Point 95 set 5, 11-7 — our read held Stefan Yakimenko at 73.1%
95 points played in total.
H2H Yevhenii Korotin 0–2 Stefan Yakimenko Yevhenii Korotin has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:38What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.28 (73%)
Yakimenko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-2 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Korotin 1293 vs Yakimenko 1333
Yakimenko
Wrong
both rated, 39 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Korotin 40% vs Yakimenko 20%
Korotin
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Korotin 40% vs Yakimenko 20%
Korotin
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Korotin +1 · Yakimenko -3
Yakimenko
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 73% — Strong (leans Yakimenko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Yakimenko form (20%) is below what odds imply (78%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKorotin 3.50 / Yakimenko 1.28
Signal prob.27% / 73%
Edge (Yakimenko)-0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13073596
Korotin3.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog43% won 27 of 63
Down 0–1, comes back24% 8 of 34
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 20
Yakimenko1.28
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite60% won 55 of 91
Up 2–0, closes it93% 26 of 28
Up 1–0, closes it77% 37 of 48
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeKorotin0wins
AwayYakimenko2wins
Yakimenko leads 2–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away2
These 2 meetings
MetricKorotinYakimenkoK − YBasisWins02−2in 2 meetingsFirst set02−2of 2Avg pointsper match22.033.5−11.5per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKorotinYakimenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime97 / 198 vs 387 / 79049%49%97 / 198 vs 387 / 790Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.137.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
YakimenkoKorotin 3.50/Yakimenko 1.28
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
73.1%
Yakimenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Korotin won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LMar 31 · 07:35Y. Korotin—78100S. Yakimenko—1111123
LMar 24 · 10:35Y. Korotin—9460S. Yakimenko—1111113
Y. Korotin10
WSep 4 · 18:00V. Mukhin2.6311119342Y. Korotin1.44981111113LSep 4 · 17:00Y. Korotin1.91100S. Semenets1.80121LSep 4 · 16:00Y. Korotin2.253980D. Khavanskyi1.571111113WSep 4 · 12:30Y. Korotin1.831111113M. Khalenko1.835690LAug 30 · 16:40Y. Korotin1.917390V. Stukalov1.801111113LAug 30 · 15:10Y. Korotin2.7571080O. Mytsyk1.401112113WAug 30 · 13:40Y. Korotin1.73119118113M. Khalenko2.0091141162LAug 30 · 12:10Y. Korotin2.251110111242S. Baranskyi1.57712314113LAug 30 · 10:40Y. Korotin2.501161181K. Klymenko1.5091113113WAug 23 · 12:05Y. Korotin2.00131111113S. Semenets1.731191351
S. Yakimenko10
WSep 4 · 18:30S. Yakimenko1.671111113D. Khavanskyi2.105780WSep 4 · 16:30V. Mukhin2.6386100S. Yakimenko1.441111123LSep 4 · 15:30S. Yakimenko1.8311611552M. Khalenko1.83711911113LSep 4 · 13:00S. Yakimenko1.73711511122S. Semenets2.00115119143LSep 1 · 12:05S. Yakimenko1.737490S. Semenets2.001111113LSep 1 · 10:05V. Stukalov2.631111113S. Yakimenko1.448690WSep 1 · 08:05O. Miklukha3.001171112102S. Yakimenko1.36511614123LSep 1 · 07:05S. Yakimenko1.50115991D. Khavanskyi2.5041111113WSep 1 · 06:05V. Korniichuk2.75117127102S. Yakimenko1.408111011123LJul 16 · 12:20S. Yakimenko2.009420A. Kurtenko1.731111113
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